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Cody RourkeJul 24, 2026

Rourke predicts the Broncos finish 13-4 in 2026, going 4-2 over a brutal opening six games, sweeping Kansas City again, and losing only at San Francisco, at home to Seattle, at Carolina and on Christmas Day to Buffalo. They also expect Carolina to return to the playoffs.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Broncos (podcast)Hear the original

6 of 10calls landed6 hits · 4 misses · 8 waiting
60Average accuracyout of 100, across 10 calls
60A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
13Games calledeveryone’s picks below
8Waitingnot graded yet

What Cody Rourke said

We both have them finishing thirteen and four, which is obviously, one less win than they had last season.
Cody Rourke, the lead quote
The episode
PREDICTION: Denver Broncos Will Win 13 Games In 2026 Despite Tough Schedule
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidJul 24
  2. PlayedSep 14–Nov 8
  3. GradedSep 16–Nov 8

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting
GroupHitsCloseMissesWaitingCalls
Game Outcome Picks6046
Season Win Totals0001
Playoff Picks0001
All6048

How each call scored

18 checkable claims — 16 game outcome picks, 1 playoff pick and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

10 of 18 have settled so far, averaging 60 out of 100, against 60 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the rest of the room.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Denver Broncos · 2026 season · wins

7 calls from 5 pundits between 10 wins and 13 wins. Cody Rourke said 13 wins. the room's median is 11 wins. not settled yet

Cody Rourke — 13 winsthe room — 7 calls from 5 punditsmedian 11 wins

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Game Outcome Picks6 hits · 4 misses · 6 waitingShow ▸
  1. Carolina Panthers to beat Denver Broncos

    “you had the Broncos dropping that one on the road against Carolina... it is a loss in my opinion on this one”

    Carolina Panthers

    Broncos 26–21Broncos at Panthers
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    DEN
    score:
    26-21
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    CAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    CAR
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Denver Broncos to beat Arizona cardinals

    “opening up week seven, you and I both have the Broncos winning on the road against the Arizona cardinals”

    Denver Broncos

    Broncos 30–16Broncos at Cardinals
    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    DEN
    score:
    30-16
    skill:
    200
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    ARI
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. Seattle Seahawks to beat Denver Broncos

    “you and I predicted the same exact losses at the 40 Niners and at home against the Seahawks in a short week”

    Seattle Seahawks

    Broncos 17–14Seahawks at Broncos
    0Miss

    0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    DEN
    score:
    14-17
    skill:
    −200
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    DEN
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  4. Denver Broncos to beat chargers

    “then we go week five on the road at the chargers. This is the time where I think you gotta put the chargers back in place”

    Denver Broncos

    Broncos 23–17Broncos at Chargers
    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    DEN
    score:
    23-17
    skill:
    200
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    LAC
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  5. Denver Broncos to beat chargers

    “But that's why I got them beating the chargers here”

    Denver Broncos

    Broncos 23–17Broncos at Chargers
    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    DEN
    score:
    23-17
    skill:
    200
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    LAC
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  6. San Francisco 49ers to beat Denver Broncos

    “you and I predicted the same exact losses at the 40 Niners and at home against the Seahawks in a short week”

    San Francisco 49ers

    49ers 24–14Broncos at 49ers
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    SF
    score:
    14-24
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    SF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    SF
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  7. Denver Broncos to beat Rams

    “you and I both have them also beating the Rams in the first portion of this season”

    Denver Broncos

    Broncos 30–26Rams at Broncos
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    DEN
    score:
    26-30
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    DEN
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  8. Denver Broncos to beat Jacksonville Jaguars

    “in the first six games, you and I predicted the same exact losses at the 40 Niners and at home against the Seahawks (week two vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars a win)”

    Denver Broncos

    Broncos 20–13Jaguars at Broncos
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    DEN
    score:
    13-20
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    DEN
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  9. Denver Broncos to beat Kansas City Chiefs

    “the Broncos, they open up on the road at Kansas City against the Chiefs, Monday night football. You and I both have them winning that game.”

    Denver Broncos

    Chiefs 31–10Broncos at Chiefs
    0Miss

    0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    KC
    score:
    10-31
    skill:
    −200
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    KC
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  10. Denver Broncos to beat Kansas City Chiefs

    “a week eight matchup at home against Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs... I got Denver winning this one as well”

    Denver Broncos

    Chiefs 31–10Broncos at Chiefs
    0Miss

    0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    KC
    score:
    10-31
    skill:
    −200
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    KC
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  11. Denver Broncos to beat Raiders

    “I've got them coming out winning against the Raiders at home”

    Denver Broncos

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  12. Buffalo Bills to beat Denver Broncos

    “the Christmas Day marquee matchup against the Buffalo Bills... I have Denver dropping this one”

    Buffalo Bills

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  13. Denver Broncos to beat Steelers

    “And I've got them winning at the Steelers where you have them dropping that game, and that is a Black Friday game as well”

    Denver Broncos

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  14. Denver Broncos to beat Raiders

    “Then week 15, you go on the road at the Raiders... I think Denver continues their win streak against the Raiders”

    Denver Broncos

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  15. Denver Broncos to beat patriots

    “we both had the Broncos going on the road and being the patriots in week 17... I really felt confident about that one as well”

    Denver Broncos

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  16. Denver Broncos to beat Miami Dolphins

    “the Broncos will be taking on the Miami Dolphins... This one's definitely gotta be the w.”

    Denver Broncos

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Season Win Totals1 waitingShow ▸
  1. Denver Broncos to finish with 13 wins

    “We both have them finishing thirteen and four, which is obviously, one less win than they had last season”

    Denver Broncos

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Playoff Picks1 waitingShow ▸
  1. Carolina Panthers to make the playoffs

    “I think they're gonna be back in the playoffs this upcoming season”

    Carolina Panthers

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

The games in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Others on the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.