Fran Duffy· Apr 6, 2026
The Cowboys' draft analyst laid out his board: the first cornerback drafted will be either Jermott McCoy or Mansoor Delaine, Francis Maui Noah goes third to Arizona in his upcoming mock, Carnell Tate is the first receiver off the board, Australian project Urey Bernard lands in round six or seven, and he stacks the linebackers CJ Allen, Jacob Rodriguez, Anthony Hill in that order.
“So I do think it'll either be Delaine or McCoy.”
said on air, transcribed by us · DLLS Dallas Cowboys (podcast) · read the original →
6 checkable claims — 3 mock draft picks and 3 position order calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
3 of 6 have settled so far, averaging 48 out of 100, against 36.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
positional finishTheir call against what actually happened.
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Who this take is about
6 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Position Order CallsCarnell TateApr 6, 2026
Carnell Tate to be 1st wide receiver off the board
“But I do think that most likely, it's probably just one, one of these wide receivers that go off the board. And I think it'll be Carnell Tate.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 9.48+90.52 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- naming one of the 36 at random averages 9.48
- skill:
- 90.52
- player:
- Carnell Tate
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- credit halves every two places
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 9.48
- position:
- wide receiver
- class size:
- 36
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual order:
- 1
- predicted order:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Mock Draft PicksKeldric FaulkDallas CowboysApr 6, 2026
Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 12
“Here's your Keldrick fault guy to the cowboys at 12, Fran Duffy, everybody. ... I'm I'm okay betting on a profile like Celtic Fogg.”
Close · 44Scored 43.91 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 0 against a shuffle’s 50-50 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- -50
- player:
- Keldric Faulk
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 43.91
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 31
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 43.91
- predicted pick:
- 12
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 0
Francisco Mauigoa to be picked at number 3
“I do think it probably starts at number three with the Arizona Cardinals, and most likely Francis Maui Noah... And I have Maui Noah going to the cardinals”
Miss · 0Scored 0.1 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 0 against a shuffle’s 50-50 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- -50
- player:
- Francisco Mauigoa
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 0.1
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 162
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0.1
- predicted pick:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 0
- Mock Draft PicksUrey BernardApr 6, 2026
Urey Bernard to be picked “round six, round seven”
“If a team feels comfortable with the character, you're gonna draft him round six, round seven.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Position Order CallsMansoor DelaneApr 6, 2026
Mansoor Delane to be first corner off the board — either Delaine or McCoy corner off the board
“So I do think it'll either be Delaine or McCoy. And then at the end of the day, it'll come down to, like, team and scheme preference”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Position Order CallsJermod McCoyApr 6, 2026
Jermod McCoy to be first corner off the board — either Delaine or McCoy corner off the board
“I still think it's gonna be pretty tight when it comes down to who's the first corner off the board, if it's gonna be him, if it's gonna be Mansoor, Delaine... So I do think it'll either be Delaine or McCoy.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Nate TiceScore Predictions · Dallas CowboysHit · 100Tice picked the Bengals over the Texans in a low-scoring game, the Jaguars at Denver, the Bears over the Vikings, the Patriots over the Steelers and the Rams to edge the Giants, and his Hail Mary was the Cowboys scoring 40 on Washington. He also floated Abdul Carter as a possible All-Pro.
- Geoff SchwartzGame Outcome Picks · Dallas CowboysMiss · 0Filling in on the chips segment, Schwartz took Jacksonville to beat New England, the Bengals to beat the Steelers, and the Cowboys to beat the Ravens on the Brazil field.
- Michael IrvinGame Outcome Picks · Dallas CowboysMiss · 0Irvin went game-by-game through the Cowboys' 2026 schedule and predicted a 13-4 finish, with losses to Houston, Philadelphia (Week 7), Seattle and the Giants in Week 17, and a season sweep of Washington.
- Jeff CavanaughGame Outcome Picks · Dallas CowboysMiss · 0Jeff went game-by-game through the Cowboys schedule, initially arriving at 13-4 before flipping a game to settle on a 12-5 final record prediction, with Dallas beating the Giants, Commanders, Ravens, Buccaneers, Packers, Cardinals, Colts, 49ers, Titans, Eagles (home), plus wins to close, and losing to the Texans, Eagles (road), Seahawks and Rams.
- Clarence HillGame Outcome Picks · Dallas CowboysMiss · 0Clarence predicted an 11-6 Cowboys season, picking wins over the Giants, Commanders, Ravens, Packers, Cardinals, Colts and Titans while giving losses to Houston, Tampa Bay, both Eagles games, the 49ers, Seahawks and Rams.
- Michael IrvinGame Outcome Picks · Dallas CowboysMiss · 0Playing the game-by-game "win loss" exercise, Irvin picked the Cowboys to finish 13-4, with losses only at Houston, at Philadelphia, at Seattle and at home to the Giants in Week 17.
More position order calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Ryan WilsonPosition Order Calls · J.J. McCarthyHit · 100Recalling his pre-draft evaluation, Wilson notes he had ranked J.J. McCarthy as the fifth quarterback in the 2024 class and given him a second-round grade rather than a first-round one, citing the gap between Michigan's system and NFL demands.
- Nick ShookPosition Order Calls · Olaivavega IoaneMiss · 35Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three.
- Rhett LewisPosition Order Calls · Tyler ShoughHit · 100Lewis names Louisville's Tyler Shough as the new QB3 of the class — the third quarterback off the board — and views Milroe as a second-round selection.
- Todd McShayPosition Order Calls · K.C. ConcepcionHit · 100McShay's mock draft 4.0 has Fernando Mendoza and David Bailey going 1-2 to the Raiders and Jets, the Saints trading up to No. 3 for Arvell Reese, the Titans taking Jeremiah Love at 4, the Giants taking Francis Mauigoa at 5 (though he'd now switch to Sonny Styles), the Cowboys trading up to 6, the Jets trading up to 7 for Carnell Tate, and Arizona trading up to 30 for Ty Simpson. He also predicts seven offensive tackles go in the first round and that Love, Styles, Downs and Reese all go in the top seven.
- Keith SanchezPosition Order Calls · Jordyn TysonClose · 71As relayed by Harrison, Sanchez's latest mock draft has Carnell Tate going to Washington, Jordan Tyson as the first receiver off the board at No. 5 to the Giants, Makai Lemmon at 11 and Chris Brasel at 30 to Miami, Sonny Styles at No. 8 to New Orleans, and Caleb Downs at No. 13 to the Rams.
- Field YatesPosition Order Calls · Jordyn TysonHit · 100As relayed by Rich Eisen, Yates' two-round mock draft has Fernando Mendoza first overall, followed by three edge/defenders, Caleb Downs fifth, and a series of other named picks including Eli Stowers to Tampa Bay at 46.