Krystal Ball Predictions: Record, Accuracy, Every Take

MissedTakes

Krystal predicted a Kamala Harris landslide in which Harris wins the presidency and carries all seven battleground states, arguing pollsters have missed a post-Roe shift among women.8 graded calls · Nov 4, 2024

“this map where every battleground state ultimately goes to Kamala Harris”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
right:
no
race:
2024-president-mi
election year:
2024
skill:
0
topic:
elections
held going in by:
Democratic
result from:
fec-2024-president
who won:
Donald Trump
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
race name:
2024 U.S. presidential election in Michigan
decided in the:
general
they said:
Kamala Harris
days before the vote when called:
0
difficulty:
1
the winner's party:
Republican
the naive guess:
the party holding the seat keeps it
Election Day:
2024-11-05
the result is:
certified
the party they named:
Democratic
Think this grade is wrong?
“this map where every battleground state ultimately goes to Kamala Harris”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
right:
no
race:
2024-president-wi
election year:
2024
skill:
0
topic:
elections
held going in by:
Democratic
result from:
fec-2024-president
who won:
Donald Trump
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
race name:
2024 U.S. presidential election in Wisconsin
decided in the:
general
they said:
Kamala Harris
days before the vote when called:
0
difficulty:
1
the winner's party:
“this map where every battleground state ultimately goes to Kamala Harris”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
right:
no
race:
2024-president-pa
election year:
2024
skill:
0
topic:
elections
held going in by:
Democratic
result from:
fec-2024-president
who won:
Donald Trump
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
race name:
2024 U.S. presidential election in Pennsylvania
decided in the:
general
they said:
Kamala Harris
days before the vote when called:
0
difficulty:
1
the winner's party:
“this map where every battleground state ultimately goes to Kamala Harris”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-100 skill
How this was scored
right:
no
race:
2024-president-nc
election year:
2024
skill:
-100
topic:
elections
held going in by:
Republican
result from:
fec-2024-president
who won:
Donald Trump
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
race name:
2024 U.S. presidential election in North Carolina
decided in the:
general
they said:
Kamala Harris
days before the vote when called:
0
difficulty:
1
the winner's party:
“this map where every battleground state ultimately goes to Kamala Harris”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
right:
no
race:
2024-president-az
election year:
2024
skill:
0
topic:
elections
held going in by:
Democratic
result from:
fec-2024-president
who won:
Donald Trump
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
race name:
2024 U.S. presidential election in Arizona
decided in the:
general
they said:
Kamala Harris
days before the vote when called:
0
difficulty:
1
the winner's party:
“this map where every battleground state ultimately goes to Kamala Harris”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
right:
no
race:
2024-president-nv
election year:
2024
skill:
0
topic:
elections
held going in by:
Democratic
result from:
fec-2024-president
who won:
Donald Trump
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
race name:
2024 U.S. presidential election in Nevada
decided in the:
general
they said:
Kamala Harris
days before the vote when called:
0
difficulty:
1
the winner's party:
“this map where every battleground state ultimately goes to Kamala Harris”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
right:
no
race:
2024-president-ga
election year:
2024
skill:
0
topic:
elections
held going in by:
Democratic
result from:
fec-2024-president
who won:
Donald Trump
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
race name:
2024 U.S. presidential election in Georgia
decided in the:
general
they said:
Kamala Harris
days before the vote when called:
0
difficulty:
1
the winner's party:
“I do have the Kamala landslide scenario, and by landslide, I mean that she wins some level of victory in all seven of the swing states.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
right:
no
race:
2024-president
election year:
2024
skill:
0
topic:
elections
held going in by:
Democratic
result from:
fec-2024-president
who won:
Donald Trump
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
race name:
2024 U.S. presidential election
decided in the:
electoral-college
they said:
Kamala Harris
days before the vote when called:
0
difficulty:
1
the winner's party:

Ball doubts Trump will win the national popular vote, and dismisses the idea that he can carry Virginia, New Mexico, New Jersey or Colorado, while calling the presidential race overall a coin flip.5 graded calls · Oct 28, 2024

“Is he gonna win New Mexico? Also, there is zero indication he's going to win the state of New Mexico.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
right:
yes
race:
2024-president-nm
election year:
2024
skill:
0
topic:
elections
held going in by:
Democratic
result from:
fec-2024-president
who won:
Kamala Harris
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
race name:
2024 U.S. presidential election in New Mexico
decided in the:
general
they said:
Kamala Harris
days before the vote when called:
7
difficulty:
1.01
the winner's party:
Democratic
the naive guess:
the party holding the seat keeps it
Election Day:
2024-11-05
the result is:
certified
the party they named:
Democratic
Think this grade is wrong?
“I saw people tweeting like, Oh, We're gonna win New Jersey, Like, no, you are not.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
right:
yes
race:
2024-president-nj
election year:
2024
skill:
0
topic:
elections
held going in by:
Democratic
result from:
fec-2024-president
who won:
Kamala Harris
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
race name:
2024 U.S. presidential election in New Jersey
decided in the:
general
they said:
Kamala Harris
days before the vote when called:
7
difficulty:
1.01
the winner's party:
“I mean, do I think Trump's going to win the popular vote? Probably not.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
right:
no
race:
2024-president
election year:
2024
skill:
0
topic:
elections
held going in by:
Democratic
in their words:
Probably not
result from:
fec-2024-president
who won:
Donald Trump
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
race name:
2024 U.S. presidential election
decided in the:
electoral-college
they said:
Kamala Harris
days before the vote when called:
7
difficulty:
1.01
“Is he going to win the state of Virginia this I would be willing to say absolutely not.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
right:
yes
race:
2024-president-va
election year:
2024
skill:
0
topic:
elections
held going in by:
Democratic
result from:
fec-2024-president
who won:
Kamala Harris
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
race name:
2024 U.S. presidential election in Virginia
decided in the:
general
they said:
Kamala Harris
days before the vote when called:
7
difficulty:
1.01
the winner's party:
“at the rally last night, he said he thinks they're going to win Colorado. You are not gonna win Colorado.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
right:
yes
race:
2024-president-co
election year:
2024
skill:
0
topic:
elections
held going in by:
Democratic
result from:
fec-2024-president
who won:
Kamala Harris
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
race name:
2024 U.S. presidential election in Colorado
decided in the:
general
they said:
Kamala Harris
days before the vote when called:
7
difficulty:
1.01
the winner's party:

Graded calls · 16