Fran DuffyApr 6, 2026
The Cowboys' draft analyst laid out their board: the first cornerback drafted will be either Jermott McCoy or Mansoor Delaine, Francis Maui Noah goes third to Arizona in their upcoming mock, Carnell Tate is the first receiver off the board, Australian project Urey Bernard lands in round six or seven, and they stack the linebackers CJ Allen, Jacob Rodriguez, Anthony Hill in that order.
Said on air, transcribed by us · DLLS Dallas Cowboys (podcast)Hear the original
What Fran Duffy said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromSo I do think it'll either be Delaine or McCoy.
- Where it was said
- DLLS Dallas Cowboys (podcast)
- The episode
- Will Jermod McCoy Or Mansoor Delane LAST Until Cowboys' First Pick?
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidApr 6
- GradedAug 13
- 1Carnell Tate to be 1st wide receiver off the board“But I do think that most likely, it's probably just one, one of these wide receivers that go off the board. And I think it'll be Carnell Tate.”
- 2Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 12“Here's your Keldrick fault guy to the cowboys at 12, Fran Duffy, everybody. ... I'm I'm okay betting on a profile like Celtic Fogg.”
- 3Francisco Mauigoa to be picked at number 3“I do think it probably starts at number three with the Arizona Cardinals, and most likely Francis Maui Noah... And I have Maui Noah going to the cardinals”
- 4Urey Bernard to be picked “round six, round seven”“If a team feels comfortable with the character, you're gonna draft him round six, round seven.”
- 5Mansoor Delane to be first corner off the board — either Delaine or McCoy corner off the board“So I do think it'll either be Delaine or McCoy. And then at the end of the day, it'll come down to, like, team and scheme preference”
- 6Jermod McCoy to be first corner off the board — either Delaine or McCoy corner off the board“I still think it's gonna be pretty tight when it comes down to who's the first corner off the board, if it's gonna be him, if it's gonna be Mansoor, Delaine... So I do think it'll either be Delaine or McCoy.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carnell Tate to be 1st wide receiver off the board1 | Position Order Calls | — | 100 | 9.48 | +90.52 | |
| Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 122 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 31 | 43.91 | 50 | −50 | |
| Francisco Mauigoa to be picked at number 33 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 162 | 0.1 | 50 | −50 | |
| Urey Bernard to be picked “round six, round seven”4 | Mock Draft Picks | — | — | — | — | |
| Mansoor Delane to be first corner off the board — either Delaine or McCoy corner off the board5 | Position Order Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Jermod McCoy to be first corner off the board — either Delaine or McCoy corner off the board6 | Position Order Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| 6 calls · 1 hit · 1 close call · 1 miss · 3 waiting | 48 | 36.5 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive6 checkable claims — 3 mock draft picks and 3 position order calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
3 of 6 have settled so far, averaging 48 out of 100, against 36.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Their call against what happened
positional finishTheir call against what actually happened.
1Position Order CallsCarnell Tate
Carnell Tate to be 1st wide receiver off the board
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 9.48100this call−9.48a naive guess=90.52better than naive×1difficulty=+90.52skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- naming one of the 36 at random averages 9.48
- skill:
- 90.52
- player:
- Carnell Tate
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- credit halves every two places
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 9.48
- position:
- wide receiver
- class size:
- 36
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual order:
- 1
- predicted order:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
2Mock Draft PicksKeldric FaulkDallas Cowboys
Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 12
What happenedWent 31mocked at 1243.91Close · naive 500this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=−50worse than naive×1difficulty=−50skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- −50
- player:
- Keldric Faulk
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 43.91
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 31
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 43.91
- predicted pick:
- 12
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 0
3Mock Draft PicksFrancisco MauigoaArizona Cardinals
Francisco Mauigoa to be picked at number 3
What happenedWent 162mocked at 30.1Miss · naive 500this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=−50worse than naive×1difficulty=−50skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- −50
- player:
- Francisco Mauigoa
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 0.1
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 162
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0.1
- predicted pick:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 0
Urey Bernard to be picked “round six, round seven”
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
5Position Order CallsMansoor Delane
Mansoor Delane to be first corner off the board — either Delaine or McCoy corner off the board
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
6Position Order CallsJermod McCoy
Jermod McCoy to be first corner off the board — either Delaine or McCoy corner off the board
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once
48naive 36.5
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Rich Eisen · Trade and Signing Calls · Micah Parsons · Miss 0
Eisen expects Myles Garrett to be traded before the draft and says the Browns will then take Abdul Carter with their early first-round pick; they also predict Buffalo will end up paying James Cook and that Micah Parsons will remain a Cowboy and get their money from Dallas, likely late in the process.Randy Gurzi · Roster Spot Calls · Jordan Hudson · Miss 0
Gurzi predicts the Cowboys' 17-man practice squad, naming each player they expect Dallas to sign, including a surprise addition of released Giants tackle Evan Neal. They also predict Jaydon Blue will be claimed off waivers by another team and that Sam Williams will land elsewhere.Jeff Cavanaugh · Roster Spot Calls · Marist Liufau · Hit 100
Building their projected Cowboys 53-man roster on defense, Jeff keeps five interior linemen (Kenny Clark, Quentin, Tito Obonia, LT Overton, Bullard), six edge rushers including Von Miller, Malachi Lawrence and Marist Liufau while cutting Sam Williams, four linebackers with Jayshawn Barham starting, six corners including rookie Devin Moore, and four safeties including Marquise Bell.
More position order calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Joe Marino · Position Order Calls · Arvell Reese · Hit 100
Marino stacks 14 inside linebackers in the 2026 NFL draft class and assigns each a round-value grade, with Sonny Styles first (top-10 grade) and Anthony Hill third; they say Hill would be their preferred pick if Buffalo takes a linebacker at No. 26.Ian Rapoport · Position Order Calls · Tetairoa McMillan · Close 71
Rapoport said Travis Hunter is likely the pick at No. 2 for the Browns, that Shedeur Sanders is in play at No. 3, and predicted Tetairoa McMillan would be the first receiver drafted. They also expected Brock Purdy's next deal to land around $50 million per year with Dak Prescott remaining the only quarterback above $60 million.Peter Schrager · Position Order Calls · Tetairoa McMillan · Close 71
Schrager laid out their top 10 prospects entering the 2025 combine, with Travis Hunter first, Abdul Carter second and Tyler Warren third, and attached draft-range calls to several of them — Will Johnson in the first round, Mason Graham a top-five pick, Ashton Jeanty a first-rounder, Tyler Warren not escaping the top ten, and Cam Ward a top-five to top-ten pick who will start as a rookie.Matty Lane · Position Order Calls · Spencer Fano · Hit 100
Maddie Lane said Spencer Fano is clearly the first tackle off the board, that the top four players in their mock will be four of the first five picks, that Malik Mohammed goes ahead of Igbunosin, and that Blake Miller would beat out Jalen Moore for the Chiefs' starting job.Daniel Jeremiah · Position Order Calls · Spencer Fano · Close 71
Jeremiah's Mock Draft 3.0, discussed pick by pick: Mendoza first overall, Arvell Reese to the Jets at 2, Francis Mauigoa to the Cardinals at 3, Jeremiyah Love to the Titans at 4, Sonny Styles to the Giants at 5, and on through the first round.