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Mark Kaboly· Oct 11, 2026

Kaboly said Marvin Harrison Jr.'s trade out of Arizona would be made official within a day or two, and that the Steelers would not be his destination.

“Marvin Harrison Jr.'s trade will become official either later today or on Monday.”

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Marvin Harrison Jr. to move — “trade will become official either later today or on Monday”

    “"Marvin Harrison Jr.'s trade will become official either later today or on Monday. Harrison is NOT coming to the Steelers, I've been told," Kaboly wrote on X.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+178 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    178
    player:
    Marvin Harrison Jr.
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he leaves
    was with:
    ARI
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    reported:
    traded → HOU
    how he left:
    traded
    mechanism:
    traded
    settled by:
    a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
    difficulty:
    1.78
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    14

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