Will BlackmonApr 18, 2025

Blackmon believes Aaron Rodgers will either sign with the Pittsburgh Steelers or retire, and ultimately expects Pittsburgh to be where they land because that is where they feel most respected.

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

100Hit · out of 100

Ended up with PITWhat happenedcalled PIT

0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge

100This callout of 100

+200Skillafter difficulty

What Will Blackmon said

I think right now how it looks for Aaron like that is the place where he feels most validated and where I think he's going to end up.

Our reading: Aaron Rodgers to move to Pittsburgh Steelers

Where it was said: Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode: GMFB Friday Hour 1: Waiting on Rodgers, QB Sleepers, Cam Ward insight, and Tyleik Williams
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

SaidApr 18, 2025
GradedSep 18, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Trade and Signing Calls Aaron Rodgers Pittsburgh Steelers
Aaron Rodgers to move to Pittsburgh Steelers
What happenedEnded up with PITcalled PIT
100Hit · naive 0
100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
How this was scored
skill:
200
player:
Aaron Rodgers
season:
2025
claimed:
PIT
was with:
NYJ
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he stays where he is
weeks in the season:
18
ended up with:
PIT
weeks left when called:
18
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Who this take is about

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