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Fran DuffyFeb 20, 2026

Duffy has Auburn's Keldrick Faulk as the No. 1 edge rusher in this draft class, ahead of Ohio State's Arvell Reese and Texas Tech's David Bailey, and defends taking them inside the top 10.

Said on air, transcribed by us · DLLS Dallas Cowboys (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 2calls landed1 close call · 1 miss · all settled
32.6Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
35A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 2Settlednone still waiting
0Waitingnot graded yet

What Fran Duffy said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I don't think it's a matter of if with Kendrick Fogg. I think it's a matter of when with Kendrick Fogg.
Fran Duffy, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
HIGHLIGHT: Fran Duffy Defends Ranking Keldric Faulk As Top Edge In 2026 NFL Draft
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidFeb 20
  2. GradedAug 13
  1. 1Keldric Faulk to be 1st edge rusher off the board“you have Kelvin Faulk as your number one edge rusher coming out of the draft this year ... there's three guys that are all, like, really close for me. And it's it's Keldrick Faulk from Auburn.”
  2. 2Keldric Faulk to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)“And to your the first part of your question, are you gonna buy that into the top 10? That's the nature of this class ... and Kelder Falk, I think, has that ability to get”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Keldric Faulk to be 1st edge rusher off the board1Position Order Calls—2520.09+4.91
Keldric Faulk to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)2Mock Draft PicksWent 3140.2650—
2 calls · 1 close call · 1 miss · all settled32.635

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 mock draft pick and 1 position order call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

All 2 have settled, averaging 32.6 out of 100, against 35 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

positional finish
1They said
5What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Position Order CallsKeldric Faulk

    Keldric Faulk to be 1st edge rusher off the board

    VerdictMiss
    25Miss · naive 20.09
    25this call20.09a naive guess4.91better than naive1difficulty+4.91skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    naming one of the 26 at random averages 20.09
    skill:
    4.91
    player:
    Keldric Faulk
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    credit halves every two places
    accuracy:
    25
    baseline:
    20.09
    position:
    edge rusher
    class size:
    26
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual order:
    5
    predicted order:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Mock Draft PicksKeldric Faulk

    Keldric Faulk to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)

    What happenedWent 31
    40.26Close · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Keldric Faulk
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    40.26
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    31
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    40.26
    predicted pick:
    top 10 (picks 1–10)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    32.6naive 35

Others on the same people

More position order calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.