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Mike Florio· Oct 11, 2026

Florio expects Marvin Harrison Jr. to be traded away from Arizona, saying it's hard to imagine him remaining a Cardinal and that it's now just a question of what return Arizona gets.

“Regardless, it's hard to imagine Harrison staying with the Cardinals given these developments.”

published in writing · NBC Sports · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 55 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Marvin Harrison Jr. to stay put

    “It's becoming more and more clear he won't be playing for the Cardinals... Regardless, it's hard to imagine Harrison staying with the Cardinals given these developments. At this point, it's just a matter of the Cardinals getting the best return they can.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 55+80.1 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    80.1
    player:
    Marvin Harrison Jr.
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he stays
    was with:
    ARI
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    55
    difficulty:
    1.78
    the naive guess:
    55% of players are with the same club the next season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    ended up with:
    ARI
    weeks left when called:
    14

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