Rich Eisen

Rich Eisen hosts The Rich Eisen Show and Overreaction Monday, where he covers the NFL with weekly power rankings, game previews and roster debates. His predictions span game outcomes, playoff races, draft positioning and player awards across the league.

Writes at The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)

Every take from Rich Eisen, including the ones still waiting →

Is Rich Eisen accurate? Across 463 graded calls in 126 articles, Rich Eisen scores 59.61% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 20.14, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is an established record: thirty or more graded articles.

59.61%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

20.14

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

463

Graded calls

across 126 articles. 327 more not yet settled.

97.15% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Graded calls · 463

12 of 127 graded articles on this page, newest first — page 12 of 13.

Eisen predicts three quarterbacks go in the first round, with Jaxson Dart taken at the end of the first round, and rejects the notion of three running backs or four quarterbacks in round one. He says Shedeur Sanders will not fall out of the top 10, and that the Browns will draft a quarterback second overall.5 graded calls · Mar 3, 2025
- Shedeur Sanders to be picked “not falling out of the top 10” (picks 1–10)
  “So I don't think he's falling out of the top 10 at all. No way, man.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0.3a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2025
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  player:
  Shedeur Sanders
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  0.3
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  144
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  0.3
  predicted pick:
  not falling out of the top 10 (picks 1–10)
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  only one pick — no order to score
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl
  “How do we go from that to, oh, they got Deebo, and, no longer are they the the leaders in the clubhouse in their own conference. Jeez, man. That's an overreaction.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  they picked:
  PHI
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  champions:
  NE,SEA
  difficulty:
  2
  the naive guess:
  last season's conference champions
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  reached the Super Bowl:
  no
  lost the conference final:
  no
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Cleveland Browns to pick at number 2
  “virtually every human I I ran into in the Indianapolis thinks the Browns are taking a quarterback second overall, and that's the end of that”
  Hit · 88Scored 87.81a naive guess scored 11.97+151.69 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  CLE
  draft:
  2025
  naive:
  they picked 54 the year before
  skill:
  151.69
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  87.81
  baseline:
  11.97
  actual pick:
  5
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  predicted pick:
  2
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Los Angeles Rams to win the division
  “With him staying put, the NFC West Rams division to lose in 2025. I totally agree. I absolutely totally agree.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  method:
  division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
  they picked:
  LAR
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  the naive pick:
  LAR
  difficulty:
  2
  the naive guess:
  last season's winner of the same division
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  won the division:
  no
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Jaxson Dart to be picked “taken the end of the first round” (picks 1–32)
  “So I think Jackson Dart is gonna get taken the end of the first round.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2025
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  player:
  Jaxson Dart
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  25
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  100
  predicted pick:
  taken the end of the first round (picks 1–32)
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  only one pick — no order to score
  Think this grade is wrong?
From the combine, Eisen argued Travis Hunter is worthy of being the No. 1 overall pick, and projected him as a perennial Pro Bowler who will eventually have to pick a side of the ball.2 graded calls · Feb 27, 2025
- Travis Hunter to be picked at number 1
  “makes me think, you know, he's first overall pick, material certainly since as you get to learn who he is”
  Hit · 96Scored 95.76a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2025
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  player:
  Travis Hunter
  season:
  2024
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  95.76
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  2
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  95.76
  predicted pick:
  1
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  only one pick — no order to score
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Travis Hunter to make Pro Bowl
  “at some point in his career, he'll have to decide which side of the football to basically spend the majority of his time on when he gets, you know, knock on wood, deep into his twenties as a perennial pro bowler”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-100 skill
  How this was scored
  made:
  no
  naive:
  he did not make it the year before, so the naive pick said no
  skill:
  -100
  player:
  d3e6a444-a71b-4581-9115-4fd9f9a29e27
  season:
  2024
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  selection:
  pro_bowl
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  0
  Think this grade is wrong?
Eisen expects Myles Garrett to be traded before the draft and says the Browns will then take Abdul Carter with their early first-round pick; he also predicts Buffalo will end up paying James Cook and that Micah Parsons will remain a Cowboy and get his money from Dallas, likely late in the process.Feb 24, 2025
- Abdul Carter to be picked at number 2
  “The Browns are taking Abdul. ... I mean, if Myles Garrett get traded, it's for sure Abdul Carr because they have to replace that position.”
  Hit · 96Scored 95.76a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2025
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  player:
  Abdul Carter
  season:
  2024
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  95.76
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  3
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  95.76
  predicted pick:
  2
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  only one pick — no order to score
  Think this grade is wrong?
Rich Eisen laid out his "way, way too early" top-10 NFL power rankings for the 2025 season, with the Eagles first, Ravens second and Commanders third, and separately said the Chiefs would still finish as a top-two seed in the AFC.2 graded calls · Feb 12, 2025
- “Number 10 on the list, the LA chargers... I'm putting the Denver Broncos at nine... I'm putting the Vikings at eight... the Los Angeles Rams... They're seventh on this list... I'm putting the Bills here [six]... Lions fans at five... I'm putting the Chiefs at four... Number three on this list, I'm putting the Washington commanders... Number two on the list is the top team in the AFC. I'm putting the Ravens here... And then number one is... the Philadelphia Eagles”
  Close · 68Scored 67.5a naive guess scored 71.67-4.17 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  -4.17
  method:
  spearman
  season:
  2024
  accuracy:
  67.5
  baseline:
  71.67
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  teams ranked:
  9
  weeks left when called:
  0
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Kansas City Chiefs to take the top seed
  “I still think that when it's all said and done, they're gonna be a top four, top five team, top two seed in the AFC next year.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  they picked:
  KC
  season:
  2024
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  checked as:
  seeds 2–4 host a wild-card game — the bracket cannot separate them further
  actual tier:
  bye
  difficulty:
  1
  the naive guess:
  where they finished last season (host)
  weeks in the season:
  18
  claimed seed:
  2
  claimed tier:
  host
  weeks left when called:
  0
  Think this grade is wrong?
Eisen predicted the NFL would choose the Detroit Lions as the Eagles' opponent for the season-opening game in Philadelphia, and also suggested Josh Sweat would sign with New England. He also floated the Rams as the team best positioned to knock off the Eagles in the NFC, and expected the Rams to run it back with Matthew Stafford.Feb 11, 2025
- Josh Sweat to move to New England Patriots
  “Josh Sweat's going to look good in New England.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  player:
  Josh Sweat
  season:
  2025
  claimed:
  NE
  was with:
  PHI
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  difficulty:
  2
  the naive guess:
  he stays where he is
  weeks in the season:
  18
  ended up with:
  ARI
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
Eisen stuck with his preseason call of a Chiefs three-peat, predicting a 32-26 Kansas City win with Patrick Mahomes as Super Bowl MVP.3 graded calls · Feb 7, 2025
- Patrick Mahomes to win Super Bowl MVP
  “Patrick Mahomes is gonna be the MVP, and he's gonna join Shaq and Michael Jordan as the, only human beings to win the MVP of their sports championship game”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  award:
  mvp
  naive:
  the naive pick was Lamar Jackson, who won it the year before
  skill:
  0
  player:
  Patrick Mahomes
  season:
  2024
  winner:
  Josh Allen
  correct:
  no
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  0
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Kansas City Chiefs 32 — Eagles 26
  “And I think that the Chiefs are winning this football game, and they're gonna win it with yet another 30 burger... I have a thirty two twenty six final.”
  Miss · 21Scored 21.43a naive guess scored 62.56-41.14 skill
  How this was scored
  score:
  22-40
  skill:
  -41.14
  they picked:
  KC
  season:
  2024
  accuracy:
  21.43
  baseline:
  62.56
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  actual margin:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  0
  naive home margin:
  2.28
  predicted margin:
  6
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl
  “I predicted on our show ... that the Kansas City Chiefs would in fact be the three pea champions of this league. And I saw it then, and I'm seeing it now.”
  Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 50+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  they picked:
  KC
  season:
  2024
  accuracy:
  50
  baseline:
  50
  champion:
  PHI
  runner up:
  KC
  the naive pick:
  KC
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  0
  Think this grade is wrong?
Eisen said he expects the Rams to beat the Vikings in the Monday night wild card game, a pick he also made on Sunday's Game Day Morning.Jan 13, 2025
- Los Angeles Rams to beat Vikings
  “I chose the Rams to win this game on game day morning. ... I'm concerned that the Rams, if they win it, which I think they will”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  LAR
  score:
  9-27
  skill:
  0
  they picked:
  LAR
  season:
  2024
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  the naive pick:
  LAR
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  0
  Think this grade is wrong?
Eisen argued the Lions have the grit, smarts and personnel to win the NFC and reach the Super Bowl, predicted Josh Allen wins MVP, and laid out his projected MVP top five with Jared Goff finishing third and Joe Burrow sneaking into the group alongside Saquon Barkley and Lamar Jackson.6 graded calls · Jan 6, 2025
- Lamar Jackson to win MVP voting top five
  “let's let's just quickly here guess who the five final five are. Okay. Saquon? Should be. And Goff and Allen and Lamar.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  award:
  mvp
  naive:
  the naive pick was Lamar Jackson, who won it the year before
  skill:
  0
  player:
  Lamar Jackson
  season:
  2024
  winner:
  Josh Allen
  correct:
  no
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  0
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Detroit Lions to reach the Super Bowl
  “I think what I saw out of the Lions is the grit that would require them to actually, go to the Super Bowl... they have the smarts and they have the personnel somehow, some way to actually win this conference.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-100 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  -100
  they picked:
  DET
  season:
  2024
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  champions:
  PHI,KC
  difficulty:
  1
  the naive guess:
  last season's conference champions
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  0
  reached the Super Bowl:
  no
  lost the conference final:
  no
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Joe Burrow to win MVP voting top five
  “I think Burrow's gonna sneak in there.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  award:
  mvp
  naive:
  the naive pick was Lamar Jackson, who won it the year before
  skill:
  0
  player:
  Joe Burrow
  season:
  2024
  winner:
  Josh Allen
  correct:
  no
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  0
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Saquon Barkley to win MVP voting top five
  “He'll be he'll be in the top five.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  award:
  mvp
  naive:
  the naive pick was Lamar Jackson, who won it the year before
  skill:
  0
  player:
  Saquon Barkley
  season:
  2024
  winner:
  Josh Allen
  correct:
  no
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  0
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Jared Goff to win third in MVP voting
  “Goff Goff's gonna be third. I I I'm with you. I'll just push back and say this is an overreaction and say it's gonna be Goff.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  award:
  mvp
  naive:
  the naive pick was Lamar Jackson, who won it the year before
  skill:
  0
  player:
  Jared Goff
  season:
  2024
  winner:
  Josh Allen
  correct:
  no
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  0
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Josh Allen to win MVP
  “rookie quarterback against MVP quarterback, which is what I believe Josh Allen's gonna wind up being with all due respect to everybody else”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
  How this was scored
  award:
  mvp
  naive:
  the naive pick was Lamar Jackson, who won it the year before
  skill:
  100
  player:
  Josh Allen
  season:
  2024
  winner:
  Josh Allen
  correct:
  yes
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  0
  Think this grade is wrong?
Eisen predicts Tampa Bay handles an injury-depleted Saints team with Mike Evans reaching 1,000 receiving yards, Carson Wentz and the Chiefs upsetting the Broncos, New England beating Buffalo and then picking second or third and landing Travis Hunter, and Kenneth Gainwell rushing for 101 yards against the Giants.5 graded calls · Jan 3, 2025
- Kansas City Chiefs to beat Broncos
  “What's more likely, Super Bowl champion backup quarterback to get an upset win? Carson Wentz or Jimmy Garoppolo? ... I'm gonna go Carson Wentz. ... And Carson Wentz is gonna use this as an opportunity to just knock the Broncos out of the playoffs”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-106 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  DEN
  score:
  0-38
  skill:
  -106
  they picked:
  KC
  season:
  2024
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  the naive pick:
  DEN
  difficulty:
  1.06
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  1
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat New Orleans Saints
  “And, and Spencer Rattler or whomever is gonna be out there for a lot of injured saints, are gonna have a long day, and the Falcons need a miracle on that front in order to make it.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  TB
  score:
  19-27
  skill:
  0
  they picked:
  TB
  season:
  2024
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  the naive pick:
  TB
  difficulty:
  1.06
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  1
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Kenny Gainwell to record 101 rushing yards
  “And so I think Kenneth Gainwell might have a 101 yards. I'll I'll even call my shot. Oh. Kenneth Gainwell will gain well. 101 yards.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 53.72-56.94 skill
  How this was scored
  naive:
  377.32
  skill:
  -56.94
  what happened:
  290
  player:
  Kenny Gainwell
  season:
  2024
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  53.72
  predicted:
  101
  statistic:
  rushing_yards
  difficulty:
  1.06
  last season:
  364
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  1
  position average:
  390.64
  zero at percent out:
  50
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Mike Evans to record 1,000 receiving yards
  “And I think the Bucks, with Baker are a, are a focused bunch, and I think Mike Evans is gonna get his thousand yard season because Baker is going to manifest it.”
  Hit · 99Scored 99.2a naive guess scored 63.34+38.02 skill
  How this was scored
  naive:
  819.95
  skill:
  38.02
  what happened:
  1004
  player:
  Mike Evans
  season:
  2024
  accuracy:
  99.2
  baseline:
  63.34
  predicted:
  1000
  statistic:
  receiving_yards
  difficulty:
  1.06
  last season:
  1255
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  1
  position average:
  384.91
  zero at percent out:
  50
  Think this grade is wrong?
- New England Patriots to beat Buffalo Bills
  “And it's gonna be Jeracke Maier versus, Mitchell Trubisky. And I think you win this game, pal. ... No. Not when they beat the Bills.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  NE
  score:
  16-23
  skill:
  0
  they picked:
  NE
  season:
  2024
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  the naive pick:
  NE
  difficulty:
  1.06
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  1
  Think this grade is wrong?
Eisen pushed back on the Commanders claim, saying the Ravens and Eagles will go further and could meet in the Super Bowl in New Orleans, and said the Vikings can win in Detroit for the one seed and reach the Super Bowl. He also said the Steelers will not win the AFC North.4 graded calls · Dec 30, 2024
- Baltimore Ravens to reach the Super Bowl
  “I would choose the Ravens and the Eagles to last longer than the commanders to the point where that could even be your Super Bowl in New Orleans.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-111 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  -111
  they picked:
  BAL
  season:
  2024
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  champions:
  PHI,KC
  difficulty:
  1.11
  the naive guess:
  last season's conference champions
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  2
  reached the Super Bowl:
  no
  lost the conference final:
  no
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Minnesota Vikings to reach the Super Bowl
  “So the Vikings can 100% win that game in Detroit and get the week off ... And if they are healthy, they can absolutely make it to the Super Bowl.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-111 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  -111
  they picked:
  MIN
  season:
  2024
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  champions:
  PHI,KC
  difficulty:
  1.11
  the naive guess:
  last season's conference champions
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  2
  reached the Super Bowl:
  no
  lost the conference final:
  no
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Washington Commanders to win the division
  “Pittsburgh is not going to win the division, bud.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  method:
  division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
  they picked:
  WAS
  season:
  2024
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  the naive pick:
  DAL
  difficulty:
  1.11
  the naive guess:
  last season's winner of the same division
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  2
  won the division:
  no
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl
  “I would choose the Ravens and the Eagles to last longer than the commanders to the point where that could even be your Super Bowl in New Orleans. Easily, that could be your Super Bowl. Eagles, Ravens. 100.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  they picked:
  PHI
  season:
  2024
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  champions:
  PHI,KC
  difficulty:
  1.11
  the naive guess:
  last season's conference champions
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  2
  reached the Super Bowl:
  yes
  lost the conference final:
  no
  Think this grade is wrong?
Eisen said the Falcons will end up the NFC's four seed but will lose Sunday night in Washington, reiterated his earlier call of the Rams as NFC West champs, agreed the Chiefs are going to the Super Bowl, and said Michigan's Will Johnson will be a top-10 NFL draft pick.5 graded calls · Dec 23, 2024
- Washington Commanders to beat Atlanta
  “So for Atlanta to make it, they're going to have to get a little bit of help, I think, because, I think they're gonna lose in Washington.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  WAS
  score:
  24-30
  skill:
  0
  they picked:
  WAS
  season:
  2024
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  the naive pick:
  WAS
  difficulty:
  1.17
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  3
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Atlanta Falcons to take the top seed
  “I'll push back and call that an overreaction because the Atlanta Falcons are gonna be the the four seed.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-117 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  -117
  they picked:
  ATL
  season:
  2024
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  checked as:
  seeds 2–4 host a wild-card game — the bracket cannot separate them further
  actual tier:
  missed the playoffs
  difficulty:
  1.17
  the naive guess:
  where they finished last season (missed the playoffs)
  weeks in the season:
  18
  claimed seed:
  4
  claimed tier:
  host
  weeks left when called:
  3
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Kansas City Chiefs to reach the Super Bowl
  “That's not an overreaction, Chris. I've been saying it since the Tuesday before Labor Day.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  they picked:
  KC
  season:
  2024
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  champions:
  PHI,KC
  difficulty:
  1.17
  the naive guess:
  last season's conference champions
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  3
  reached the Super Bowl:
  yes
  lost the conference final:
  no
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Los Angeles Rams to win the division
  “I had the Rams hosting the Vikings on a Saturday night, the Rams as the, the NFC West champs ... I saw that one coming before anybody put their marker on the Rams to win the West”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+117 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  117
  method:
  division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
  they picked:
  LAR
  season:
  2024
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  the naive pick:
  SF
  difficulty:
  1.17
  the naive guess:
  last season's winner of the same division
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  3
  won the division:
  yes
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Will Johnson to be picked “top 10 pick” (picks 1–10)
  “And we didn't have Will Johnson who may be a top 10 pick. He's gonna be a top 10 pick in in the NFL.”
  Miss · 20Scored 20.13a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2025
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  player:
  Will Johnson
  season:
  2024
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  20.13
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  47
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  20.13
  predicted pick:
  top 10 pick (picks 1–10)
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  only one pick — no order to score
  Think this grade is wrong?
Rich Eisen argued Josh Allen has clinched the MVP race after his performance in Detroit, while pushing back on the idea that Buffalo is the Super Bowl favorite. He also said the Chargers won't collapse out of the playoff field, that Washington is in, and floated Detroit possibly winning the NFC North.4 graded calls · Dec 16, 2024
- Los Angeles Chargers to make the playoffs
  “I know you wanna say that they're just gonna fall apart like always... I I just don't think that that they're not gonna lose... Yeah. I'm I'm gonna push back on that, Chris.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+122 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  LAC
  skill:
  122
  season:
  2024
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  the naive guess said:
  no
  difficulty:
  1.22
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made the playoffs:
  yes
  weeks left when called:
  4
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Washington Commanders to make the playoffs
  “I think the commanders are in. Yeah. Having nine wins. Because the teams that we just mentioned, in order to make it, would have to win their divisions, which means the commanders are safe.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+122 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  WAS
  skill:
  122
  season:
  2024
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  the naive guess said:
  no
  difficulty:
  1.22
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made the playoffs:
  yes
  weeks left when called:
  4
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Josh Allen to win MVP
  “But Josh Allen, I think, has ended the MVP conversation with the win in Detroit the way that he's played the last two weeks... I am now part and parcel of the the general sense... that this MVP race is over.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+122 skill
  How this was scored
  award:
  mvp
  naive:
  the naive pick was Lamar Jackson, who won it the year before
  skill:
  122
  player:
  Josh Allen
  season:
  2024
  winner:
  Josh Allen
  correct:
  yes
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  difficulty:
  1.22
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  4
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Detroit Lions to win the division
  “The Lions might even win their division, pal.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  method:
  division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
  they picked:
  DET
  season:
  2024
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  the naive pick:
  DET
  difficulty:
  1.22
  the naive guess:
  last season's winner of the same division
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  4
  won the division:
  yes
  Think this grade is wrong?

Rich Eisen

Graded calls · 463

12 of 127 graded articles on this page, newest first — page 12 of 13.

Eisen predicts three quarterbacks go in the first round, with Jaxson Dart taken at the end of the first round, and rejects the notion of three running backs or four quarterbacks in round one. He says Shedeur Sanders will not fall out of the top 10, and that the Browns will draft a quarterback second overall.5 graded calls · Mar 3, 2025

Shedeur Sanders to be picked “not falling out of the top 10” (picks 1–10)
“So I don't think he's falling out of the top 10 at all. No way, man.”
Miss · 0Scored 0.3a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Shedeur Sanders
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
0.3
baseline:
50
actual pick:
144
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0.3
predicted pick:
not falling out of the top 10 (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl
“How do we go from that to, oh, they got Deebo, and, no longer are they the the leaders in the clubhouse in their own conference. Jeez, man. That's an overreaction.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
they picked:
PHI
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
champions:
NE,SEA
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's conference champions
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
reached the Super Bowl:
no
lost the conference final:
no
Think this grade is wrong?
Cleveland Browns to pick at number 2
“virtually every human I I ran into in the Indianapolis thinks the Browns are taking a quarterback second overall, and that's the end of that”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81a naive guess scored 11.97+151.69 skill
How this was scored
team:
CLE
draft:
2025
naive:
they picked 54 the year before
skill:
151.69
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
11.97
actual pick:
5
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
predicted pick:
2
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Los Angeles Rams to win the division
“With him staying put, the NFC West Rams division to lose in 2025. I totally agree. I absolutely totally agree.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
LAR
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
LAR
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
no
Think this grade is wrong?
Jaxson Dart to be picked “taken the end of the first round” (picks 1–32)
“So I think Jackson Dart is gonna get taken the end of the first round.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Jaxson Dart
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
25
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
taken the end of the first round (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?

From the combine, Eisen argued Travis Hunter is worthy of being the No. 1 overall pick, and projected him as a perennial Pro Bowler who will eventually have to pick a side of the ball.2 graded calls · Feb 27, 2025

Travis Hunter to be picked at number 1
“makes me think, you know, he's first overall pick, material certainly since as you get to learn who he is”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Travis Hunter
season:
2024
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
2
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Travis Hunter to make Pro Bowl
“at some point in his career, he'll have to decide which side of the football to basically spend the majority of his time on when he gets, you know, knock on wood, deep into his twenties as a perennial pro bowler”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-100 skill
How this was scored
made:
no
naive:
he did not make it the year before, so the naive pick said no
skill:
-100
player:
d3e6a444-a71b-4581-9115-4fd9f9a29e27
season:
2024
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
selection:
pro_bowl
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?

Eisen expects Myles Garrett to be traded before the draft and says the Browns will then take Abdul Carter with their early first-round pick; he also predicts Buffalo will end up paying James Cook and that Micah Parsons will remain a Cowboy and get his money from Dallas, likely late in the process.Feb 24, 2025

Abdul Carter to be picked at number 2
“The Browns are taking Abdul. ... I mean, if Myles Garrett get traded, it's for sure Abdul Carr because they have to replace that position.”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Abdul Carter
season:
2024
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
3
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
2
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?

Rich Eisen laid out his "way, way too early" top-10 NFL power rankings for the 2025 season, with the Eagles first, Ravens second and Commanders third, and separately said the Chiefs would still finish as a top-two seed in the AFC.2 graded calls · Feb 12, 2025

“Number 10 on the list, the LA chargers... I'm putting the Denver Broncos at nine... I'm putting the Vikings at eight... the Los Angeles Rams... They're seventh on this list... I'm putting the Bills here [six]... Lions fans at five... I'm putting the Chiefs at four... Number three on this list, I'm putting the Washington commanders... Number two on the list is the top team in the AFC. I'm putting the Ravens here... And then number one is... the Philadelphia Eagles”
Close · 68Scored 67.5a naive guess scored 71.67-4.17 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-4.17
method:
spearman
season:
2024
accuracy:
67.5
baseline:
71.67
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
9
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Kansas City Chiefs to take the top seed
“I still think that when it's all said and done, they're gonna be a top four, top five team, top two seed in the AFC next year.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
they picked:
KC
season:
2024
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
checked as:
seeds 2–4 host a wild-card game — the bracket cannot separate them further
actual tier:
bye
difficulty:
1
the naive guess:
where they finished last season (host)
weeks in the season:
18
claimed seed:
2
claimed tier:
host
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?

Eisen predicted the NFL would choose the Detroit Lions as the Eagles' opponent for the season-opening game in Philadelphia, and also suggested Josh Sweat would sign with New England. He also floated the Rams as the team best positioned to knock off the Eagles in the NFC, and expected the Rams to run it back with Matthew Stafford.Feb 11, 2025

Josh Sweat to move to New England Patriots
“Josh Sweat's going to look good in New England.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
player:
Josh Sweat
season:
2025
claimed:
NE
was with:
PHI
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he stays where he is
weeks in the season:
18
ended up with:
ARI
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?

Eisen stuck with his preseason call of a Chiefs three-peat, predicting a 32-26 Kansas City win with Patrick Mahomes as Super Bowl MVP.3 graded calls · Feb 7, 2025

Patrick Mahomes to win Super Bowl MVP
“Patrick Mahomes is gonna be the MVP, and he's gonna join Shaq and Michael Jordan as the, only human beings to win the MVP of their sports championship game”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
mvp
naive:
the naive pick was Lamar Jackson, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Patrick Mahomes
season:
2024
winner:
Josh Allen
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Kansas City Chiefs 32 — Eagles 26
“And I think that the Chiefs are winning this football game, and they're gonna win it with yet another 30 burger... I have a thirty two twenty six final.”
Miss · 21Scored 21.43a naive guess scored 62.56-41.14 skill
How this was scored
score:
22-40
skill:
-41.14
they picked:
KC
season:
2024
accuracy:
21.43
baseline:
62.56
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
18
weeks left when called:
0
naive home margin:
2.28
predicted margin:
6
Think this grade is wrong?
Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl
“I predicted on our show ... that the Kansas City Chiefs would in fact be the three pea champions of this league. And I saw it then, and I'm seeing it now.”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 50+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
they picked:
KC
season:
2024
accuracy:
50
baseline:
50
champion:
PHI
runner up:
KC
the naive pick:
KC
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?

Eisen said he expects the Rams to beat the Vikings in the Monday night wild card game, a pick he also made on Sunday's Game Day Morning.Jan 13, 2025

Los Angeles Rams to beat Vikings
“I chose the Rams to win this game on game day morning. ... I'm concerned that the Rams, if they win it, which I think they will”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
LAR
score:
9-27
skill:
0
they picked:
LAR
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
LAR
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?

Eisen argued the Lions have the grit, smarts and personnel to win the NFC and reach the Super Bowl, predicted Josh Allen wins MVP, and laid out his projected MVP top five with Jared Goff finishing third and Joe Burrow sneaking into the group alongside Saquon Barkley and Lamar Jackson.6 graded calls · Jan 6, 2025

Lamar Jackson to win MVP voting top five
“let's let's just quickly here guess who the five final five are. Okay. Saquon? Should be. And Goff and Allen and Lamar.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
mvp
naive:
the naive pick was Lamar Jackson, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Lamar Jackson
season:
2024
winner:
Josh Allen
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Detroit Lions to reach the Super Bowl
“I think what I saw out of the Lions is the grit that would require them to actually, go to the Super Bowl... they have the smarts and they have the personnel somehow, some way to actually win this conference.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-100 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-100
they picked:
DET
season:
2024
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
champions:
PHI,KC
difficulty:
1
the naive guess:
last season's conference champions
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
reached the Super Bowl:
no
lost the conference final:
no
Think this grade is wrong?
Joe Burrow to win MVP voting top five
“I think Burrow's gonna sneak in there.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
mvp
naive:
the naive pick was Lamar Jackson, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Joe Burrow
season:
2024
winner:
Josh Allen
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Saquon Barkley to win MVP voting top five
“He'll be he'll be in the top five.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
mvp
naive:
the naive pick was Lamar Jackson, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Saquon Barkley
season:
2024
winner:
Josh Allen
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Jared Goff to win third in MVP voting
“Goff Goff's gonna be third. I I I'm with you. I'll just push back and say this is an overreaction and say it's gonna be Goff.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
mvp
naive:
the naive pick was Lamar Jackson, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Jared Goff
season:
2024
winner:
Josh Allen
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Josh Allen to win MVP
“rookie quarterback against MVP quarterback, which is what I believe Josh Allen's gonna wind up being with all due respect to everybody else”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
How this was scored
award:
mvp
naive:
the naive pick was Lamar Jackson, who won it the year before
skill:
100
player:
Josh Allen
season:
2024
winner:
Josh Allen
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?

Eisen predicts Tampa Bay handles an injury-depleted Saints team with Mike Evans reaching 1,000 receiving yards, Carson Wentz and the Chiefs upsetting the Broncos, New England beating Buffalo and then picking second or third and landing Travis Hunter, and Kenneth Gainwell rushing for 101 yards against the Giants.5 graded calls · Jan 3, 2025

Kansas City Chiefs to beat Broncos
“What's more likely, Super Bowl champion backup quarterback to get an upset win? Carson Wentz or Jimmy Garoppolo? ... I'm gonna go Carson Wentz. ... And Carson Wentz is gonna use this as an opportunity to just knock the Broncos out of the playoffs”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-106 skill
How this was scored
won:
DEN
score:
0-38
skill:
-106
they picked:
KC
season:
2024
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
DEN
difficulty:
1.06
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
1
Think this grade is wrong?
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat New Orleans Saints
“And, and Spencer Rattler or whomever is gonna be out there for a lot of injured saints, are gonna have a long day, and the Falcons need a miracle on that front in order to make it.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
TB
score:
19-27
skill:
0
they picked:
TB
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
TB
difficulty:
1.06
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
1
Think this grade is wrong?
Kenny Gainwell to record 101 rushing yards
“And so I think Kenneth Gainwell might have a 101 yards. I'll I'll even call my shot. Oh. Kenneth Gainwell will gain well. 101 yards.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 53.72-56.94 skill
How this was scored
naive:
377.32
skill:
-56.94
what happened:
290
player:
Kenny Gainwell
season:
2024
accuracy:
0
baseline:
53.72
predicted:
101
statistic:
rushing_yards
difficulty:
1.06
last season:
364
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
1
position average:
390.64
zero at percent out:
50
Think this grade is wrong?
Mike Evans to record 1,000 receiving yards
“And I think the Bucks, with Baker are a, are a focused bunch, and I think Mike Evans is gonna get his thousand yard season because Baker is going to manifest it.”
Hit · 99Scored 99.2a naive guess scored 63.34+38.02 skill
How this was scored
naive:
819.95
skill:
38.02
what happened:
1004
player:
Mike Evans
season:
2024
accuracy:
99.2
baseline:
63.34
predicted:
1000
statistic:
receiving_yards
difficulty:
1.06
last season:
1255
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
1
position average:
384.91
zero at percent out:
50
Think this grade is wrong?
New England Patriots to beat Buffalo Bills
“And it's gonna be Jeracke Maier versus, Mitchell Trubisky. And I think you win this game, pal. ... No. Not when they beat the Bills.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
NE
score:
16-23
skill:
0
they picked:
NE
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
NE
difficulty:
1.06
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
1
Think this grade is wrong?

Eisen pushed back on the Commanders claim, saying the Ravens and Eagles will go further and could meet in the Super Bowl in New Orleans, and said the Vikings can win in Detroit for the one seed and reach the Super Bowl. He also said the Steelers will not win the AFC North.4 graded calls · Dec 30, 2024

Baltimore Ravens to reach the Super Bowl
“I would choose the Ravens and the Eagles to last longer than the commanders to the point where that could even be your Super Bowl in New Orleans.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-111 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-111
they picked:
BAL
season:
2024
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
champions:
PHI,KC
difficulty:
1.11
the naive guess:
last season's conference champions
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
2
reached the Super Bowl:
no
lost the conference final:
no
Think this grade is wrong?
Minnesota Vikings to reach the Super Bowl
“So the Vikings can 100% win that game in Detroit and get the week off ... And if they are healthy, they can absolutely make it to the Super Bowl.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-111 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-111
they picked:
MIN
season:
2024
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
champions:
PHI,KC
difficulty:
1.11
the naive guess:
last season's conference champions
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
2
reached the Super Bowl:
no
lost the conference final:
no
Think this grade is wrong?
Washington Commanders to win the division
“Pittsburgh is not going to win the division, bud.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
WAS
season:
2024
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
DAL
difficulty:
1.11
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
2
won the division:
no
Think this grade is wrong?
Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl
“I would choose the Ravens and the Eagles to last longer than the commanders to the point where that could even be your Super Bowl in New Orleans. Easily, that could be your Super Bowl. Eagles, Ravens. 100.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
they picked:
PHI
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
champions:
PHI,KC
difficulty:
1.11
the naive guess:
last season's conference champions
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
2
reached the Super Bowl:
yes
lost the conference final:
no
Think this grade is wrong?

Eisen said the Falcons will end up the NFC's four seed but will lose Sunday night in Washington, reiterated his earlier call of the Rams as NFC West champs, agreed the Chiefs are going to the Super Bowl, and said Michigan's Will Johnson will be a top-10 NFL draft pick.5 graded calls · Dec 23, 2024

Washington Commanders to beat Atlanta
“So for Atlanta to make it, they're going to have to get a little bit of help, I think, because, I think they're gonna lose in Washington.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
WAS
score:
24-30
skill:
0
they picked:
WAS
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
WAS
difficulty:
1.17
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
3
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Atlanta Falcons to take the top seed
“I'll push back and call that an overreaction because the Atlanta Falcons are gonna be the the four seed.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-117 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-117
they picked:
ATL
season:
2024
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
checked as:
seeds 2–4 host a wild-card game — the bracket cannot separate them further
actual tier:
missed the playoffs
difficulty:
1.17
the naive guess:
where they finished last season (missed the playoffs)
weeks in the season:
18
claimed seed:
4
claimed tier:
host
weeks left when called:
3
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Kansas City Chiefs to reach the Super Bowl
“That's not an overreaction, Chris. I've been saying it since the Tuesday before Labor Day.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
they picked:
KC
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
champions:
PHI,KC
difficulty:
1.17
the naive guess:
last season's conference champions
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
3
reached the Super Bowl:
yes
lost the conference final:
no
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Los Angeles Rams to win the division
“I had the Rams hosting the Vikings on a Saturday night, the Rams as the, the NFC West champs ... I saw that one coming before anybody put their marker on the Rams to win the West”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+117 skill
How this was scored
skill:
117
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
LAR
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
SF
difficulty:
1.17
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
3
won the division:
yes
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Will Johnson to be picked “top 10 pick” (picks 1–10)
“And we didn't have Will Johnson who may be a top 10 pick. He's gonna be a top 10 pick in in the NFL.”
Miss · 20Scored 20.13a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Will Johnson
season:
2024
zero at:
32
accuracy:
20.13
baseline:
50
actual pick:
47
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
20.13
predicted pick:
top 10 pick (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
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Rich Eisen argued Josh Allen has clinched the MVP race after his performance in Detroit, while pushing back on the idea that Buffalo is the Super Bowl favorite. He also said the Chargers won't collapse out of the playoff field, that Washington is in, and floated Detroit possibly winning the NFC North.4 graded calls · Dec 16, 2024

Los Angeles Chargers to make the playoffs
“I know you wanna say that they're just gonna fall apart like always... I I just don't think that that they're not gonna lose... Yeah. I'm I'm gonna push back on that, Chris.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+122 skill
How this was scored
team:
LAC
skill:
122
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
no
difficulty:
1.22
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
yes
weeks left when called:
4
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Washington Commanders to make the playoffs
“I think the commanders are in. Yeah. Having nine wins. Because the teams that we just mentioned, in order to make it, would have to win their divisions, which means the commanders are safe.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+122 skill
How this was scored
team:
WAS
skill:
122
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
no
difficulty:
1.22
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
yes
weeks left when called:
4
Think this grade is wrong?
Josh Allen to win MVP
“But Josh Allen, I think, has ended the MVP conversation with the win in Detroit the way that he's played the last two weeks... I am now part and parcel of the the general sense... that this MVP race is over.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+122 skill
How this was scored
award:
mvp
naive:
the naive pick was Lamar Jackson, who won it the year before
skill:
122
player:
Josh Allen
season:
2024
winner:
Josh Allen
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.22
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
4
Think this grade is wrong?
Detroit Lions to win the division
“The Lions might even win their division, pal.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
DET
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
DET
difficulty:
1.22
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
4
won the division:
yes
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