Kyle CrabbsApr 14, 2025

Crabbs projects all seven rounds of the 2025 NFL Draft, starting with Cam Ward going No. 1 overall to Tennessee, Travis Hunter second to Cleveland and Abdul Carter third to the Giants.

Published in writing · The 33rd TeamRead the original

42 of 244picks landed

One square per 5 calls

42 hits · 61 close calls · 141 misses · 13 waiting

91.33The orderagainst a shuffled mock’s 50

+41.33Skillthe mock as a whole

36.4Per pickaverage, out of 100

35Went undraftedeach a miss

What Kyle Crabbs said

The Titans' decision to select Ward with the No. 1 overall pick feels like a formality at this point.

Kyle Crabbs, the lead quote

Where it was published: The 33rd Team
The piece: 2025 NFL Mock Draft: Full 7-Round Projections for Every Team
The original: Read the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidApr 14, 2025
GradedOct 9, 2026

Box score, round by round

HitCloseMissWaiting

Group	Hits	Close	Misses	Waiting
Round 1	17	11	4	0
Round 2	6	15	11	0
Round 3	7	10	21	0
Round 4	4	8	21	3
Round 5	4	8	25	1
Round 6	1	4	31	4
Round 7	3	5	28	5
All	42	61	141	13

How the mock scored

257 checkable claims — 257 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 289 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

244 of 257 have settled so far, averaging 36.4 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Mock against the draft

Across: where the mock put each player. Down: where the player went, with undrafted players (UDFA) on the bottom row. The shaded band is where a pick earns credit, within 32 picks. Squares landed, half-squares were close and slashes missed. Faint rules mark the rounds.

The mock as a whole

91.33this mock’s order50a shuffled mock41.33better than naive1difficulty+41.33skill

The skill comes from how well the whole mock ordered the draft, so it is not any one pick’s score minus 50.

Every pick’s score

0a pick’s naive guess: 50100

Think a pick here is graded wrong? Tell us which.

Draft board

HitCloseMissWaiting

Round 1 · picks 1–3217 hits · 11 close calls · 4 missesShow ▸

Pick	Team	Player	Pos	Went	Score
1	TEN	Cam Ward	QB	1	100
2	CLE	Travis Hunter	CB/WR	2	100
3	NYG	Abdul Carter	EDGE	3	100
4	NE	Will Campbell	OT	4	100
5	JAX	Mason Graham	IDL	5	100
6	LV	Ashton Jeanty	RB	6	100
7	NYJ	Armand Membou	OT	7	100
8	CAR	Jalon Walker	EDGE	15	74
9	NO	Shedeur Sanders	QB	144	0
10	CHI	Mykel Williams	EDGE	11	96
11	SF	Kenneth Grant	IDL	13	92
12	DAL	Tetairoa McMillan	WR	8	84
13	MIA	Will Johnson	CB	47	23
14	IND	Tyler Warren	TE	14	100
15	ATL	Mike Green	EDGE	59	15
16	ARI	Jahdae Barron	CB	20	84
17	CIN	Grey Zabel	IOL	18	96
18	SEA	Matthew Golden	WR	23	81
19	TB	Jihaad Campbell	LB	31	59
20	DEN	Omarion Hampton	RB	22	92
21	PIT	Jaxson Dart	QB	25	84
22	LAC	Colston Loveland	TE	10	59
23	GB	Shemar Stewart	EDGE	17	77
24	MIN	Nick Emmanwori	S	35	62
25	HOU	Emeka Egbuka	WR	19	77
26	LAR	Carson Schwesinger	LB	33	74
27	BAL	Tyler Booker	IOL	12	52
28	DET	Donovan Ezeiruaku	EDGE	44	50
29	WAS	Malaki Starks	S	27	92
30	BUF	Derrick Harmon	IDL	21	68
31	KC	Kelvin Banks Jr.	OT	9	39
32	PHI	Walter Nolen	IDL	16	50

Round 2 · picks 33–646 hits · 15 close calls · 11 missesShow ▸

Pick	Team	Player	Pos	Went	Score
33	CLE	Josh Simmons	OT	32	96
34	NYG	Jalen Milroe	QB	92	8
35	TEN	Luther Burden III	WR	39	84
36	JAX	Elijah Arroyo	TE	50	55
37	LV	Maxwell Hairston	CB	30	74
38	NE	Jayden Higgins	WR	34	84
39	CHI	Josh Conerly Jr.	OT	29	65
40	NO	Nic Scourton	EDGE	51	62
41	CHI	TreVeyon Henderson	RB	38	88
42	NYJ	Xavier Watts	SAF	96	10
43	SF	Darien Porter	CB	68	34
44	DAL	Trey Amos	CB	61	48
45	IND	Benjamin Morrison	CB	53	71
46	ATL	Tyleik Williams	IDL	28	46
47	ARI	Donovan Jackson	IOL	24	37
48	MIA	Alfred Collins	IDL	43	81
49	CIN	James Pearce Jr.	EDGE	26	37
50	SEA	Jonah Savaiinaea	IOL	37	57
51	DEN	Mason Taylor	TE	42	68
52	SEA	Jaylahn Tuimolaou	EDGE	45	74
53	TB	Azareye'h Thomas	CB	73	42
54	GB	Shavon Revel Jr.	CB	76	39
55	LAC	Darius Alexander	IDL	65	65
56	BUF	Jacob Parrish	CB	84	30
57	CAR	Jaylin Noel	WR	79	39
58	HOU	Aireontae Ersery	OT	48	65
59	BAL	Landon Jackson	EDGE	72	57
60	DET	Jack Bech	WR	58	92
61	WAS	Kaleb Johnson	RB	83	39
62	BUF	Kevin Winston Jr.	SAF	82	42
63	KC	Elic Ayomanor	WR	136	4
64	PHI	Bradyn Swinson	EDGE	146	3

Round 3 · picks 65–1027 hits · 10 close calls · 21 missesShow ▸

Pick	Team	Player	Pos	Went	Score
65	NYG	Shemar Turner	IDL	62	88
66	KC	Princely Umanmielen	EDGE	77	62
67	CLE	Bhayshul Tuten	RB	104	20
68	LV	Tre Harris	WR	55	57
69	NE	T.J. Sanders	IDL	41	30
70	JAX	Tate Ratledge	IOL	57	57
71	NO	Marcus Mbow	IOL	154	3
72	CHI	Joshua Farmer	IDL	137	6
73	NYJ	Kyle Williams	WR	69	84
74	CAR	Omarr Norman-Lott	IDL	63	62
75	SF	Josaiah Stewart	EDGE	90	52
76	DAL	Jordan Burch	EDGE	78	92
77	NE	Oluwafemi Oladejo	EDGE	52	34
78	ARI	Demetrius Knight Jr.	LB	49	28
79	HOU	Dylan Fairchild	IOL	81	92
80	IND	Ozzy Trapilo	OT	56	35
81	CIN	Jared Wilson	IOL	95	55
82	SEA	Jamaree Caldwell	IDL	86	84
83	PIT	Dylan Sampson	RB	126	16
84	TB	Jared Ivey	EDGE	UDFA	0
85	DEN	Deone Walker	IDL	109	35
86	LAC	Ashton Gillotte	EDGE	66	42
87	GB	Quinshon Judkins	RB	36	11
88	JAX	Andrew Mukuba	SAF	64	35
89	HOU	Jordan Phillips	IDL	143	10
90	LAR	Tyler Shough	QB	40	11
91	BAL	Gunnar Helm	TE	120	28
92	SEA	Anthony Belton	OT	54	19
93	NO	Jalen Royals	WR	133	18
94	CLE	Kyle McCord	QB	181	2
95	KC	Ty Robinson	IDL	111	50
96	PHI	Terrance Ferguson	TE	46	11
97	MIN	Zah Frazier	CB	169	4
98	MIA	Charles Grant	IOL	99	96
99	NYG	Denzel Burke	CB	174	4
100	SF	Savion Williams	WR	87	57
101	LAR	Tai Felton	WR	102	96
102	DET	Billy Bowman Jr.	SAF	118	50

Round 4 · picks 103–1384 hits · 8 close calls · 21 misses · 3 waitingShow ▸

Pick	Team	Player	Pos	Went	Score
103	TEN	Lathan Ransom	SAF	122	44
104	CLE	Kyle Kennard	EDGE	125	40
105	NYG	Cameron Williams	OT	207	1
106	NE	Tory Horton	WR	166	7
107	JAX	Dorian Strong	CB	177	5
108	LV	Will Howard	QB	185	4
109	BUF	Miles Frazier	IOL	171	7
110	NYJ	Harold Fannin Jr.	TE	67	16
111	CAR	Caleb Ransaw	SAF	88	37
112	NO	Emery Jones Jr.	OT	91	40
113	SF	Wyatt Milum	IOL	89	35
114	CAR	Cam Skattebo	RB	105	68
115	ARI	Carson Vinson	OT	141	32
116	MIA	Vernon Broughton	IDL	71	14
117	IND	Barrett Carter	LB	119	92
118	ATL	Danny Stutsman	LB	112	77
119	CIN	Jaylen Reed	SAF	187	5
120	TEN	Sai'vion Jones	EDGE	101	44
121	TB	CJ West	IDL	113	71
122	DEN	Jonas Sanker	SAF	93	28
123	PIT	Nohl Williams	CB	85	19
124	GB	Jackson Slater	IOL	167	16
125	LAC	Tommi Hill	CB	—	—
126	JAX	David Walker	EDGE	121	81
127	LAR	Chase Lundt	OT	206	3
128	WAS	Jack Sawyer	EDGE	123	81
129	BAL	Chris Paul	LB	—	—
130	DET	Logan Brown	OT	UDFA	0
131	NO	Zy Alexander	CB	—	—
132	BUF	Tyler Baron	EDGE	176	15
133	KC	Damien Martinez	RB	223	2
134	PHI	Caleb Rogers	IOL	98	21
135	MIA	Isaac TeSlaa	WR	70	6
136	BAL	Quincy Riley	CB	131	81
137	SEA	Tez Johnson	WR	235	1
138	SF	Malachi Moore	SAF	130	71

Round 5 · picks 139–1764 hits · 8 close calls · 25 misses · 1 waitingShow ▸

Pick	Team	Player	Pos	Went	Score
139	MIN	Aeneas Peebles	IDL	210	5
140	CAR	Jalin Conyers	TE	UDFA	0
141	TEN	Jalen Travis	OT	127	55
142	JAX	Xavier Restrepo	WR	UDFA	0
143	LV	Jeffrey Bassa	LB	156	57
144	NE	Craig Woodson	SAF	106	19
145	NYJ	Quinn Ewers	QB	231	2
146	CAR	Upton Stout	CB	100	14
147	SF	DJ Giddens	RB	151	84
148	CHI	Jaylin Lane	WR	128	42
149	DAL	RJ Harvey	RB	60	2
150	MIA	Jalen Rivers	IOL	153	88
151	IND	Marques Sigle	SAF	160	68
152	ARI	Jaylin Smith	CB	97	9
153	CIN	Cobee Bryant	CB	UDFA	0
154	NYG	JJ Pegues	IDL	180	32
155	MIA	Dillon Gabriel	QB	94	7
156	PIT	Elijah Roberts	IDL	157	96
157	TB	Isaiah Bond	WR	UDFA	0
158	LAC	Jarquez Hunter	RB	117	17
159	GB	Jay Toia	IDL	217	8
160	SF	Thomas Fidone II	TE	219	8
161	PHI	Ty Hamilton	IDL	148	57
162	NYJ	Barryn Sorrell	EDGE	124	19
163	CAR	Riley Leonard	QB	189	32
164	PHI	Ajani Cornelius	OT	204	18
165	PHI	Devin Neal	RB	184	44
166	HOU	Jackson Hawes	TE	173	74
167	TEN	Kobe King	LB	201	23
168	PHI	Jordan Hancock	CB	170	92
169	BUF	Nick Martin	LB	75	2
170	BUF	Moliki Matavao	TE	248	3
171	DAL	Hollin Pierce	OT	UDFA	0
172	SEA	R.J. Mickens	SAF	214	16
173	BUF	Tyler Batty	EDGE	UDFA	0
174	DAL	Luke Kandra	IOL	—	—
175	SEA	Smael Mondon Jr.	LB	161	55
176	BAL	Sebastian Castro	SAF	UDFA	0

Round 6 · picks 177–2161 hit · 4 close calls · 31 misses · 4 waitingShow ▸

Pick	Team	Player	Pos	Went	Score
177	BUF	Zeek Biggers	IDL	253	4
178	TEN	Mello Dotson	CB	—	—
179	CLE	Dont'e Thornton Jr.	WR	108	5
180	LV	Que Robinson	EDGE	134	14
181	LAC	Pat Bryant	WR	74	1
182	JAX	Cam Horsley	IDL	UDFA	0
183	BAL	Brashard Smith	RB	228	14
184	NO	Rylie Mills	IDL	142	16
185	PIT	Maxen Hook	SAF	UDFA	0
186	NYJ	Howard Cross III	IDL	UDFA	0
187	MIN	Trevor Etienne	RB	114	4
188	TEN	Bryce Cabeldue	IOL	192	84
189	IND	Antwaun Powell-Ryland	EDGE	209	42
190	LAR	Mitchell Evans	TE	163	31
191	DEN	Dominic Lovett	WR	244	10
192	CLE	Jaydon Blue	RB	149	16
193	CIN	Gerad Christian-Lichtenhan	OT	—	—
194	JAX	Seth McLaughlin	IOL	UDFA	0
195	LAR	Alijah Huzzie	CB	UDFA	0
196	DET	Garrett Dellinger	IOL	243	13
197	DEN	Oronde Gadsden II	TE	165	25
198	GB	O'Donnell Fortune	CB	—	—
199	LAC	Nash Jones	IOL	UDFA	0
200	CLE	Cam Jackson	IDL	140	7
201	LAR	Jah Joyner	EDGE	—	—
202	LAR	Jack Kiser	LB	107	2
203	BAL	Jack Nelson	OT	218	52
204	DAL	Tonka Hemingway	IDL	135	5
205	WAS	Chimere Dike	WR	103	1
206	BUF	Theo Wease Jr.	WR	UDFA	0
207	NYJ	Justin Walley	CB	80	0
208	DEN	Clay Webb	IOL	UDFA	0
209	LAC	Dante Trader Jr.	SAF	155	10
210	BAL	Ollie Gordon II	RB	179	26
211	DAL	Nazir Stackhouse	IDL	UDFA	0
212	BAL	Kitan Crawford	SAF	225	57
213	LV	Bilhal Kone	CB	178	22
214	LAC	Kain Medrano	LB	205	68
215	LV	Jabbar Muhammad	CB	UDFA	0
216	CLE	Jason Marshall Jr.	CB	150	6

Round 7 · picks 217–2573 hits · 5 close calls · 28 misses · 5 waitingShow ▸

Pick	Team	Player	Pos	Went	Score
217	NE	Jonah Monheim	IOL	221	84
218	ATL	Kaden Prather	WR	—	—
219	NYG	Jake Majors	IOL	UDFA	0
220	NE	Kyle Monangai	RB	233	57
221	JAX	Carson Bruener	LB	226	81
222	LV	Sam Brown	WR	UDFA	0
223	SEA	Jordan James	RB	147	4
224	MIA	Chandler Martin	LB	UDFA	0
225	ARI	Kaimon Rucker	EDGE	UDFA	0
226	KC	Nick Nash	WR	UDFA	0
227	SF	Joshua Gray	IOL	UDFA	0
228	DET	Simeon Barrow Jr.	IDL	UDFA	0
229	PIT	Connor Colby	IOL	249	42
230	CAR	Jay Higgins	LB	UDFA	0
231	MIA	Tyrion Ingram-Dawkins	EDGE	139	2
232	IND	Malik Verdon	SAF	UDFA	0
233	CHI	Drew Kendall	IOL	168	6
234	SEA	Kurtis Rourke	QB	227	74
235	TB	Mac McWilliams	CB	145	2
236	HOU	Collin Oliver	EDGE	159	4
237	GB	Willie Lampkin	IOL	UDFA	0
238	NE	Isas Waxter	CB	UDFA	0
239	DAL	Hunter Wohler	SAF	232	74
240	CHI	Yahya Black	IDL	164	4
241	HOU	Jared Harrison-Hunte	IDL	UDFA	0
242	ATL	Eli Cox	IOL	UDFA	0
243	BAL	Brandon Adams	CB	—	—
244	DET	Robert Longerbeam	CB	212	25
245	WAS	Myles Hinton	OT	191	10
246	NYG	Trey Wedig	OT	UDFA	0
247	DAL	Jake Briningstool	TE	UDFA	0
248	NO	Teddye Buchanan	LB	129	1
249	SF	Rayuan Lane III	SAF	200	12
250	GB	Jalen McLeod	EDGE	194	9
251	KC	Luke Lachey	TE	255	84
252	SF	Tyler Cooper	IOL	UDFA	0
253	MIA	LeQuint Allen Jr.	RB	236	48
254	NO	Thomas Perry	IOL	—	—
255	CLE	LaJohntay Wester	WR	203	11
256	LAC	Daniel Jackson	SAF	—	—
257	KC	Shamari Simmons	SAF	—	—

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