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Ty Schmit· Sep 28, 2026

While taking the Bears to cover, he said he expects the Eagles to win Monday night in Chicago in a tight game.

“I think the Eagles will win, but I think this one's gonna be very tight.”

said on air, transcribed by us · The Pat McAfee Show (podcast) · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Philadelphia Eagles to beat Bears

    “No. Cover. I think the Eagles will win, but I think this one's gonna be very tight.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-189 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    CHI
    score:
    7-27
    skill:
    -189
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    CHI
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    16

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