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Writes at Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar
Is Saagar Enjeti accurate? Across 15 graded calls in 6 articles, Saagar Enjeti scores 76.35% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 37.49, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.
100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.
“I was at around this map for a while and the real reason I bet against it with Pa and with North Carolina was some different demographic reasons”
“the real reason I bet against it with Pa and with North Carolina was some different demographic reasons”
“When the Trump people are like, we're seeing absolutely blowout turnout in New Hampshire, I'm like, no, you're not. You're not gonna win New Hampster.”
“there has been enough of a Republican surge that I feel pretty confident calling Arizona for Donald Trump”
“I've got Wisconsin and Michigan going blue for Kamala.”
“then I've got Georgia, Arizona, and Nevada all going red”
“I've got Wisconsin and Michigan going blue for Kamala.”
“I've got at the top line, Donald Trump winning the election with two hundred and seventy one electoral votes, literally just one over what he needs to win two hundred and sixty seven there for Kamala Harris.”
“I've got Pennsylvania going red.”
“I've got North Carolina glowing blue”
“then I've got Georgia, Arizona, and Nevada all going red, which gives him exactly two hundred and seventy one electoral votes”
“I think Trump is doing quite well on the race. I think he's got a more better than not shot of winning.”
“So yeah, I don't think that New Mexico is gonna happen.”
“which was hard to say in PA, but in the in the rest of them, in Michigan specifically, it does look good for them.”
“And I don't even think that Comma is going to win.”