Fran Duffy· Feb 20, 2026
Duffy has Auburn's Keldrick Faulk as the No. 1 edge rusher in this draft class, ahead of Ohio State's Arvell Reese and Texas Tech's David Bailey, and defends taking him inside the top 10.
“I don't think it's a matter of if with Kendrick Fogg. I think it's a matter of when with Kendrick Fogg.”
said on air, transcribed by us · DLLS Dallas Cowboys (podcast) · read the original →
2 checkable claims — 1 mock draft pick and 1 position order call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
All 2 have settled, averaging 32.6 out of 100, against 35 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
positional finish1They said
5What happened
Their call against what actually happened.
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Who this take is about
2 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Position Order CallsKeldric FaulkFeb 20, 2026
Keldric Faulk to be 1st edge rusher off the board
“you have Kelvin Faulk as your number one edge rusher coming out of the draft this year ... there's three guys that are all, like, really close for me. And it's it's Keldrick Faulk from Auburn.”
Miss · 25Scored 25a naive guess scored 20.09+4.91 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- naming one of the 26 at random averages 20.09
- skill:
- 4.91
- player:
- Keldric Faulk
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- credit halves every two places
- accuracy:
- 25
- baseline:
- 20.09
- position:
- edge rusher
- class size:
- 26
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual order:
- 5
- predicted order:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Mock Draft PicksKeldric FaulkFeb 20, 2026
Keldric Faulk to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
“And to your the first part of your question, are you gonna buy that into the top 10? That's the nature of this class ... and Kelder Falk, I think, has that ability to get”
Close · 40Scored 40.26a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Keldric Faulk
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 40.26
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 31
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 40.26
- predicted pick:
- top 10 (picks 1–10)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
What others said about the same people
- Jaime EisnerMock Draft Picks · Keldric FaulkHit · 96A seven-round Miami Dolphins mock draft for 2026, projecting Kenyon Sadiq at No. 11 and Keldric Faulk at No. 30, with Emmanuel Pregnon becoming an instant starter and Ted Hurst developing into a No. 2 receiver.
- Chris ClarkMock Draft Picks · Keldric FaulkHit · 100Reacting live to the Chiefs trading up to No. 6 for LSU cornerback Mansour Lane, Clark says Lane will immediately be a starter in Kansas City, and lists the edge/pass-rush prospects he thinks could be first-round options at pick 29.
- Nick WrightMock Draft Picks · Keldric FaulkClose · 59Nick Wright unveiled his full 32-pick 2026 NFL mock draft 4.0, starting with Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1 and ending with Avion Terrell to the Seahawks at 32. He also called Carnell Tate the best/safest receiver in the class, projected Ty Simpson inside the top 45, said Mendoza profiles as a low-end top-15 NFL quarterback, and expected the Dolphins to lose 15 games.
- David HarrisonMock Draft Picks · Keldric FaulkClose · 62Harrison delivers his only first-round mock draft for the 2026 NFL Draft, projecting all 32 first-round picks (including several trades) plus the rest of Washington's projected class, while noting it is an exercise in what could happen rather than a firm forecast.
- Pat GustavsonMock Draft Picks · Keldric FaulkClose · 44Gustafson handled the even-numbered mock draft picks: David Bailey No. 2 to the Jets, Jeremiah Love No. 4 to the Titans, Karnell Tate No. 6 to the Browns, Ruben Bane No. 8 to the Saints, Jordan Tyson No. 10 to the Giants, and so on. He also said Ty Simpson will be the biggest first-round bust and predicted the Cowboys will trade up into the top five.
- Nick WrightMock Draft Picks · Keldric FaulkClose · 59Nick Wright laid out his full mock draft 3.0 for the 2026 NFL Draft, pick by pick through the first round, and also predicted AJ Brown would finish top five in the NFL in receiving yards with the Patriots.
More position order calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Ryan WilsonPosition Order Calls · J.J. McCarthyHit · 100Recalling his pre-draft evaluation, Wilson notes he had ranked J.J. McCarthy as the fifth quarterback in the 2024 class and given him a second-round grade rather than a first-round one, citing the gap between Michigan's system and NFL demands.
- Nick ShookPosition Order Calls · Olaivavega IoaneMiss · 35Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three.
- Rhett LewisPosition Order Calls · Tyler ShoughHit · 100Lewis names Louisville's Tyler Shough as the new QB3 of the class — the third quarterback off the board — and views Milroe as a second-round selection.
- Nick WrightPosition Order Calls · Carnell TateHit · 100Nick Wright laid out his full mock draft 3.0 for the 2026 NFL Draft, pick by pick through the first round, and also predicted AJ Brown would finish top five in the NFL in receiving yards with the Patriots.
- Todd McShayPosition Order Calls · K.C. ConcepcionHit · 100McShay's mock draft 4.0 has Fernando Mendoza and David Bailey going 1-2 to the Raiders and Jets, the Saints trading up to No. 3 for Arvell Reese, the Titans taking Jeremiah Love at 4, the Giants taking Francis Mauigoa at 5 (though he'd now switch to Sonny Styles), the Cowboys trading up to 6, the Jets trading up to 7 for Carnell Tate, and Arizona trading up to 30 for Ty Simpson. He also predicts seven offensive tackles go in the first round and that Love, Styles, Downs and Reese all go in the top seven.
- Keith SanchezPosition Order Calls · Jordyn TysonClose · 71As relayed by Harrison, Sanchez's latest mock draft has Carnell Tate going to Washington, Jordan Tyson as the first receiver off the board at No. 5 to the Giants, Makai Lemmon at 11 and Chris Brasel at 30 to Miami, Sonny Styles at No. 8 to New Orleans, and Caleb Downs at No. 13 to the Rams.