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Writes at Ruthless Podcast
Is Josh Holmes accurate? Across 5 graded calls in 5 articles, Josh Holmes scores 100% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 20.2, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.
100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.
“we've got a big senate race in Indiana with Jim Banks who's likely to become a next senator there. Not a pickup opportunity, but absolutely vitally important that Republicans do well there... we expect to win this thing”
“it's one of those states you've heard me say this for a long time that that I I just believe because I've watched it for a long time that it is going to break for Trump and it will do that late.”
“So my one piece of advice to, to Donald Trump ... before you accept that concession call from Kamala Harris, go ahead and give Joe a ring and thank him. / It played at the Donald Trump rally. The president and future president of The United States picked up, smile it style clip”
“I also feel good about North Carolina. You know, it's just one of those states that's broken late and broken our way time after time over the last ten years, and it's just a matter of banking those... I think we can get it done.”
“Graphic six, you take a look at North Carolina. Your home state smug, it's got on. It's got a lead. I'm very confident in North Carolina in large part because when it breaks, it breaks late and it breaks over the last ten years decisively Republican. There is no reason in this great state of North Carolina that anybody would be voting Kamala Harris... I feel good about that.”