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Writes at DLLS Dallas Cowboys (podcast)
Across 11 graded calls in 4 articles, Fran Duffy scores 58.47% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 25.06, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 15 calls · one square per call
6hits55% of graded
2Close18%
3misses27%
4
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
11 graded calls in 4 articles, newest first. Every take from Fran Duffy, including the ones still waiting →
Jermott McCoy to be picked at number 12
“he had the cowboys take Jermaine McCoy at 12 ... you write Jermott McCoy, cornerback, Tennessee”
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Fran Duffy isn’t ranked yet: a record is ranked from 10 graded articles, so a lucky first handful can’t top the table.
Dillon Thieneman to be picked at number 20
“his pick at 20 is a pick that I would like at 22. He went with Dylan Thieneman, the Oregon safety”
Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 12
“Here's your Keldrick fault guy to the cowboys at 12, Fran Duffy, everybody. ... I'm I'm okay betting on a profile like Celtic Fogg.”
Francisco Mauigoa to be picked at number 3
“I do think it probably starts at number three with the Arizona Cardinals, and most likely Francis Maui Noah... And I have Maui Noah going to the cardinals”
Carnell Tate to be 1st wide receiver off the board
“But I do think that most likely, it's probably just one, one of these wide receivers that go off the board. And I think it'll be Carnell Tate.”
Rueben Bain to be picked “top 15” (picks 1–15)
“we haven't seen a guy with that short of arms go in the top 100. Right. He's he's gonna go in the top 15. Yeah. He might be going in the top 10. He might go in the top five.”
Treydan Stukes to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)
“They don't have the balls to put Stukes in the second round like I do.”
Sonny Styles to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
“what you're hearing from this week, how he's interviewing, is he's he's not making it out of the top 10”
Sonny Styles to be drafted ahead of Caleb Downs
“I think honestly, I think Downs has a better shot at making to 12 than than, Styles.”
Keldric Faulk to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
“And to your the first part of your question, are you gonna buy that into the top 10? That's the nature of this class ... and Kelder Falk, I think, has that ability to get”
Keldric Faulk to be 1st edge rusher off the board
“you have Kelvin Faulk as your number one edge rusher coming out of the draft this year ... there's three guys that are all, like, really close for me. And it's it's Keldrick Faulk from Auburn.”