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Jason McIntyre#46 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 17, 2025

Named the Browns their biggest bet of the weekend, took the Jaguars over the Rams in London, and bet the Seahawks against Houston.

Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original

100Hit · out of 100
Game Outcome PicksThe callsettled
100A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
#46Jason McIntyre’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Jason McIntyre said

Browns are my biggest bet of the weekend.
Our reading: Seattle Seahawks to beat Houston
The episode
THE HERD - Hour 2 - New Blazin' 5 picks for the weekend, helping the growth of Caleb Williams, Joe Flacco recent success, Dave Wannstedt
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidOct 17, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Game Outcome PicksSeattle Seahawks

    Seattle Seahawks to beat Houston

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.67difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Oct 20): Seahawks by 3 · favorite pick, Seahawks 60%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    SEA
    score:
    19-27
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    SEA
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    12
    Think this is wrong?

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