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Ross Jackson· Feb 24, 2026

Reviewing the Saints' 2025 draft class, Jackson argues New Orleans should win the NFL's best draft class award and says day-three picks Danny Stutzman and Devin Neal are soon-to-be starters for the team.

“Four bonafide starters in their rookie seasons from an nine man draft class with the potential for two others on the way in Danny Stutzman and Devin Neil.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Saints (podcast) · read the original →

2 checkable claims — 2 depth chart calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 87.5 out of 100, against 95.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Their call against what happened

1They said
3What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

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Who this take is about

2 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Danny Stutsman to be 1st on the depth chart

    “a trio of big time contributors and, if not already, soon to be starters in day three... with the potential for two others on the way in Danny Stutzman and Devin Neil”

    Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 91.67-8.33 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    NO
    skill:
    -8.33
    player:
    Danny Stutsman
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    83.33
    baseline:
    91.67
    position:
    LB
    naive slot:
    2
    actual slot:
    3
    difficulty:
    1
    measured by:
    special-teams snaps
    the naive guess:
    no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Devin Neal to be 1st on the depth chart

    “Four bonafide starters in their rookie seasons from an nine man draft class with the potential for two others on the way in Danny Stutzman and Devin Neil.”

    Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 100-8.33 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    NO
    skill:
    -8.33
    player:
    Devin Neal
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    91.67
    baseline:
    100
    position:
    RB
    naive slot:
    2
    actual slot:
    2
    difficulty:
    1
    measured by:
    rushing yards
    the naive guess:
    no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

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