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Matt HasselbeckJul 14, 2025

Hasselbeck agreed on the Bills and Ravens as AFC division winners, picked the Colts (with Daniel Jones) to win the AFC South, the Broncos to win the AFC West, the Seahawks to win the NFC West, and tabbed Brian Flores for a Coach of the Year-type honor. They also said the Patriots would make a big jump and potentially reach the playoffs, and named Minnesota, Las Vegas, New England and Chicago as offseason winners.

Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original

5 of 9calls landed5 hits · 4 misses · 1 waiting
55.6Average accuracyout of 100, across 9 calls
22.2A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
9 of 10Settled1 still waiting
1Waitingnot graded yet

What Matt Hasselbeck said

I think Daniel Jones has an opportunity to win the division with Indianapolis Colts there.
Matt Hasselbeck, the lead quote
The episode
Hour 2 - NFL Predictions
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidJul 14, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5–Sep 18, 2026

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting
GroupHitsCloseMissesWaitingCalls
Coach Award Picks0010
Division Winners2030
Depth Chart Calls2000
Playoff Picks1000
Surprise Team Calls0001
All5041

How each call scored

10 checkable claims — 5 division winners, 2 depth chart calls, 1 coach award pick, 1 playoff pick and 1 surprise team call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 10 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

9 of 10 have settled so far, averaging 55.6 out of 100, against 22.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Coach Award Picks1 missShow ▸
  1. Brian Flora to win Coach of the Year

    “I think Brian Flora is gonna be probably coach of the year on the like a defensive coordinator coach of the year type guy.”

    Mike Vrabel woncalled Brian Flores
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    award:
    coach_of_the_year
    coach:
    Brian Flores
    naive:
    the naive pick was Kevin O'Connell, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    who won:
    Mike Vrabel
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
Division Winners2 hits · 3 missesShow ▸
  1. Seattle Seahawks to win the division

    “So I'll take the Seahawks in a tight division there.”

    Seattle Seahawks

    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    200
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    LAR
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    yes
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Baltimore Ravens to win the division

    “I think everyone's with you on the Bills and Ravens. That's a no brainer.”

    Baltimore Ravens

    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    BAL
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    BAL
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  3. Buffalo Bills to win the division

    “I think everyone's with you on the Bills and Ravens. That's a no brainer.”

    Buffalo Bills

    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    BUF
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  4. Indianapolis Colts to win the division

    “I think Daniel Jones has an opportunity to win the division with Indianapolis Colts there.”

    Indianapolis Colts

    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    IND
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    HOU
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  5. Denver Broncos to win the division

    “the AFC West is an incredible division, but I think people are sleeping on Sean Payton and bow Nicks and what they could be in that division”

    Denver Broncos

    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    200
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    KC
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    yes
    Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart Calls2 hitsShow ▸
  1. Daniel Jones to be 1st on the depth chart

    “To me, I think Daniel Jones in Indianapolis Colts have the best chance to be that guy... it'll be a competition”

    Daniel JonesIndianapolis Colts

    No. 1called No. 1 · by passing yards
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    club:
    IND
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Daniel Jones
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    1
    actual slot:
    1
    difficulty:
    2
    measured by:
    passing yards
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Caleb Williams to be 1st on the depth chart

    “They're building this whole thing around Caleb Williams. They're saying, Caleb, it is your job.”

    Caleb WilliamsChicago Bears

    No. 1called No. 1 · by passing yards
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    club:
    CHI
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Caleb Williams
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    1
    actual slot:
    1
    difficulty:
    2
    measured by:
    passing yards
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks1 hitShow ▸
  1. New England Patriots to make the playoffs

    “I think the Patriots make a huge jump. They were terrible last year. They're going to be potentially a playoff team this year”

    New England Patriots

    Made the playoffs
    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    NE
    skill:
    200
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    no
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
Surprise Team Calls1 waitingShow ▸
  1. Minnesota Vikings to beat expectations

    “I love Minnesota. Like I think Minnesota is going to be the sneaky tim My team... I think Minnesota is a team that's going to shock people.”

    Minnesota Vikings

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More division winners

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.