Jared Dubin· Oct 22, 2026
Dubin picked the Bears to win 31-27 over the Patriots on Thursday night and took the Lions to beat the Packers 34-28 in a Week 7 shootout.
“Jared Dubin — Lions (-3) 34-28 over Packers.”
published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →
2 checkable claims — 2 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 2 have settled, averaging 94.1 out of 100, against 89.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
The games in this take
- Patriots at Bears 23 calls
- Packers at Lions 21 calls
2 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
- Score PredictionsDetroit LionsOct 22, 2026
Detroit Lions 34 — Packers 28
“Jared Dubin — Lions (-3) 34-28 over Packers. From Dubin: "This one has all the makings of a shootout"”
Hit · 93Scored 92.86a naive guess scored 92.03+1.39 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 17-20
- skill:
- 1.39
- they picked:
- DET
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 92.86
- baseline:
- 92.03
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- naive home margin:
- −0.35
- predicted margin:
- 6
Closing line (Oct 25): Lions by 3.5, total 55.5 · this 34–28 calls a bigger Lions win (by 6) and more points (62). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.
- Score PredictionsChicago BearsOct 22, 2026
Chicago Bears 31 — Patriots 27
“Jared Dubin's pick: Bears 31-27 over Patriots”
Hit · 95Scored 95.24a naive guess scored 86.37+14.8 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 24-30
- skill:
- 14.8
- they picked:
- CHI
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 95.24
- baseline:
- 86.37
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 6
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- naive home margin:
- 0.28
- predicted margin:
- 4
Closing line (Oct 22): Bears by 3, total 50.5 · this 31–27 calls a bigger Bears win (by 4) and more points (58).
What others said about the same people
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- Bryan DeArdoScore Predictions · Chicago BearsHit · 98DeArdo picks the Bears to beat the Buccaneers on Sunday night in a defensive game, predicting a 20-16 final score.
- Christian BooherRoster Spot Calls · Anthony LucasMiss · 0Booher previews the Lions' Week 9 trip to Miami, predicting Derrick Barnes takes over as the green-dot linebacker in Jack Campbell's absence, Juice Scruggs starts at center, and boldly forecasting Detroit's first defensive touchdown of the season on an Aidan Hutchinson strip-sack recovered and returned by Barnes.
- Danny ParkinsGame Outcome Picks · Chicago BearsHit · 100Parkins named the seven AFC teams he believes are already set as the playoff field, expects Chicago, Buffalo and Kansas City to win this week, took Green Bay over New England and Atlanta over Cincinnati outright, and kept Bills–Bears as his Super Bowl matchup with the Giants still winning the NFC East.
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Chicago BearsHit · 98Simms gave a predicted final score for every Week 9 game, picking the Bengals, Chiefs, Broncos, Lions, Giants, Rams, Cowboys, Saints, 49ers, Patriots, Seahawks, Texans, Bears and Bills, and also said he wouldn't be shocked to see Jacksonville reach the AFC Championship Game.
More score predictions
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Jeremy BrenerScore Predictions · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback.
- Randy GurziScore Predictions · Seattle SeahawksHit · 93Gurzi expects Seattle to win comfortably again with Drew Lock starting, predicting a 27-10 Seahawks victory.
- Pete PriscoScore Predictions · Houston TexansClose · 55Prisco gives score predictions for every Week 9 NFL game, picking the Bengals to rout the Falcons in Madrid, the Cowboys to rebound at Indianapolis, and the Jaguars to win in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson.
- Randy GurziScore Predictions · Seattle SeahawksHit · 93Predicts Seattle runs away with the game, 27-10 over Arizona.
- Russell BaxterScore Predictions · Seattle SeahawksClose · 79Predicts the Seahawks beat the Cardinals 26-21 in Week 9, with Seattle's pass rush making Gardner Minshew uncomfortable.
- Michael HanichScore Predictions · Seattle SeahawksHit · 81Predicts a 24-18 Seahawks victory, with Drew Lock steadying the offense and the running game improving.