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Eric Mangini· Nov 7, 2026

Mangini picked New England to beat Green Bay by more than a field goal, flagged Tampa Bay as his upset alert over Chicago, expects Kansas City to handle the Jets, took Buffalo over Minnesota, backed Cincinnati over Atlanta in Madrid, and updated his Super Bowl to Rams–Bengals.

“How about The Patriots by three? No. Patriots by more.”

said on air, transcribed by us · First Things First (podcast) · read the original →

7 checkable claims — 5 game outcome picks and 2 conference champions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

4 of 7 have settled so far, averaging 50 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

The games in this take

7 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Game Outcome PicksNew England PatriotsNov 7, 2026

    New England Patriots to beat Green Bay

    “New England will control the game... How about The Patriots by three? No. Patriots by more.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    GB
    score:
    45-27
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    NE
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    NE
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10

    Closing line (Nov 8): Patriots by 3 · favorite pick, Patriots 62%.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksTampa Bay BuccaneersNov 7, 2026

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Chicago

    “And now they're going to play the Tampa Bay Buccaneers... And Baker Mayfield is the type of quarterback that the bigger the chip, the bigger the challenge, the bigger he plays... could be problematic.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-156 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    CHI
    score:
    24-27
    skill:
    −156
    they picked:
    TB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    CHI
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10

    Closing line (Nov 8): Bears by 6.5 · underdog pick, Buccaneers 29%.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksKansas City ChiefsNov 7, 2026

    Kansas City Chiefs to beat Jets

    “But I just... I can't imagine they're they're gonna lose to the Jets.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    KC
    score:
    12-35
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    KC
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10

    Closing line (Nov 8): Chiefs by 9.5 · favorite pick, Chiefs about 4 in 5 (80%).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksCincinnati BengalsNov 7, 2026

    Cincinnati Bengals to beat Atlanta Falcons

    “So I'm going 20 Woah. On the Bengals... he's gonna deliver for the... The fans, the international fans over in Spain.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+156 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    CIN
    score:
    34-17
    skill:
    156
    they picked:
    CIN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    ATL
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10

    Closing line (Nov 8): Bengals by 3 · favorite pick, Bengals 62%.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Conference ChampionsCincinnati BengalsNov 7, 2026

    Cincinnati Bengals to reach the Super Bowl

    “and to go with the team that I thought the Chargers were gonna play in the AFC championship game, the Cincinnati Bengals.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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  • Conference ChampionsLos Angeles RamsNov 7, 2026

    Los Angeles Rams to reach the Super Bowl

    “So I am staying with the Rams. I think Myles Garrett is gonna give a boost”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksBuffalo BillsNov 7, 2026

    Buffalo Bills to beat Vikings

    “Yeah. I I like the Bills... So I'm just gonna go one chip on the Buffalo Bills.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More game outcome picks

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