Patriots vs Bears predictions, graded
New England Patriots at Chicago Bears · Week 7, 2026 · Thu, Oct 22 · Final: Patriots 24, Bears 30 · Updated
Who do pundits pick in Patriots vs Bears? Of 16 pundits with a call on record, 10 take the Bears and 6 take the Patriots. 8 named a score; the median has the Bears by 4. The Bears won 30-24, so 10 of 16 had the winner. Their graded calls averaged 72 out of 100.
Who the room took
16 pundits · each counted once, by their latest callPatriots vs Bears picks by outlet
Each pundit counted once, at the outlet or show their latest call ran on. An outlet is listed when two or more of its pundits have picked.
- CBS SportsBears 4, Patriots 1
- The Pat McAfee Show (podcast)Patriots 2, Bears 1
- Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast)Bears 1, Patriots 1
- The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Bears 1, Patriots 1
- The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast)Bears 1, Patriots 1
The other 2 pundits write or talk elsewhere: all 2 Bears.
Patriots vs Bears score predictions
8 pundits named a score; the median call is Bears by 4, and the final was Bears by 6.
Each dot is one pundit’s latest score call, placed at the winning margin it named. The solid bar is how the game actually finished. Hover or tap a dot for the pundit and the score.
- Jared DubinBears 31, Patriots 27Hit · 95
- Chris SimmsPatriots 24, Bears 21Close · 43
- Tyler SullivanBears 24, Patriots 20Hit · 95
- Pete PriscoPatriots 28, Bears 27Miss · 38
- Jordan DajaniBears 28, Patriots 24Hit · 95
- John BreechBears 27, Patriots 20Hit · 98
- Mitchell EisensteinPatriots 24, Bears 20Close · 45
- Richard ShermanBears 27, Patriots 20Hit · 98
Patriots at Bears: how they came in
The Patriots are 4-2 and have won 3 straight; the Bears are 4-2. On win totals, 17 pundits put the Patriots at 10 wins on average, and 19 pundits put the Bears at 9.7 wins on average.
Soldier Field, Chicago, Illinois
- Record coming in
- 4-2 · won 3 straight · 136 scored, 113 allowed
- Last games
- W 26-19 vs Jets Week 6
- W 45-17 vs Raiders Week 5
- W 29-26 at Bills Week 4
- Unit ranks
- offense 11th, defense 17th of 32 (this season)
- Last season
- 14-3
- Win-total calls
- 18 pundits · average 10 · 9 to 17 wins
- The room's picks
- the side most pundits took won 5 of 6 Patriots games
- Record coming in
- 4-2 · 150 scored, 119 allowed
- Last games
- W 31-23 at Falcons Week 6
- L 7-31 at Packers Week 5
- W 23-12 vs Jets Week 4
- Unit ranks
- offense 8th, defense 15th of 32 (this season)
- Last season
- 11-6
- Win-total calls
- 19 pundits · average 9.7 · 3 to 12 wins
- The room's picks
- the side most pundits took won 3 of 6 Bears games
Patriots and Bears players to watch
Each club’s starting quarterback, leading rusher, receiver and tight end, and its sack and tackle leaders, with their 2026 regular season so far, with the latest call on each from a pundit on our leaderboard whose record beats the naive pick (69 pundits clear that bar), made since the 2026 schedule came out. “No.” is their rank there.
Patriots
- Drake MayeStarting QB · QB
2,282 passing yards · 18 TD, 11 INT · 65.4% completions · 219 rushing yards · 9 games · 6th in the NFL in passing yards
Drake Maye to finish QB1 (1–12) at his position, by fantasy points
“But yeah, he's either high-end or mid-range QB1, and everyone should be starting him. And the Drake May panic of a week ago was never justified.” the article →
Drake Maye to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points
“Maye should be considered a strong top-five fantasy quarterback option with the ability to push Josh Allen for the QB1 spot if everything goes his way in 2026.” the article →
- Rhamondre StevensonRB1 · RB
399 rushing yards on 102 carries · 4 TD · 26 catches for 258 · 9 games · 22nd in the NFL in rushing yards
Rhamondre Stevenson to be 1st on the depth chart
“Unless Stevenson falls off in 2026, he should remain the lead back for New England after playing at least 57% of the snaps in nine of his 14 games played in 2025.” the article →
Rhamondre Stevenson to be 1st on the depth chart
“things are trending towards Stevenson opening the season with the backfield largely to himself” the article →
- DeMario DouglasWR1 · WR
31 catches for 434 yards · 4 TD · 9 games · 31st in the NFL in receiving yards
DeMario Douglas to be 1st on the depth chart
“With Romeo Doubs on IR with a shoulder injury, DeMario Douglas might be New England’s de facto No. 1 receiver when the Patriots host the Packers this Sunday.” the article →
DeMario Douglas to be 3rd on the depth chart
“New England's top three wide receivers for Sunday will be Kyle Williams, Efton Chism III and DeMario Douglas.” the article →
- Hunter HenryTE1 · TE
32 catches for 361 yards · 2 TD · 9 games · 49th in the NFL in receiving yards
- Elijah PonderSack leader · LB
7.5 sacks · 14 solo tackles · 9 games · 4th in the NFL in sacks
- Christian EllissTackle leader · LB
1.5 sacks · 32 solo tackles · 9 games · 34th in the NFL in solo tackles
“Christian Ellis logged full practices. He's questionable. I think he'll play.” the article →
Bears
- Caleb WilliamsStarting QB · QB
1,546 passing yards · 8 TD, 5 INT · 68.7% completions · 145 rushing yards · 6 games · 22nd in the NFL in passing yards
“he's gonna be back soon. He didn't practice today. It's unlikely that he plays Monday night.” the article →
“But Williams is expected back for the Bears' Week 6 game against the Falcons, who have been playing well after an 0-2 start.” the article →
- D'Andre SwiftRB1 · RB
576 rushing yards on 155 carries · 10 TD · 24 catches for 162 · 9 games · 14th in the NFL in rushing yards
D'Andre Swift to be 1st on the depth chart
“Swift is still the lead back. Like, unquestionable.” the article →
D'Andre Swift to outplay his draft cost (the RB2/dead-zone range)
“If looking at veteran backs currently going in the RB2/dead-zone range, Breece Hall and D'Andre Swift are the guys with a viable pass-catching resume to this point.” the article →
- Luther Burden IIIWR1 · WR
49 catches for 644 yards · 4 TD · 9 games · 13th in the NFL in receiving yards
Luther Burden III to record 1,057 receiving yards
“projecting he will catch 73 passes for 1,057 yards and six touchdowns in 2026” the article →
Luther Burden III to be 1st on the depth chart
“there's a legit chance that Luther Burton becomes the number one early next season” the article →
- Colston LovelandTE1 · TE
37 catches for 363 yards · 2 TD · 9 games · 48th in the NFL in receiving yards
Colston Loveland to outplay his draft cost (the consensus TE3 for 2026 fantasy drafts)
“Here are four tight ends Pat Fitzmaurice loves to target in 2026 fantasy football drafts. ... Loveland is the consensus TE3 for 2026 fantasy drafts behind only Brock Bowers and Trey McBride.” the article →
Colston Loveland to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points
“Loveland could easily pick up right where he left off this season and compete with Brock Bowers and Trey McBride for the TE1 crown.” the article →
- Jeffery SimmonsSack leader · DT
6 sacks · 26 solo tackles · 9 games · 11th in the NFL in sacks
Jeffery Simmons to make All-Pro
“Those might be the two all pro tackles this year.” the article →
Jeffery Simmons to make All-Pro
“who's coming off an all-pro season in 25, who, if he stays healthy, is a lock to be an all-pro again” the article →
- Dillon ThienemanTackle leader · S
1.5 sacks · 30 solo tackles · 1 interception · 9 games · 48th in the NFL in solo tackles
Every call on Patriots at Bears
1–23 of 23
Chicago Bears 31 — Patriots 27
I'll lean toward the Bears here because of the Patriots' injury issues along the offensive line... Prediction: Bears 31, Patriots 27
New England Patriots to beat Chicago Bears
Tone, who do you like? I love the New England Patriots tonight.
New England Patriots to beat Chicago Bears
AJ, who do you like? The Patriots, I absolutely love the New England Patriots tonight.
Chicago Bears to beat New England
Again, I I just think it might be too much to overcome... I like the Bears at home tonight, Pat.
New England Patriots 24 — Bears 21
I'm scared, but I'm gonna take the Patriots on the road twenty four twenty one. Okay. All right. That's my that's not only a cover straight up win.
Chicago Bears to beat Patriots
I'm gonna take the Bears on the short week. Okay. I think New England's, you know, lack of health at the moment, this might be the spot where it catches up to them... I don't think the Bears are gonna win by 10 points or anything like that.
Chicago Bears to beat New England Patriots
I'm gonna go with the bears. It's not a division game, so Ben Johnson will be amazing.
Chicago Bears 28 — Patriots 24
Jordan Dajani's pick: Bears 28-24 over Patriots
Chicago Bears 27 — Patriots 20
John Breech's pick: Bears 27-20 over Patriots
Chicago Bears 24 — Patriots 20
Tyler Sullivan's pick: Bears 24-20 over Patriots
Chicago Bears 31 — Patriots 27
Jared Dubin's pick: Bears 31-27 over Patriots
New England Patriots 28 — Bears 27
Prisco's pick: Patriots 28-27 over Bears
New England Patriots 28 — Bears 27
he sees a very tight battle in Chicago tonight with Drake Maye getting the best of Caleb Williams by the slimmest of margins: Patriots 28, Bears 27.
Chicago Bears 28 — Patriots 24
Prediction: Bears 28, Patriots 24
Chicago Bears 31 — Patriots 27
Prediction: Bears 31, Patriots 27
New England Patriots 24 — Chicago Bears 20
I got New England in a close one. Give me them 24-20.
Chicago Bears 27 — New England Patriots 20
Give me Chicago in this one in a 24, give me 27 to 20 ball game.
Chicago Bears 24 — Patriots 20
Patriots at Bears (Thursday) Projected score : Bears 24, Patriots 20
New England Patriots 28 — Bears 27
Pick: Patriots 28, Bears 27
Chicago Bears 27 — Patriots 20
PICK: Bears (-3) 27-20 over Patriots
Chicago Bears to beat patriots
With a, Thursday night visit to Chicago in week seven. Yeah. I mean, I don't see a win there until week eight.
Chicago Bears to beat Patriots
home for the Patriots on a Thursday night... I think the Bears win the game.
New England Patriots to beat bears
Five and one at the bears on a Thursday night short week to kick off week seven. Okay. Yeah. We're winning that game