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Danny KellySep 26, 2025

Kelly says they would also take the Chargers over the Giants, but their own favorite pick is the Vikings over the Steelers in Dublin, banking on Minnesota's defense creating the difference.

Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original

0Miss · out of 100

Game Outcome PicksThe callsettled

100A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge

0This callout of 100

−183Skillafter difficulty

What Danny Kelly said

I wanted to pick the Vikings in this one.

Our reading: Minnesota Vikings to beat Steelers

Where it was said: Around the NFL (podcast)
The episode: Week 4 Picks from Dublin with The Ringer Fantasy Football Show
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

SaidSep 26, 2025
GradedAug 5, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

Game Outcome Picks Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota Vikings to beat Steelers
VerdictMiss
0Miss · naive 100
0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1.83difficulty−183skill
Closing line (Sep 28): Vikings by 2.5 · favorite pick, Vikings 57%.
How this was scored
won:
PIT
score:
21-24
skill:
−183
they picked:
MIN
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
PIT
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
15
Think this is wrong?

Who this take is about

Minnesota Vikings

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

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Jason Harmon · Roster Spot Calls · Max Brosmer · Miss 0
Harmon expects the Vikings' quarterback room to stay intact while Kyler Murray is hurt, and predicts Max Brosmer will be released and re-signed to the practice squad since Minnesota won't carry four QBs.
Logan Lazarczyk · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
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Logan Lazarczyk · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Lazarczyk expects the Raiders to be sellers before the trade deadline, suggesting Kirk Cousins could be dealt back to the Vikings and that benched interior lineman Jackson Powers-Johnson is a prime candidate to be traded somewhere.
Charean Williams · Roster Spot Calls · Odell Beckham Jr. · Miss 0
Williams writes that after releasing Odell Beckham Jr. to open a roster spot for Kirk Cousins, the Vikings will bring them back on the practice squad.
Justin Penik · Trade and Signing Calls · Aaron Jones · Hit 100
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Rich Eisen · Trade and Signing Calls · Sam Darnold · Miss 0
Eisen expects Sam Darnold to remain in Minnesota rather than leave in free agency, and believes the Browns will trade Myles Garrett out of the conference, to an NFC team.

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The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.
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