Rich Eisen

Rich Eisen hosts The Rich Eisen Show and Overreaction Monday, where he covers the NFL with weekly power rankings, game previews and roster debates. His predictions span game outcomes, playoff races, draft positioning and player awards across the league.

Writes at The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)

Every take from Rich Eisen, including the ones still waiting →

Is Rich Eisen accurate? Across 463 graded calls in 126 articles, Rich Eisen scores 59.61% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 20.14, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is an established record: thirty or more graded articles.

59.61%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

20.14

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

463

Graded calls

across 126 articles. 327 more not yet settled.

97.15% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Graded calls · 463

17 of 127 graded articles on this page, newest first — page 11 of 13.

Eisen ran a top-five list of would-be pleasant surprises for the 2025 NFL season: Brian Schottenheimer succeeding as head coach/play caller, Sam Darnold improving on his Minnesota form in Seattle, the Jaguars playing Travis Hunter 100 snaps a game, Pete Carroll leading the Raiders to the playoffs, Tyler Shough becoming the real deal in New Orleans, plus a bonus of Shedeur Sanders making the Browns and crushing a start late in the year.4 graded calls · Jun 12, 2025
- Sam Darnold to be 1st on the depth chart
  “Is that Sam Darnold could be replaced as the Seattle quarterback by week one because of all those seven on seven picks he's been throwing. I'm going the other way.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  club:
  SEA
  skill:
  0
  player:
  Sam Darnold
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  position:
  QB
  naive slot:
  1
  actual slot:
  1
  difficulty:
  2
  measured by:
  passing yards
  the naive guess:
  where he sat last season
  weeks in the season:
  18
  predicted slot:
  1
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Tyler Shough to be 1st on the depth chart
  “The number one would be pleasant surprise in the 2025 season is if Tyler Shuck becomes the real deal for the New Orleans Saints.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skill
  How this was scored
  club:
  NO
  skill:
  16.67
  player:
  Tyler Shough
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  91.67
  position:
  QB
  naive slot:
  2
  actual slot:
  1
  difficulty:
  2
  measured by:
  passing yards
  the naive guess:
  no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
  weeks in the season:
  18
  predicted slot:
  1
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Joe Flacco to be 1st on the depth chart
  “If you wanna talk about more likely than not, the Browns do start Flacco, maybe give Pickett a run.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skill
  How this was scored
  club:
  CIN
  skill:
  16.67
  player:
  Joe Flacco
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  91.67
  position:
  QB
  naive slot:
  2
  actual slot:
  1
  difficulty:
  2
  measured by:
  passing yards
  the naive guess:
  where he sat last season
  weeks in the season:
  18
  predicted slot:
  1
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Las Vegas Raiders to make the playoffs
  “Pete Carroll takes Jay Feli's Raiders to the playoffs... And Pete leads the Raiders back to the playoffs in his first year.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  LV
  skill:
  -200
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  the naive guess said:
  no
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made the playoffs:
  no
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
Rich Eisen ranks the five toughest divisions in football (NFC North first, AFC West second, NFC East third, AFC North fourth, NFC West fifth, plus AFC East as a bonus), predicts Dak Prescott will eventually win a Super Bowl for Dallas, calls the Chiefs division favorites with about 12 wins, sees the Broncos defense as top-five, and says Bucky Irving should break out.3 graded calls · May 30, 2025
- Kansas City Chiefs to win the division
  “They're still, I think, the favorites to win this division.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  method:
  division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
  they picked:
  KC
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  the naive pick:
  KC
  difficulty:
  2
  the naive guess:
  last season's winner of the same division
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  won the division:
  no
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Kansas City Chiefs to finish with 12 wins
  “I don't know about 15 wins is good this year, but 12. Right?”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  KC
  naive:
  11.75
  skill:
  0
  what happened:
  6
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  5
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  predicted:
  12
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Dallas Cowboys to win the Super Bowl
  “I do think I do think Dax gonna win you that suit.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  they picked:
  DAL
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  champion:
  SEA
  runner up:
  NE
  the naive pick:
  PHI
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
Eisen ultimately grants Brockman's Caleb Williams take, saying a top-five MVP finish for the Bears quarterback is possible given the coaching upgrade and offensive additions.May 26, 2025
- Caleb Williams to win MVP (top-five finish)
  “So I understand. A top five MVP finish? Yeah. Why not? ... Alright, Chris. Thank you. I'll give you this one.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  award:
  mvp
  naive:
  the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
  skill:
  0
  player:
  Caleb Williams
  season:
  2025
  winner:
  Matthew Stafford
  correct:
  no
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
Rich Eisen counted down his top five quarterbacks in a better situation now than last year: Caleb Williams first, followed by Jayden Daniels, Justin Fields, Drake Maye and Dak Prescott, with Justin Herbert added as a bonus.May 23, 2025
- “Top five quarterbacks in a better situation now than they were in last year... Number five on the list... Dakota Prescott... Number four... Drake May... Number three... Justin Fields... Number two on this list... Jaden Daniels... And number one on the list is without a doubt, Caleb Williams.”
  Close · 40Scored 40a naive guess scored 50-20 skill
  How this was scored
  naive:
  a coin-flip ordering scores 50
  skill:
  -20
  placed:
  5
  season:
  2025
  players:
  5
  accuracy:
  40
  baseline:
  50
  by position:
  QB 5: 40
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  could not place:
  0
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
Eisen predicted Nick Chubb will not return to Cleveland and will have to sign elsewhere, and offered a top five list of possible landing spots (Dolphins, Bears, Broncos, Steelers, Cowboys).May 9, 2025
- Nick Chubb to move
  “So it does appear that Nick Chubb, will end up having to move on somewhere.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  200
  player:
  Nick Chubb
  season:
  2025
  claimed:
  he leaves
  was with:
  CLE
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  difficulty:
  2
  the naive guess:
  he stays where he is
  weeks in the season:
  18
  ended up with:
  HOU
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
Eisen said Russell Wilson should and would start for the Giants with Dart sitting, doubted Shedeur Sanders even makes the Browns roster, called three top-five teams making the playoffs an overreaction while naming Jacksonville as the one he'd pick, and predicted Joe Flacco holds a roster spot in Cleveland while Kirk Cousins only starts if Pittsburgh loses out on Rodgers. He also said Dallas whiffed by not taking Tyler Warren and floated Drew Allar as a possible No. 1 overall pick in next year's draft.3 graded calls · Apr 28, 2025
- Drew Allar to be picked at number 1
  “Drew Aller could be the first overall pick in next year's draft. He could.”
  Miss · 4Scored 3.88a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  player:
  Drew Allar
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  3.88
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  76
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  3.88
  predicted pick:
  1
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  only one pick — no order to score
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Russell Wilson to be 1st on the depth chart
  “Certainly, if I'm Daybell and Shane, I'm starting with Russ. I'm letting the kid marinate.”
  Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skill
  How this was scored
  club:
  NYG
  skill:
  0
  player:
  Russell Wilson
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  91.67
  baseline:
  91.67
  position:
  QB
  naive slot:
  1
  actual slot:
  2
  difficulty:
  2
  measured by:
  passing yards
  the naive guess:
  where he sat last season
  weeks in the season:
  18
  predicted slot:
  1
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Jacksonville Jaguars to make the playoffs
  “If I had to peg one team from the top five to make it, it would be Jacksonville.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  JAX
  skill:
  200
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  the naive guess said:
  no
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made the playoffs:
  yes
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
Eisen predicted Cam Ward would go first overall and Travis Hunter second, that three Heisman finalists (Ward, Hunter, Jeanty) would land in the top five, and that Travis Hunter could sweep both Offensive and Defensive Rookie of the Year. He also expected the Cowboys to draft a big-time offensive player and the Patriots to take a defender.5 graded calls · Apr 24, 2025
- Travis Hunter to be picked at number 2
  “because Cam Ward's going first, Travis Hunter's going second”
  Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2025
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  skill:
  50
  player:
  Travis Hunter
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  2
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  100
  predicted pick:
  2
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  100
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Travis Hunter to win Offensive Rookie of the Year
  “see somebody for the first time ever win offensive rookie of the year and defensive rookie of the year”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  award:
  offensive_rookie_of_the_year
  naive:
  the naive pick was Jayden Daniels, who won it the year before
  skill:
  0
  player:
  Travis Hunter
  season:
  2025
  winner:
  Tetairoa McMillan
  correct:
  no
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Travis Hunter to win Defensive Rookie of the Year
  “see somebody for the first time ever win offensive rookie of the year and defensive rookie of the year”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  award:
  defensive_rookie_of_the_year
  naive:
  the naive pick was Jared Verse, who won it the year before
  skill:
  0
  player:
  Travis Hunter
  season:
  2025
  winner:
  Carson Schwesinger
  correct:
  no
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
  “because Cam Ward's going first, Travis Hunter's going second”
  Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2025
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  skill:
  50
  player:
  Cam Ward
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  1
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  100
  predicted pick:
  1
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  100
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Ashton Jeanty to be picked “top five” (picks 1–5)
  “If Ward Hunter and Gente go in the top five tonight... And I think that's gonna happen tonight. I think we're gonna see that tonight.”
  Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2025
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  skill:
  50
  player:
  Ashton Jeanty
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  95.76
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  6
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  95.76
  predicted pick:
  top five (picks 1–5)
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  100
  Think this grade is wrong?
Eisen says Cam Ward is a near-lock to be taken first overall by the Titans, expects Shedeur Sanders to land with a team picking in the twenties, agrees Ashton Jeanty could go top five, thinks Jalen Milroe goes in the late twenties, and frames the Steelers as a team that will make the playoffs rather than bottom out.3 graded calls · Apr 21, 2025
- Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
  “Cam Ward's gonna go first overall... The Titans, Rich, as you know, number one on the clock breaking news, they're gonna take Cameron Ward That's correct. Seemingly. Right? 99.9%. I think it's gonna happen.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2025
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  player:
  Cam Ward
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  1
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  100
  predicted pick:
  1
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  only one pick — no order to score
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Ashton Jeanty to be picked “top five” (picks 1–5)
  “I think Ashton Gentry is going in the top five. / I think he could too... This is not an overreaction.”
  Hit · 96Scored 95.76a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2025
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  player:
  Ashton Jeanty
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  95.76
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  6
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  95.76
  predicted pick:
  top five (picks 1–5)
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  only one pick — no order to score
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs
  “they're not good enough... But they're also not gonna miss the playoffs to be bad enough to be able to totally reset their franchise.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  PIT
  skill:
  0
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  the naive guess said:
  yes
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made the playoffs:
  yes
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
Eisen said that if the draft haul described happens, he would pick that team to win its division (the transcript renders the team as the Bills while the context is the Bears' draft).Apr 8, 2025
- Buffalo Bills to win the division
  “if the bears come up with Tyler Warren... And then on defense, they get Walter Nolan and then get Trevion Henderson two picks later... That would be so good for the for the Bills. I'm gonna pick them to win the division.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  method:
  division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
  they picked:
  BUF
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  the naive pick:
  BUF
  difficulty:
  2
  the naive guess:
  last season's winner of the same division
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  won the division:
  no
  Think this grade is wrong?
Eisen maintains Cam Ward is going No. 1 overall, says Ashton Jeanty will be off the board before the Jets pick at No. 7, and expects Jackson Dart to sneak into the first round while doubting a fifth quarterback goes there.2 graded calls · Apr 7, 2025
- Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
  “And then it's Cam Ward, and the Titan sent everybody to his pro day... We're always open for business, but it's gonna be Cam Ward.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2025
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  player:
  Cam Ward
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  1
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  100
  predicted pick:
  1
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  only one pick — no order to score
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Jaxson Dart to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
  “So Dart sneaks in, and then that's pretty much it.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2025
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  player:
  Jaxson Dart
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  25
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  100
  predicted pick:
  first round (picks 1–32)
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  only one pick — no order to score
  Think this grade is wrong?
Asked where he'd rank the Commanders among NFC teams, Eisen said he would still put them second in the NFC, behind the Eagles, though he later leaned toward keeping them at No. 2 while acknowledging a case for third.Mar 28, 2025
- “Who where would they rank in your top in your rankings of the NFC teams as of March 28? '2? Still? Because I can't I can't I mean, the Eagles, they didn't get much worse, man... I I actually because I I probably might put the commanders at too.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  method:
  spearman
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  teams ranked:
  2
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
Rich Eisen ranked his top five winners of the NFL offseason so far, with the Commanders first, followed by the Vikings, Bears, Rams and Raiders (adding the Eagles as an extra), and argued the Raiders' new formula of Pete Carroll, Geno Smith and a possible Ashton Jeanty addition would produce a winning record.2 graded calls · Mar 20, 2025
- “My top five winners of the off season so far... Number five is the Raiders... number four of the Los Angeles Rams... The bears are three... Number two on my list... are the Vikings... number one on the list... What a what a brilliant march for the Washington commanders”
  Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 60-20 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  -20
  method:
  spearman
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  50
  baseline:
  60
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  teams ranked:
  5
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Las Vegas Raiders to finish with 9 wins
  “Genti and Mostert with Gino and Bowers and, you know, Jacoby Myers. It's you're gonna win more games than than you lose with a formula like that... the nonsense of the four wins and three wins, I I think are over.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 35-70 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  LV
  naive:
  6.25
  skill:
  -70
  what happened:
  3
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  5
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  35
  predicted:
  9
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
Eisen pushed back on the Bengals missing the playoffs again, insisted the Chiefs still win the AFC West over Denver, predicted Daniel Jones beats out Anthony Richardson to start Week 1 in Indianapolis, and expected Kirk Cousins to stay in Atlanta as the veteran backup to Michael Penix Jr.5 graded calls · Mar 17, 2025
- Kansas City Chiefs to win the division
  “I'm high on the Broncos too, but that's still the Kansas City freaking Chiefs... But that's the Kansas City Chiefs you're talking about, pal. Overreaction.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  method:
  division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
  they picked:
  KC
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  the naive pick:
  KC
  difficulty:
  2
  the naive guess:
  last season's winner of the same division
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  won the division:
  no
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Anthony Richardson to be 2nd on the depth chart
  “Daniel Jones should beat him out... And if he struggles, then you bring in the kid.”
  Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 75+16.67 skill
  How this was scored
  club:
  IND
  skill:
  16.67
  player:
  Anthony Richardson
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  83.33
  baseline:
  75
  position:
  QB
  naive slot:
  1
  actual slot:
  4
  difficulty:
  2
  measured by:
  passing yards
  the naive guess:
  where he sat last season
  weeks in the season:
  18
  predicted slot:
  2
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Kirk Cousins to be 2nd on the depth chart
  “What's best for the Atlanta Falcons is to make sure that Michael Pennicks junior has Kirk Cousins... in his quarterback room... So if Panix goes down, you know who goes in? Boom. Kirk Cousins.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skill
  How this was scored
  club:
  ATL
  skill:
  16.67
  player:
  Kirk Cousins
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  91.67
  position:
  QB
  naive slot:
  1
  actual slot:
  2
  difficulty:
  2
  measured by:
  passing yards
  the naive guess:
  where he sat last season
  weeks in the season:
  18
  predicted slot:
  2
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Daniel Jones to be 1st on the depth chart
  “I think he's gonna win the job. And I think he's gonna be the first week starter.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  club:
  IND
  skill:
  0
  player:
  Daniel Jones
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  position:
  QB
  naive slot:
  1
  actual slot:
  1
  difficulty:
  2
  measured by:
  passing yards
  the naive guess:
  where he sat last season
  weeks in the season:
  18
  predicted slot:
  1
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Cincinnati Bengals to make the playoffs
  “The fact that Trey Hendrickson is not there does not guarantee that 2025 will go just like 2024... I can't sit there and say they start o and three and keep spinning their wheels... I'll call this an overreaction.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  CIN
  skill:
  -200
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  the naive guess said:
  no
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made the playoffs:
  no
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
Discussing Charles Davis' mock draft, Eisen predicted Jihaad Campbell of Alabama would be an All-Pro next season, and separately expects Trey Lance to be on an NFL roster as a backup quarterback next season.Mar 6, 2025
- Jihaad Campbell to make All-Pro
  “Well, he'll be an all pro next year, so it's fine. Dude, he's got all pro capability.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
  How this was scored
  made:
  no
  naive:
  he did not make it the year before, so the naive pick said no
  skill:
  -200
  player:
  Jihaad Campbell
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  selection:
  all_pro_first_team
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
Eisen delivered his "power rankings" of the best landing spots for free agent Davante Adams, topping the list with the Buffalo Bills and Kansas City Chiefs, and he also stated that Seattle will grant DK Metcalf's trade request.2 graded calls · Mar 5, 2025
- DK Metcalf to move
  “Because DK Metcalf has demanded a trade, and apparently, the Seattle Seahawks are going to oblige him”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  200
  player:
  DK Metcalf
  season:
  2025
  claimed:
  he leaves
  was with:
  SEA
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  difficulty:
  2
  the naive guess:
  he stays where he is
  weeks in the season:
  18
  ended up with:
  PIT
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- “And that is where I bring my, my power rankings into the equation... And I have my power rankings of Davante Adams' destinations... number nine on the list is the Houston Texans... How about we add, Demontae Adams to Denver, Colorado?... What about the Rams?... What about Davante Adams joining the forty niners?... I think they could use Davante Adams back in Green Bay... Kansas City, Devonte... But number one, the top destination for Davante Adams... is the Buffalo Bills.”
  Miss · 27Scored 26.79a naive guess scored 32.14-10.71 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  -10.71
  method:
  spearman
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  26.79
  baseline:
  32.14
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  teams ranked:
  7
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
Delivering his annual "top five rumors I heard at the combine," Eisen said Dallas will re-sign pass rusher Osa Odighizuwa, that Minnesota's plan A is bringing Sam Darnold back on a multi-year deal, and that Indianapolis wants Daniel Jones as competition for Anthony Richardson.Mar 3, 2025
- Daniel Jones to move to Indianapolis Colts
  “That the Colts idea of competition for Anthony Richardson is Daniel Jones.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  200
  player:
  Daniel Jones
  season:
  2025
  claimed:
  IND
  was with:
  NYG/MIN
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  difficulty:
  2
  the naive guess:
  he stays where he is
  weeks in the season:
  18
  ended up with:
  IND
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
Eisen predicts three quarterbacks go in the first round, with Jaxson Dart taken late in round one, and says three running backs in the first would be a surprise; he also insists Shedeur Sanders will not fall out of the top 10 and picks the Rams to win the NFC West while keeping the Eagles as the NFC favorite over Washington.4 graded calls · Mar 3, 2025
- Sam Darnold to move to Minnesota Vikings
  “Not coming back to the Vikings, and he's gonna get $50,000,000 a year in his new deal... I will just say this is an overreaction.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  200
  player:
  Sam Darnold
  season:
  2025
  claimed:
  he leaves
  was with:
  MIN
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  difficulty:
  2
  the naive guess:
  he stays where he is
  weeks in the season:
  18
  ended up with:
  SEA
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Jaxson Dart to be 3rd quarterback off the board
  “I think three quarterbacks go in the first round. So I think Jackson Dart is gonna get taken the end of the first round.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 31.26+68.74 skill
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2025
  naive:
  naming one of the 14 at random averages 31.26
  skill:
  68.74
  player:
  Jaxson Dart
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  credit halves every two places
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  31.26
  position:
  quarterback
  class size:
  14
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  actual order:
  2
  predicted order:
  1–32
  weeks left when called:
  0
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Shedeur Sanders to be picked “not falling out of the top 10” (picks 1–10)
  “So I don't think he's falling out of the top 10 at all. No way, man.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0.3a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2025
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  player:
  Shedeur Sanders
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  0.3
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  144
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  0.3
  predicted pick:
  not falling out of the top 10 (picks 1–10)
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  only one pick — no order to score
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Los Angeles Rams to win the division
  “the NFC West Rams division to lose in 2025. I totally agree. I absolutely totally agree.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  method:
  division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
  they picked:
  LAR
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  the naive pick:
  LAR
  difficulty:
  2
  the naive guess:
  last season's winner of the same division
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  won the division:
  no
  Think this grade is wrong?

Rich Eisen

Graded calls · 463

17 of 127 graded articles on this page, newest first — page 11 of 13.

Eisen ran a top-five list of would-be pleasant surprises for the 2025 NFL season: Brian Schottenheimer succeeding as head coach/play caller, Sam Darnold improving on his Minnesota form in Seattle, the Jaguars playing Travis Hunter 100 snaps a game, Pete Carroll leading the Raiders to the playoffs, Tyler Shough becoming the real deal in New Orleans, plus a bonus of Shedeur Sanders making the Browns and crushing a start late in the year.4 graded calls · Jun 12, 2025

Sam Darnold to be 1st on the depth chart
“Is that Sam Darnold could be replaced as the Seattle quarterback by week one because of all those seven on seven picks he's been throwing. I'm going the other way.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
SEA
skill:
0
player:
Sam Darnold
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
position:
QB
naive slot:
1
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Tyler Shough to be 1st on the depth chart
“The number one would be pleasant surprise in the 2025 season is if Tyler Shuck becomes the real deal for the New Orleans Saints.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
NO
skill:
16.67
player:
Tyler Shough
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Joe Flacco to be 1st on the depth chart
“If you wanna talk about more likely than not, the Browns do start Flacco, maybe give Pickett a run.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
CIN
skill:
16.67
player:
Joe Flacco
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Las Vegas Raiders to make the playoffs
“Pete Carroll takes Jay Feli's Raiders to the playoffs... And Pete leads the Raiders back to the playoffs in his first year.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
team:
LV
skill:
-200
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
no
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
no
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?

Rich Eisen ranks the five toughest divisions in football (NFC North first, AFC West second, NFC East third, AFC North fourth, NFC West fifth, plus AFC East as a bonus), predicts Dak Prescott will eventually win a Super Bowl for Dallas, calls the Chiefs division favorites with about 12 wins, sees the Broncos defense as top-five, and says Bucky Irving should break out.3 graded calls · May 30, 2025

Kansas City Chiefs to win the division
“They're still, I think, the favorites to win this division.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
KC
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
KC
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
no
Think this grade is wrong?
Kansas City Chiefs to finish with 12 wins
“I don't know about 15 wins is good this year, but 12. Right?”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
KC
naive:
11.75
skill:
0
what happened:
6
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
predicted:
12
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Dallas Cowboys to win the Super Bowl
“I do think I do think Dax gonna win you that suit.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
they picked:
DAL
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
champion:
SEA
runner up:
NE
the naive pick:
PHI
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?

Eisen ultimately grants Brockman's Caleb Williams take, saying a top-five MVP finish for the Bears quarterback is possible given the coaching upgrade and offensive additions.May 26, 2025

Caleb Williams to win MVP (top-five finish)
“So I understand. A top five MVP finish? Yeah. Why not? ... Alright, Chris. Thank you. I'll give you this one.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
mvp
naive:
the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Caleb Williams
season:
2025
winner:
Matthew Stafford
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?

Rich Eisen counted down his top five quarterbacks in a better situation now than last year: Caleb Williams first, followed by Jayden Daniels, Justin Fields, Drake Maye and Dak Prescott, with Justin Herbert added as a bonus.May 23, 2025

“Top five quarterbacks in a better situation now than they were in last year... Number five on the list... Dakota Prescott... Number four... Drake May... Number three... Justin Fields... Number two on this list... Jaden Daniels... And number one on the list is without a doubt, Caleb Williams.”
Close · 40Scored 40a naive guess scored 50-20 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a coin-flip ordering scores 50
skill:
-20
placed:
5
season:
2025
players:
5
accuracy:
40
baseline:
50
by position:
QB 5: 40
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
could not place:
0
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?

Eisen predicted Nick Chubb will not return to Cleveland and will have to sign elsewhere, and offered a top five list of possible landing spots (Dolphins, Bears, Broncos, Steelers, Cowboys).May 9, 2025

Nick Chubb to move
“So it does appear that Nick Chubb, will end up having to move on somewhere.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
skill:
200
player:
Nick Chubb
season:
2025
claimed:
he leaves
was with:
CLE
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he stays where he is
weeks in the season:
18
ended up with:
HOU
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?

Eisen said Russell Wilson should and would start for the Giants with Dart sitting, doubted Shedeur Sanders even makes the Browns roster, called three top-five teams making the playoffs an overreaction while naming Jacksonville as the one he'd pick, and predicted Joe Flacco holds a roster spot in Cleveland while Kirk Cousins only starts if Pittsburgh loses out on Rodgers. He also said Dallas whiffed by not taking Tyler Warren and floated Drew Allar as a possible No. 1 overall pick in next year's draft.3 graded calls · Apr 28, 2025

Drew Allar to be picked at number 1
“Drew Aller could be the first overall pick in next year's draft. He could.”
Miss · 4Scored 3.88a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Drew Allar
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
3.88
baseline:
50
actual pick:
76
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
3.88
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Russell Wilson to be 1st on the depth chart
“Certainly, if I'm Daybell and Shane, I'm starting with Russ. I'm letting the kid marinate.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
NYG
skill:
0
player:
Russell Wilson
season:
2025
accuracy:
91.67
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
1
actual slot:
2
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Jacksonville Jaguars to make the playoffs
“If I had to peg one team from the top five to make it, it would be Jacksonville.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
team:
JAX
skill:
200
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
no
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
yes
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?

Eisen predicted Cam Ward would go first overall and Travis Hunter second, that three Heisman finalists (Ward, Hunter, Jeanty) would land in the top five, and that Travis Hunter could sweep both Offensive and Defensive Rookie of the Year. He also expected the Cowboys to draft a big-time offensive player and the Patriots to take a defender.5 graded calls · Apr 24, 2025

Travis Hunter to be picked at number 2
“because Cam Ward's going first, Travis Hunter's going second”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
50
player:
Travis Hunter
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
2
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
2
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
100
Think this grade is wrong?
Travis Hunter to win Offensive Rookie of the Year
“see somebody for the first time ever win offensive rookie of the year and defensive rookie of the year”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
offensive_rookie_of_the_year
naive:
the naive pick was Jayden Daniels, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Travis Hunter
season:
2025
winner:
Tetairoa McMillan
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Travis Hunter to win Defensive Rookie of the Year
“see somebody for the first time ever win offensive rookie of the year and defensive rookie of the year”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
defensive_rookie_of_the_year
naive:
the naive pick was Jared Verse, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Travis Hunter
season:
2025
winner:
Carson Schwesinger
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
“because Cam Ward's going first, Travis Hunter's going second”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
50
player:
Cam Ward
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
1
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
100
Think this grade is wrong?
Ashton Jeanty to be picked “top five” (picks 1–5)
“If Ward Hunter and Gente go in the top five tonight... And I think that's gonna happen tonight. I think we're gonna see that tonight.”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
50
player:
Ashton Jeanty
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
6
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
top five (picks 1–5)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
100
Think this grade is wrong?

Eisen says Cam Ward is a near-lock to be taken first overall by the Titans, expects Shedeur Sanders to land with a team picking in the twenties, agrees Ashton Jeanty could go top five, thinks Jalen Milroe goes in the late twenties, and frames the Steelers as a team that will make the playoffs rather than bottom out.3 graded calls · Apr 21, 2025

Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
“Cam Ward's gonna go first overall... The Titans, Rich, as you know, number one on the clock breaking news, they're gonna take Cameron Ward That's correct. Seemingly. Right? 99.9%. I think it's gonna happen.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Cam Ward
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
1
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Ashton Jeanty to be picked “top five” (picks 1–5)
“I think Ashton Gentry is going in the top five. / I think he could too... This is not an overreaction.”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Ashton Jeanty
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
6
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
top five (picks 1–5)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs
“they're not good enough... But they're also not gonna miss the playoffs to be bad enough to be able to totally reset their franchise.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
PIT
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
yes
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?

Eisen said that if the draft haul described happens, he would pick that team to win its division (the transcript renders the team as the Bills while the context is the Bears' draft).Apr 8, 2025

Buffalo Bills to win the division
“if the bears come up with Tyler Warren... And then on defense, they get Walter Nolan and then get Trevion Henderson two picks later... That would be so good for the for the Bills. I'm gonna pick them to win the division.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
BUF
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
BUF
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
no
Think this grade is wrong?

Eisen maintains Cam Ward is going No. 1 overall, says Ashton Jeanty will be off the board before the Jets pick at No. 7, and expects Jackson Dart to sneak into the first round while doubting a fifth quarterback goes there.2 graded calls · Apr 7, 2025

Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
“And then it's Cam Ward, and the Titan sent everybody to his pro day... We're always open for business, but it's gonna be Cam Ward.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Cam Ward
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
1
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Jaxson Dart to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
“So Dart sneaks in, and then that's pretty much it.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Jaxson Dart
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
25
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
first round (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?

Asked where he'd rank the Commanders among NFC teams, Eisen said he would still put them second in the NFC, behind the Eagles, though he later leaned toward keeping them at No. 2 while acknowledging a case for third.Mar 28, 2025

“Who where would they rank in your top in your rankings of the NFC teams as of March 28? '2? Still? Because I can't I can't I mean, the Eagles, they didn't get much worse, man... I I actually because I I probably might put the commanders at too.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
2
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?

Rich Eisen ranked his top five winners of the NFL offseason so far, with the Commanders first, followed by the Vikings, Bears, Rams and Raiders (adding the Eagles as an extra), and argued the Raiders' new formula of Pete Carroll, Geno Smith and a possible Ashton Jeanty addition would produce a winning record.2 graded calls · Mar 20, 2025

“My top five winners of the off season so far... Number five is the Raiders... number four of the Los Angeles Rams... The bears are three... Number two on my list... are the Vikings... number one on the list... What a what a brilliant march for the Washington commanders”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 60-20 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-20
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
50
baseline:
60
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
5
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Las Vegas Raiders to finish with 9 wins
“Genti and Mostert with Gino and Bowers and, you know, Jacoby Myers. It's you're gonna win more games than than you lose with a formula like that... the nonsense of the four wins and three wins, I I think are over.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 35-70 skill
How this was scored
team:
LV
naive:
6.25
skill:
-70
what happened:
3
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
0
baseline:
35
predicted:
9
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?

Eisen pushed back on the Bengals missing the playoffs again, insisted the Chiefs still win the AFC West over Denver, predicted Daniel Jones beats out Anthony Richardson to start Week 1 in Indianapolis, and expected Kirk Cousins to stay in Atlanta as the veteran backup to Michael Penix Jr.5 graded calls · Mar 17, 2025

Kansas City Chiefs to win the division
“I'm high on the Broncos too, but that's still the Kansas City freaking Chiefs... But that's the Kansas City Chiefs you're talking about, pal. Overreaction.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
KC
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
KC
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
no
Think this grade is wrong?
Anthony Richardson to be 2nd on the depth chart
“Daniel Jones should beat him out... And if he struggles, then you bring in the kid.”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 75+16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
IND
skill:
16.67
player:
Anthony Richardson
season:
2025
accuracy:
83.33
baseline:
75
position:
QB
naive slot:
1
actual slot:
4
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
2
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Kirk Cousins to be 2nd on the depth chart
“What's best for the Atlanta Falcons is to make sure that Michael Pennicks junior has Kirk Cousins... in his quarterback room... So if Panix goes down, you know who goes in? Boom. Kirk Cousins.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
ATL
skill:
16.67
player:
Kirk Cousins
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
1
actual slot:
2
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
2
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Daniel Jones to be 1st on the depth chart
“I think he's gonna win the job. And I think he's gonna be the first week starter.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
IND
skill:
0
player:
Daniel Jones
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
position:
QB
naive slot:
1
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Cincinnati Bengals to make the playoffs
“The fact that Trey Hendrickson is not there does not guarantee that 2025 will go just like 2024... I can't sit there and say they start o and three and keep spinning their wheels... I'll call this an overreaction.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
team:
CIN
skill:
-200
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
no
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
no
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?

Discussing Charles Davis' mock draft, Eisen predicted Jihaad Campbell of Alabama would be an All-Pro next season, and separately expects Trey Lance to be on an NFL roster as a backup quarterback next season.Mar 6, 2025

Jihaad Campbell to make All-Pro
“Well, he'll be an all pro next year, so it's fine. Dude, he's got all pro capability.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
made:
no
naive:
he did not make it the year before, so the naive pick said no
skill:
-200
player:
Jihaad Campbell
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
selection:
all_pro_first_team
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?

Eisen delivered his "power rankings" of the best landing spots for free agent Davante Adams, topping the list with the Buffalo Bills and Kansas City Chiefs, and he also stated that Seattle will grant DK Metcalf's trade request.2 graded calls · Mar 5, 2025

DK Metcalf to move
“Because DK Metcalf has demanded a trade, and apparently, the Seattle Seahawks are going to oblige him”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
skill:
200
player:
DK Metcalf
season:
2025
claimed:
he leaves
was with:
SEA
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he stays where he is
weeks in the season:
18
ended up with:
PIT
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
“And that is where I bring my, my power rankings into the equation... And I have my power rankings of Davante Adams' destinations... number nine on the list is the Houston Texans... How about we add, Demontae Adams to Denver, Colorado?... What about the Rams?... What about Davante Adams joining the forty niners?... I think they could use Davante Adams back in Green Bay... Kansas City, Devonte... But number one, the top destination for Davante Adams... is the Buffalo Bills.”
Miss · 27Scored 26.79a naive guess scored 32.14-10.71 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-10.71
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
26.79
baseline:
32.14
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
7
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?

Delivering his annual "top five rumors I heard at the combine," Eisen said Dallas will re-sign pass rusher Osa Odighizuwa, that Minnesota's plan A is bringing Sam Darnold back on a multi-year deal, and that Indianapolis wants Daniel Jones as competition for Anthony Richardson.Mar 3, 2025

Daniel Jones to move to Indianapolis Colts
“That the Colts idea of competition for Anthony Richardson is Daniel Jones.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
skill:
200
player:
Daniel Jones
season:
2025
claimed:
IND
was with:
NYG/MIN
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he stays where he is
weeks in the season:
18
ended up with:
IND
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?

Eisen predicts three quarterbacks go in the first round, with Jaxson Dart taken late in round one, and says three running backs in the first would be a surprise; he also insists Shedeur Sanders will not fall out of the top 10 and picks the Rams to win the NFC West while keeping the Eagles as the NFC favorite over Washington.4 graded calls · Mar 3, 2025

Sam Darnold to move to Minnesota Vikings
“Not coming back to the Vikings, and he's gonna get $50,000,000 a year in his new deal... I will just say this is an overreaction.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
skill:
200
player:
Sam Darnold
season:
2025
claimed:
he leaves
was with:
MIN
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he stays where he is
weeks in the season:
18
ended up with:
SEA
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Jaxson Dart to be 3rd quarterback off the board
“I think three quarterbacks go in the first round. So I think Jackson Dart is gonna get taken the end of the first round.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 31.26+68.74 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
naming one of the 14 at random averages 31.26
skill:
68.74
player:
Jaxson Dart
season:
2025
zero at:
credit halves every two places
accuracy:
100
baseline:
31.26
position:
quarterback
class size:
14
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual order:
2
predicted order:
1–32
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Shedeur Sanders to be picked “not falling out of the top 10” (picks 1–10)
“So I don't think he's falling out of the top 10 at all. No way, man.”
Miss · 0Scored 0.3a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Shedeur Sanders
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
0.3
baseline:
50
actual pick:
144
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0.3
predicted pick:
not falling out of the top 10 (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Los Angeles Rams to win the division
“the NFC West Rams division to lose in 2025. I totally agree. I absolutely totally agree.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
LAR
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
LAR
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
no
Think this grade is wrong?