Loading…
Loading…
Hondo Carpenter covers the Las Vegas Raiders for Sports Illustrated, writing on roster moves, trade deadline activity, and player contract developments. Carpenter's predictions have named Brock Bowers, Maxx Crosby, and Kirk Cousins, and extend to game outcomes and playoff positioning.
Across 13 graded calls in 10 articles, Hondo Carpenter scores 70% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 46.67, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution. That ranks #14 of 87 ranked NFL pundits on the MissedTakes leaderboard.
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 51 calls · one square per call
10hits77% of graded
3misses23%
38waitingnot graded yet
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
Hondo Carpenter covers the Las Vegas Raiders for Sports Illustrated, writing on roster moves, trade deadline activity, and player contract developments. Carpenter's predictions have named Brock Bowers, Maxx Crosby, and Kirk Cousins, and extend to game outcomes and playoff positioning.
A longer profile is written once a record reaches 30 graded articles, and published only after a person reviews it.
13 graded calls in 10 articles, newest first — page 1 of 2. Every take from Hondo Carpenter, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
Las Vegas Raiders to beat Los Angeles Rams
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Why the ranks differ: a naive guess scores very differently depending on which calls were made, from 15.25% on the hardest record here to 85.71% on the easiest. Accuracy alone flatters easy calls, so by accuracy Hondo Carpenter would be #20; the Score measures the lift over a naive guess on the same calls, and that puts this record at #14.
| # | Pundit | Score | Accuracy | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Derek Brown | 48.03 | 69.56% | 115 |
| 13 | Gennaro Filice | 47.94 | 66.91% | 38 |
| 14 | Hondo Carpenter | 46.67 | 70% | 13 |
| 15 | Mike Florio | 45.89 | 64.67% | 40 |
| 16 | Mike Kadlick | 41.13 | 56.03% | 46 |
“The Rams are incredibly talented, but they are walking into a buzzsaw on Sunday. Will the Raiders be able to get over the top? I think so, but we shall see.”
Closing line (Oct 25): Rams by 3.5 · underdog pick, Raiders 38%.
Las Vegas Raiders to beat Los Angeles Rams
“with the Rams limping into Allegiant Stadium on Sunday... an upset is not a pipe dream; it is a true reality.”
Closing line (Oct 25): Rams by 3.5 · underdog pick, Raiders 38%.
Patrick Johnson to make the roster
“One rising player is veteran Patrick Johnson, who I project will make the roster and who is playing well.”
Segun Olubi to make the roster
“Olubi is a special teams standout, and for the first time all year, I now think he will make the 53-man roster, and the Silver and Black will carry five ILBs.”
Aidan O'Connell to make the roster
“Janocko is thrilled to have him on the roster, as projections indicate the Raiders will keep all three QBs.”
Kirk Cousins to make the roster
“I have said that since they signed QB Kirk Cousins, barring a trade offer that makes it mandatory that they move him, the team is expected to carry three QBs on the 53-man roster.”
Cian Slone to make the roster
“UDFA rookie Cian Slone is certainly making himself known, and I think he will make it”
Matt Gay to make the roster
“A great 52-yard field goal and solid kicking have all but solidified his role. I have reported since before the NFL Draft that he was in the driver’s seat for the kickers’ lone spot on the 53-man roster, and that remains accurate.”
Malcolm Koonce to make the roster
“Koonce will make the roster, but he deserves scrutiny when others like Johnson and Slone are flashing.”
Hezekiah Masses to make the roster
“But don’t say that too loud; he still thinks he is on the bubble and said he has his focus on making the 53-man roster. Hey, Hezekiah, you have.”
Cian Slone to make the roster
“I even had him making the team on my latest 53-man projected roster.”