Jared Koch· Oct 11, 2026
Koch argues the Texans remain the favorites to trade for Cardinals receiver Marvin Harrison Jr., predicting Harrison will likely be on a new team within a week and specifically that Houston could have him on the roster by Week 6.
“But until then, it seems like the Texans still look like the team to beat.”
published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →
2 checkable claims — 2 trade and signing calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 2 have settled, averaging 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
2 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
Marvin Harrison Jr. to move to Houston Texans
“don't be shocked if it's Houston that ends up with the No. 4 pick on their roster heading into Week 6”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+178 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 178
- player:
- Marvin Harrison Jr.
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- HOU
- was with:
- ARI
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- reported:
- traded → HOU
- settled by:
- a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 14
- Trade and Signing CallsMarvin Harrison Jr.Oct 11, 2026
Marvin Harrison Jr. to move — “will probably be on a new team by this time next week”
“he's already been deemed inactive for the Cardinals' Week 5 game against the Detroit Lions, and in all likelihood, will probably be on a new team by this time next week”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+178 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 178
- player:
- Marvin Harrison Jr.
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he leaves
- was with:
- ARI
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- reported:
- traded → HOU
- settled by:
- a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 14
What others said about the same people
- Mike KadlickTrade and Signing Calls · Marvin Harrison Jr.Miss · 0With a Marvin Harrison Jr. trade reportedly imminent, Kadlick names three landing spots that make sense for the Cardinals receiver: the Texans (reuniting him with C.J. Stroud), the Raiders (who lack a true No. 1 wideout) and the Patriots (thin at receiver due to injuries).
- Donnie DruinTrade and Signing Calls · Marvin Harrison Jr.Hit · 100Druin writes that Marvin Harrison Jr. is on the move and that early indications point to the Houston Texans as his next destination, where he would join a receiving corps led by Nico Collins.
- John GambadoroTrade and Signing Calls · Marvin Harrison Jr.Hit · 100Gambadoro says a Harrison trade has been agreed to in principle and could be finalized as soon as that night or the following morning, reportedly for two future picks.
- Mark KabolyTrade and Signing Calls · Marvin Harrison Jr.Hit · 100Kaboly said Marvin Harrison Jr.'s trade out of Arizona would be made official within a day or two, and that the Steelers would not be his destination.
- Mike FlorioTrade and Signing Calls · Marvin Harrison Jr.Hit · 100Florio expects Marvin Harrison Jr. to be traded away from Arizona, saying it's hard to imagine him remaining a Cardinal and that it's now just a question of what return Arizona gets.
- Donnie DruinTrade and Signing Calls · Marvin Harrison Jr.Hit · 100Druin writes that Marvin Harrison Jr. is headed out of Arizona and projects to be traded to the Houston Texans, with the deal expected to be completed well before the Nov. 10 deadline. He also expects Harrison to sit out Arizona's Week 5 home game against Detroit.
More trade and signing calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Adam CarlsonTrade and Signing Calls · Jordan AddisonMiss · 0Carlson names three Vikings he sees as most likely to be dealt before the November 10 trade deadline: receivers Jauan Jennings and Jordan Addison, and linebacker Ivan Pace Jr.
- Adam CarlsonTrade and Signing Calls · Jordan AddisonMiss · 0Carlson names three Vikings he expects could be traded before the end of September: quarterback J.J. McCarthy, wide receiver Jordan Addison and linebacker Ivan Pace.
- Brian PeacockTrade and Signing Calls · Jordan AddisonMiss · 0Peacock delivered a seven-round 49ers mock draft plus projected offseason moves: signing tight end Kyle Pitts, trading Mac Jones to Minnesota and acquiring Jordan Addison, and drafting speed at receiver, edge, safety, center, corner, running back and tackle, with 40-time projections for several prospects.
- Tucker FranklinTrade and Signing Calls · Michael DannaHit · 100Tucker predicted edge David Bailey comes off the board before Ruben Bain Jr., that Peter Woods won't last until the Chiefs' pick at 40 (i.e. goes in round one), and that the Chiefs will cut Mike Danna and Jawaan Taylor.
- Jerry MarkarianTrade and Signing Calls · Jaylon JohnsonMiss · 0After a brutal showing against Green Bay, Markarian suggested Bears cornerback Jaylon Johnson could be released in the offseason if his poor early-season play continues.
- Bryan DeArdoTrade and Signing Calls · Andy DaltonMiss · 0After the Eagles released Andy Dalton, DeArdo names possible next destinations for the veteran quarterback, highlighting the Vikings, Saints, Dolphins and Titans as fits, while arguing the Giants are unlikely to add him after trading for JJ McCarthy.