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Bill Huber· Oct 4, 2026

Huber picks Green Bay to beat Tampa Bay in a low-scoring game, arguing the Buccaneers' offensive limitations behind undrafted rookie Jalon Daniels will be the difference and the Packers will move to 2-2.

“Prediction: Packers 16, Buccaneers 6.”

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 83.3 out of 100, against 45.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Green Bay Packers 16 — Buccaneers 6

    “Prediction: Packers 16, Buccaneers 6.”

    Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 45.24+69.71 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    17-14
    skill:
    69.71
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    83.33
    baseline:
    45.24
    difficulty:
    1.83
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    15
    naive home margin:
    1
    predicted margin:
    10

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