Dan PizzutaSep 11, 2024

Pizzuta ranks all 32 NFL starting quarterbacks entering Week 2, with Patrick Mahomes first and Malik Willis last, and notes Justin Fields is expected to start for Pittsburgh in Week 2 while Willis is expected to start for Green Bay in place of Jordan Love.

Published in writing · The 33rd TeamRead the original

2 of 2calls landed2 hits · all settled

91.7Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls

91.7A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

2 of 2Settlednone still waiting

0Waitingnot graded yet

What Dan Pizzuta said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

Malik Willis goes to the bottom, as he's expected to get the start for Jordan Love.

Dan Pizzuta, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was published: The 33rd Team
The piece: 2024 NFL Week 2 QB Power Rankings: Kyler Murray Enters Top 10, Kirk Cousins Slips | The 33rd Team
The original: The copy as archived Sep 12, 2024 · the live page
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidSep 11, 2024
GradedAug 5, 2026

1Justin Fields to be 1st on the depth chart“Justin Fields started for Russell Wilson in the opener, and the Steelers are preparing to start him again in Week 2 as Wilson recovers from a calf injury.”
2Malik Willis to be 1st on the depth chart“Malik Willis goes to the bottom, as he's expected to get the start for Jordan Love.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
Justin Fields to be 1st on the depth chart¹	Depth Chart Calls	No. 2	91.67	91.67	0
Malik Willis to be 1st on the depth chart²	Depth Chart Calls	No. 2	91.67	91.67	0
2 calls · 2 hits · all settled			91.7	91.7

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 2 depth chart calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 91.7 out of 100, against 91.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

1They said

2What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

1Depth Chart Calls Justin Fields Pittsburgh Steelers
Justin Fields to be 1st on the depth chart
What happenedNo. 2called No. 1 · by passing yards
91.67Hit · naive 91.67
91.67this call91.67a naive guess0better than naive1.94difficulty0skill
How this was scored
club:
PIT
skill:
0
player:
Justin Fields
season:
2024
accuracy:
91.67
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
1
actual slot:
2
difficulty:
1.94
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
17
Think this is wrong?
2Depth Chart Calls Malik Willis Green Bay Packers
Malik Willis to be 1st on the depth chart
What happenedNo. 2called No. 1 · by passing yards
91.67Hit · naive 91.67
91.67this call91.67a naive guess0better than naive1.94difficulty0skill
How this was scored
club:
GB
skill:
0
player:
Malik Willis
season:
2024
accuracy:
91.67
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
3
actual slot:
2
difficulty:
1.94
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
17
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
91.7naive 91.7

Who this take is about

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

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The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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