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Tom Pelissero#5 of 87 NFL pundits · Jan 3, 2025

Pelissero expects Travis Hunter, not Shedeur Sanders, to be the first Colorado player drafted, and says Kevin O'Connell will almost certainly win Coach of the Year.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

100Hit · out of 100
Kevin O'Connell wonWhat happenedsettled
0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
#5Tom Pelissero’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Tom Pelissero said

If I were guessing who comes off the board first, I'd say Shidoor is not the first Colorado player off the board as it stands today.
Our reading: Kevin O'Connell to win Coach of the Year
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  1. SaidJan 3, 2025
  2. GradedAug 13, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. Coach Award Picks

    Kevin O'Connell to win Coach of the Year

    What happenedKevin O'Connell won
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.06difficulty+106skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    coach_of_the_year
    coach:
    Kevin O'Connell
    naive:
    the naive pick was Kevin Stefanski, who won it the year before
    skill:
    106
    season:
    2024
    who won:
    Kevin O'Connell
    correct:
    yes
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1.06
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    1
    Think this is wrong?

More coach award picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.