Fran DuffyMar 3, 2026
Duffy expects Sonny Styles to be picked inside the top 10, believes short-armed Ruben Bain will still go inside the top 15 (possibly top 10 or top 5), thinks Styles will come off the board before Caleb Downs, ranks Avion Terrell as their top cornerback, and has Stukes graded as a second-round pick against industry consensus.
Said on air, transcribed by us · DLLS Dallas Cowboys (podcast)Hear the original
4 of 4calls landed4 hits · 1 waiting
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 4 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
4 of 5Settled1 still waiting
1Waitingnot graded yet
What Fran Duffy said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromHe's he's gonna go in the top 15. Yeah. He might be going in the top 10.
- Where it was said
- DLLS Dallas Cowboys (podcast)
- The episode
- After The Combine, What Will The Cowboys Do at #12 & #20? Fran Duffy Breaks It Down
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidMar 3
- GradedAug 14
- 1Sonny Styles to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)“what you're hearing from this week, how he's interviewing, is he's he's not making it out of the top 10”
- 2Sonny Styles to be drafted ahead of Caleb Downs“I think honestly, I think Downs has a better shot at making to 12 than than, Styles.”
- 3Rueben Bain to be picked “top 15” (picks 1–15)“we haven't seen a guy with that short of arms go in the top 100. Right. He's he's gonna go in the top 15. Yeah. He might be going in the top 10. He might go in the top five.”
- 4Treydan Stukes to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)“They don't have the balls to put Stukes in the second round like I do.”
- 5Top Player Lists“Who's your number one? Terrell Terrell. Avion Terrell.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Styles to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)1 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 7 | 100 | 50 | — | |
| Sonny Styles to be drafted ahead of Caleb Downs2 | Prospect vs Prospect Calls | — | 100 | 50 | +50 | |
| Rueben Bain to be picked “top 15” (picks 1–15)3 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 15 | 100 | 50 | — | |
| Treydan Stukes to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)4 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 38 | 100 | 50 | — | |
| “Who's your number one? Terrell Terrell. Avion Terrell.”5 | Top Player Lists | — | — | — | — | |
| 5 calls · 4 hits · 1 waiting | 100 | 50 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive5 checkable claims — 3 mock draft picks, 1 prospect vs prospect call and 1 top player list — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
4 of 5 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Their call against what happened
overall picktop 10 (picks 1–10)They said
7What happened
Their call against what actually happened.
Sonny Styles to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
What happenedWent 7100Hit · naive 50Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Sonny Styles
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 7
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- top 10 (picks 1–10)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
2Prospect vs Prospect CallsSonny Styles
Sonny Styles to be drafted ahead of Caleb Downs
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 50100this call−50a naive guess=50better than naive×1difficulty=+50skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- claim:
- Sonny Styles drafted ahead of Caleb Downs
- draft:
- 2026
- skill:
- 50
- what happened:
- Sonny Styles went 7, Caleb Downs went 11
- player:
- Sonny Styles
- season:
- 2026
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- compared to:
- Caleb Downs
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Rueben Bain to be picked “top 15” (picks 1–15)
What happenedWent 15100Hit · naive 50Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Rueben Bain
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 15
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- top 15 (picks 1–15)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
4Mock Draft PicksTreydan Stukes
Treydan Stukes to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)
What happenedWent 38100Hit · naive 50Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Treydan Stukes
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 38
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- second round (picks 33–64)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
“Who's your number one? Terrell Terrell. Avion Terrell.”
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once
100naive 50
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Ross Jackson · Mock Draft Picks · Rueben Bain · Close 74
Jackson predicts the Saints will stay put and pick at No. 8 overall rather than trading up, and after Mickey Loomis' press conference they now lean toward New Orleans taking a defensive back there — either LSU cornerback Mansoor Delaine or Ohio State safety Caleb Downs — while still viewing Miami edge rusher Ruben Bain Jr. as a likely selection.Lance Zierlein · Mock Draft Picks · Sonny Styles · Hit 81
Zuerlein describes their mock draft 3.0: Carnell Tate to the Giants at No. 5, Sonny Styles falling to the Cowboys at No. 12, and Colton Hood to Dallas at No. 20. They also expect runs on linebackers from the late twenties to about pick 45, defensive tackles from the early-mid twenties into the 40s, and says Ahvion Terrell's 4.65 forty knocks them out of first-round contention. They call Kenyon Saddiq and Mansoor Delaine the safest picks for Dallas, and thinks Delaine's tape is top-four caliber, while Jeremiah Smith could be a generational, Megatron-type receiver.Nick Wright · Mock Draft Picks · Rueben Bain · Close 77
Nick Wright unveiled their full 32-pick 2026 NFL mock draft 4.0, starting with Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1 and ending with Avion Terrell to the Seahawks at 32. They also called Carnell Tate the best/safest receiver in the class, projected Ty Simpson inside the top 45, said Mendoza profiles as a low-end top-15 NFL quarterback, and expected the Dolphins to lose 15 games.Danny Parkins · Mock Draft Picks · Rueben Bain · Close 74
Danny Parkins presented their one-and-only 2026 mock draft, including trades: Mendoza at 1 to the Raiders, David Bailey second to the Jets, the Cowboys trading up to No. 3 for Arvell Reese, the Bears trading up to 16 for Kadyn Proctor, and Ty Simpson going to Arizona at 32 at the end of round one.David Harrison · Mock Draft Picks · Treydan Stukes · Close 50
Harrison delivers their only first-round mock draft for the 2026 NFL Draft, projecting all 32 first-round picks (including several trades) plus the rest of Washington's projected class, while noting it is an exercise in what could happen rather than a firm forecast.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Chris Simms · Mock Draft Picks · Malachi Corley · Miss 11
Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; they also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore.Philip Hughes · Mock Draft Picks · Kyle Kennard · Miss 34
Evaluating edge rusher Kyle Kennard ahead of the draft, the account projected them as a Day 2 selection.Blaine Grisak · Mock Draft Picks · Brian Thomas Jr. · Hit 84
Grisak argues the Rams should not trade a second-round pick for Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr., calling it too great a risk and too high a cost. In an embedded tweet of their own from the 2024 pre-draft period, they suggested the Rams could select Thomas at pick No. 19.Charlie Campbell · Mock Draft Picks · Xavier Williams · Miss 0
Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if they declare.