Fran DuffyApr 10, 2026

In their new two-round mock draft, Duffy has the Cowboys selecting Tennessee cornerback Jermott McCoy at No. 12 and Oregon safety Dylan Thieneman at No. 20.

Said on air, transcribed by us · DLLS Dallas Cowboys (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 2calls landed1 hit · 1 miss · all settled

40.3Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls

50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

2 of 2Settlednone still waiting

0Waitingnot graded yet

What Fran Duffy said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

the board did not work out well for Dallas in the way that it you know, that as I went through it

Fran Duffy, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was said: DLLS Dallas Cowboys (podcast)
The episode: Why The Dallas Cowboys Won’t Trade Up + Fran Duffy Mock Draft Reaction
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidApr 10
GradedAug 14

1Dillon Thieneman to be picked at number 20“his pick at 20 is a pick that I would like at 22. He went with Dylan Thieneman, the Oregon safety”
2Jermott McCoy to be picked at number 12“he had the cowboys take Jermaine McCoy at 12 ... you write Jermott McCoy, cornerback, Tennessee”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
Dillon Thieneman to be picked at number 20¹	Mock Draft Picks	Went 25	80.52	50	—
Jermott McCoy to be picked at number 12²	Mock Draft Picks	Went undrafted	0	50	—
2 calls · 1 hit · 1 miss · all settled			40.3	50

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

2 checkable claims — 2 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 40.3 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Dillon Thieneman · 2026 season · overall pick

Fran Duffy — 20 overall pickthe room — 6 calls from 6 punditsmedian 12 overall pickwhat happened — 25 overall pick

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Their call against what happened

overall pick

20They said

25What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

1Mock Draft Picks Dillon Thieneman Dallas Cowboys
Dillon Thieneman to be picked at number 20
What happenedWent 25mocked at 20
80.52Hit · naive 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Dillon Thieneman
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
80.52
baseline:
50
actual pick:
25
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
80.52
predicted pick:
20
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this is wrong?
2Mock Draft Picks Jermott McCoy Dallas Cowboys
Jermott McCoy to be picked at number 12
What happenedWent undraftedmocked at 12
0Miss · naive 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Jermott McCoy
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
12
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
40.3naive 50

Who this take is about

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

Rich Eisen · Trade and Signing Calls · Micah Parsons · Miss 0
Eisen expects Myles Garrett to be traded before the draft and says the Browns will then take Abdul Carter with their early first-round pick; they also predict Buffalo will end up paying James Cook and that Micah Parsons will remain a Cowboy and get their money from Dallas, likely late in the process.
Randy Gurzi · Roster Spot Calls · Jordan Hudson · Miss 0
Gurzi predicts the Cowboys' 17-man practice squad, naming each player they expect Dallas to sign, including a surprise addition of released Giants tackle Evan Neal. They also predict Jaydon Blue will be claimed off waivers by another team and that Sam Williams will land elsewhere.
Jeff Cavanaugh · Roster Spot Calls · Marist Liufau · Hit 100
Building their projected Cowboys 53-man roster on defense, Jeff keeps five interior linemen (Kenny Clark, Quentin, Tito Obonia, LT Overton, Bullard), six edge rushers including Von Miller, Malachi Lawrence and Marist Liufau while cutting Sam Williams, four linebackers with Jayshawn Barham starting, six corners including rookie Devin Moore, and four safeties including Marquise Bell.
Jesse Holley · Roster Spot Calls · Marist Liufau · Hit 100
Holley expects Jay Toia to stick on the defensive line, Marist Liufau to make the team as a special teamer, Devin Moore to make the roster, and Joe Milton to be the backup quarterback ahead of Sam Howell.
Moe Moton · Roster Spot Calls · Marist Liufau · Miss 0
Moton rated Liufau a 9-out-of-10 on their trade probability meter, arguing that with Dallas' crowded edge room they are a long shot to make the 53-man roster and is either a trade or cut candidate.
Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · Dallas Cowboys · Close 76
Prisco gives score predictions for every Week 9 NFL game, picking the Bengals to rout the Falcons in Madrid, the Cowboys to rebound at Indianapolis, and the Jaguars to win in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson.

More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Chris Simms · Mock Draft Picks · Malachi Corley · Miss 11
Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; they also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore.
Todd McShay · Mock Draft Picks · Keelon Russell · Miss 0
While breaking down LSU's offense, McShay called receiver Jackson Harris a top-50 NFL draft prospect, and later said LSU's Sam Levitt and Alabama's Keelan Russell are potential top-10 picks in a future draft.
Philip Hughes · Mock Draft Picks · Kyle Kennard · Miss 34
Evaluating edge rusher Kyle Kennard ahead of the draft, the account projected them as a Day 2 selection.
Blaine Grisak · Mock Draft Picks · Brian Thomas Jr. · Hit 84
Grisak argues the Rams should not trade a second-round pick for Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr., calling it too great a risk and too high a cost. In an embedded tweet of their own from the 2024 pre-draft period, they suggested the Rams could select Thomas at pick No. 19.
Charlie Campbell · Mock Draft Picks · Xavier Williams · Miss 0
Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if they declare.
Walt · Mock Draft Picks · Fernando Mendoza · Hit 100
In a running series of coach/GM hiring and firing grades, Walt projects Fernando Mendoza as the No. 1 overall pick of the Raiders in the 2026 draft and has LSU's Garrett Nussmeier going No. 2 overall in their 2026 mock draft.