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Graded under the published methodology. Each call shows what it scored and how much better than a naive guess that was. How this kind is scored →
14% settled
out of 100
Takes in each band
179 / 1,251
graded
1,072 still pending
By season
526–550 of 1,251
Zay Flowers to outplay his draft cost (ADP 41.2 | WR19)
Zay Flowers (BAL) – ADP 41.2 | WR19
Daniel Jones to outplay his draft cost (ADP 205.1 | QB26)
Daniel Jones (IND) – ADP 205.1 | QB26 ... Jones should be drafted significantly higher than the 26th quarterback off the board just based on last year's success.
DeVonta Smith to outplay his draft cost (ADP 37.1 | WR16)
DeVonta Smith (PHI) – ADP 37.1 | WR16
Chris Rodriguez Jr. to outplay his draft cost (ADP 155.8 | RB45)
Chris Rodriguez Jr. (JAC) – ADP 155.8 | RB45 ... Rodriguez won't be a benchwarmer for the Jaguars
Chase Brown to outplay his draft cost (ADP 17.8 | RB10)
Chase Brown (CIN) – ADP 17.8 | RB10 ... Let's look at six of my favorite draft values based on Sleeper ADP
Juwan Johnson to outplay his draft cost (ADP 187.5 | TE23)
Juwan Johnson (NO) – ADP 187.5 | TE23 ... Johnson is now the obvious candidate to fill Tyson's role
Justin Jefferson to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 1.11)
WR Justin Jefferson , Minnesota Vikings (ADP: 1.11) ... Justin Jefferson is a first-round target
Dalton Kincaid to outplay his draft cost (a ninth-round ADP)
Dalton Kincaid provides value at tight end: Kincaid has produced 2.12 yards per route run over the past two seasons and carries a ninth-round ADP.
Cyrus Allen to outplay his draft cost (last round pick)
Cyrus Allen is just, like, the most fun last round pick you can make... If there's anybody that has a remote chance of being as impactful as, like, a Puka Nacua his rookie year... it's Cyrus Allen.
Ja'Kobi Lane to outplay his draft cost (the fourteenth, fifteenth, sixteenth round)
when you're picking in the fourteenth, fifteenth, sixteenth round... why not take a shot at Jacoby Lane who's in a good offense?
Chris Olave to outplay his draft cost (second round pick)
Chris Olave becomes a great second round pick to me... now the targets are gonna be even more funneled through him in a really good offense.
MarShawn Lloyd to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 187.3 (RB68))
He shouldn't go undrafted, as he's precisely the type of player gamers should stash instead of drafting a kicker or defense.
MarShawn LloydGreen Bay Packers
Jalen Coker to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 165.0 (WR58))
Coker has demonstrable upside.
Jonah Coleman to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 157.3 (RB50))
He has an interesting skill set and warrants stashing on benches early in the season.
Chris Rodriguez Jr. to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 157.3 (RB49))
Rodriguez certainly has the chops to handle short-yardage work... it makes rostering Rodriguez worthwhile to see how the roles shake out in Jacksonville's backfield.
Chris Rodriguez Jr.Jacksonville Jaguars
Terrance Ferguson to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 198.7 (TE26))
Terrance Ferguson is an ideal TE2 for gamers chasing the upside of a top-six season at the position.
Terrance FergusonLos Angeles Rams
Khalil Shakir to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 157.0 (WR57))
I'm doubling down on my suggestion of Shakir as an exciting player to leave in drafts, with more upside than meets the eye.
Daniel Jones to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 174.3 (QB27))
Daniel Jones is the most intriguing, break-glass-in-an-emergency pick among players selected after pick 150... there's proof of concept of him playing as a QB1 in fantasy football for 10 weeks just last season.
Daniel JonesIndianapolis Colts
Jadarian Price to outplay his draft cost (ranked as the RB26 in ECR)
For some reason, Price is ranked as the RB26 in ECR, behind committee/rotational backs like Quinshon Judkins, Bhayshul Tuten and TreVeyon Henderson. I'll invest in Price wherever possible.
Jadarian PriceSeattle Seahawks
Jared Goff to outplay his draft cost (the QB16 in both average draft position (ADP) and expert consensus rankings (ECR))
Currently ranked as the QB16 in both average draft position (ADP) and expert consensus rankings (ECR), I have little hesitation that Goff will have any issue surpassing that mark in short order.
David Montgomery to outplay his draft cost (currently going as the RB24)
you can see where the potential lies for the back currently going as the RB24
David MontgomeryHouston Texans
Jordyn Brooks to outplay his draft cost (his increasing ADP)
I’d be buying Brooks at his increasing ADP
Jordyn BrooksCarolina Panthers
Bhayshul Tuten to outplay his draft cost (Currently going as the RB23)
Currently going as the RB23, Tuten is finally out of RB3 territory for the first time this offseason... this is the textbook case for a breakout season.
Bhayshul TutenJacksonville Jaguars
Parker Washington to outplay his draft cost (late‑round)
He is a perfect late‑round consistency sleeper.
Parker WashingtonJacksonville Jaguars
Terrance Ferguson to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 27)
6 Terrance Ferguson LAR 24 27
Terrance FergusonLos Angeles Rams