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Rich Eisen· Aug 6, 2025

Eisen unveils his 'just a bit too early' power rankings top 10, picks the Buccaneers to win their division, says a healthy Rams team has the best chance to knock off the Eagles in the NFC, and predicts Micah Parsons gets signed (around $45 million per year) and plays in the opener.

“Number one is the clear contender for the Super Bowl for a repeat performance, the Philadelphia Eagles.”

said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast) · read the original →

3 checkable claims — 1 division winner, 1 power ranking and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 21.8 out of 100, against 15.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

3 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division

    “I think they are gonna win the division”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    TB
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    TB
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no

    Think this is wrong?

  • Power RankingsAug 6, 2025

    “I am now unveiling my just a bit too early power rankings... Number 10 on the list... Detroit lions... Buccaneers at nine... Chargers... eight... Denver Broncos are seven... Bills at six... Rams... five... Commanders are four... Chiefs are up two spots. They're three... Up one spot to two are the Baltimore Ravens, and then number one is... the Philadelphia Eagles.”

    Close · 44Scored 43.64a naive guess scored 30.91+25.45 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    25.45
    method:
    spearman
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    43.64
    baseline:
    30.91
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    teams ranked:
    10
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Micah Parsons to move to Dallas Cowboys

    “And they're not trading them. There's no way they're gonna trade them... He's gonna have to be signed... And Micah will be out there on the first Thursday night.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More division winners

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these