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Ryan TracyFeb 10, 2026

Tracy argues the Chiefs should address edge rusher and defensive tackle via the draft and use free agency on running back and wide receiver; they name Brian Robinson as their target, expects Kenneth Walker III to re-sign with Seattle, thinks Nick Bolton-style veterans like Jerry Tillery, Derek Nnadi and Mike Pennel shouldn't return, believes Bryan Cook is a top-10 safety the Chiefs can't afford, and predicts a quarterback (Trinidad Chambliss) will rocket up boards so more than one QB goes in the top 10.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Chiefs (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 2calls landed2 misses · 3 waiting
0Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
25A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 5Settled3 still waiting
3Waitingnot graded yet

What Ryan Tracy said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I don't think the NFL is gonna sit still and let only one quarterback go in the top 10.
Ryan Tracy, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
PRIORITY: Chiefs Debate Free Agency vs. Draft Picks and TARGET Key Free Agents
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidFeb 10
  2. GradedAug 14
  1. 1Trinidad Chambliss to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)“I expect one guy in particular in Trinidad Chambliss to become a rocket up these boards... Maybe it's Cleveland at six.”
  2. 2Bryan Cook to finish top 10 at his position, by interceptions“around the league, they see him as a top 10 safety”
  3. 3Kansas City Chiefs to pick “trade down into the mid teens, higher teens ... 12 or 13”“I think, trade down into the mid teens, higher teens... you can still get a quality pick that can help this roster at 12 or 13.”
  4. 4Kenneth Walker III to move to Seattle Seahawks“You may be right that he ends up back in Seattle”
  5. 5Brian Robinson to move to Kansas City Chiefs“I personally wanna see Brian Robinson in this offense, and I think that that is a a lower end deal that can get done.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Trinidad Chambliss to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)1Mock Draft PicksWent undrafted050—
Bryan Cook to finish top 10 at his position, by interceptions2Positional FinishesFinished #298000
Kansas City Chiefs to pick “trade down into the mid teens, higher teens ... 12 or 13”3Team Draft Slot Calls————
Kenneth Walker III to move to Seattle Seahawks4Trade and Signing Calls————
Brian Robinson to move to Kansas City Chiefs5Trade and Signing Calls————
5 calls · 2 misses · 3 waiting025

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

5 checkable claims — 2 trade and signing calls, 1 mock draft pick, 1 positional finish and 1 team draft slot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 5 have settled so far, averaging 0 out of 100, against 25 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
top 10 (picks 1–10)They said
undraftedWhat happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksTrinidad Chambliss

    Trinidad Chambliss to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)

    What happenedWent undrafted
    0Miss · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Trinidad Chambliss
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    undrafted
    outcome:
    went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    undrafted
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0
    predicted pick:
    top 10 (picks 1–10)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Positional FinishesBryan CookKansas City Chiefs

    Bryan Cook to finish top 10 at his position, by interceptions

    What happenedFinished #298called #10 · by interceptions
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Bryan Cook
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    12
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    position:
    secondary
    ranked by:
    interceptions
    difficulty:
    1
    the naive guess:
    where he finished last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    naive finish:
    60
    actual finish:
    298
    weeks left when called:
    0
    predicted finish:
    10
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Team Draft Slot CallsKansas City Chiefs

    Kansas City Chiefs to pick “trade down into the mid teens, higher teens ... 12 or 13”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. 4Trade and Signing CallsKenneth Walker IIISeattle Seahawks

    Kenneth Walker III to move to Seattle Seahawks

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  5. 5Trade and Signing CallsBrian RobinsonKansas City Chiefs

    Brian Robinson to move to Kansas City Chiefs

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  6. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    0naive 25

Others on the same people

More trade and signing calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.