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Writes at Split Ticket
Is Harrison Lavelle accurate? Across 3 graded calls in 1 article, Harrison Lavelle scores 100% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 33.33, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.
“becoming the third of the swing states to enter the Leans Republican column this cycle”
“Split Ticket has the state rated as Leans Republican , a flip from 2020”
“Split Ticket currently rates the state Likely Republican in our model.”