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Garrett Podell#78 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 18, 2026

Podell picks the Packers to beat the Cowboys on Sunday Night Football, predicting Green Bay's passing attack to Watson and Golden will overwhelm a struggling Dallas defense, with a final score of 34-24.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

1 of 1calls landed1 hit · 2 waiting
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
76.6A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1Games calledeveryone’s picks below
#78Garrett Podell’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Garrett Podell said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Pick: Packers 34, Cowboys 24
Garrett Podell, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
Cowboys vs. Packers prediction: Dak Prescott, Jordan Love set for high-flying showdown on 'SNF'
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidOct 17
  2. PlayedOct 18
  3. GradedOct 19
  1. 1Green Bay Packers 34 — Cowboys 24“Pick: Packers 34, Cowboys 24”
  2. 2Availability Calls“Despite Porter Jr. likely returning to action for Dallas in Week 6, their defense won't be able to stifle Love, Watson and Golden through the air.”
  3. 3Availability Calls“Parsons won't suit up for Green Bay on Sunday night while he continues to recover from the torn ACL he suffered at the end of last season”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Green Bay Packers 34 — Cowboys 241Score PredictionsPackers 23–1310076.55+40.33
“Despite Porter Jr. likely returning to action for Dallas in…”2Availability Calls————
“Parsons won't suit up for Green Bay on Sunday night while he…”3Availability Calls————
3 calls · 1 hit · 2 waiting10076.6

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

3 checkable claims — 2 availability calls and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 76.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Score PredictionsGreen Bay Packers

    Green Bay Packers 34 — Cowboys 24

    What happenedPackers 23–13called Packers by 10 · won by 10
    100Hit · naive 76.55
    100this call76.55a naive guess23.45better than naive1.72difficulty+40.33skill

    Closing line (Oct 18): Cowboys by 1.5, total 53.5 · this 34–24 calls a Packers win (by 10; the line gave the Packers 49%) and more points (58).

    How this was scored
    score:
    13-23
    skill:
    40.33
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    76.55
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    10
    weeks left when called:
    13
    naive home margin:
    0.15
    predicted margin:
    10
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Availability CallsJoey Porter Jr.Dallas Cowboys

    “Despite Porter Jr. likely returning to action for Dallas in Week 6, their defense won't be able to stifle Love, Watson and Golden through the air.”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. 3Availability CallsMicah ParsonsGreen Bay Packers

    “Parsons won't suit up for Green Bay on Sunday night while he continues to recover from the torn ACL he suffered at the end of last season”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

The game in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Others on the same people

More availability calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.