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Dylan Sanders· Sep 24, 2026

Picked the Saints to beat the Raiders at home in Week 3 by a score of 31-17, with New Orleans getting off to a fast start.

“I do again have the Saints winning this game. In terms of score prediction, I'll go I'll go thirty one seventeen.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Saints (podcast) · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 35.7 out of 100, against 32.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • New Orleans Saints 31 — Raiders 17

    “I do again have the Saints winning this game. In terms of score prediction, I'll go I'll go thirty one seventeen.”

    Miss · 36Scored 35.71a naive guess scored 32.07+6.89 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    35-27
    skill:
    6.89
    they picked:
    NO
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    35.71
    baseline:
    32.07
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    8
    weeks left when called:
    16
    naive home margin:
    0.47
    predicted margin:
    14

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