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Colin Cowherd#54 of 87 NFL pundits · Jan 6, 2026

Cowherd delivered their final Herd Hierarchy of the regular season, ranking the top 10 NFL teams with Seattle first and Chicago tenth. They also predicted the Texans' red-zone struggles will be their undoing and that Philadelphia will beat San Francisco, and expects both New England and Seattle to address their offensive lines in the draft, plus the Rams possibly using two early picks on corners.

Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 2calls landed1 hit · 1 miss · all settled
47Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
21.5A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 2Settlednone still waiting
#54Colin Cowherd’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Colin Cowherd said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I think they're GM's the best personnel guy in the league.
Colin Cowherd, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
THE HERD - Hour 2 - Last Herd Hierarchy before the playoffs, NFL predictions, Nick Wright
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidJan 6
  2. GradedAug 7
  1. 1Philadelphia Eagles to beat Niners“Philadelphia is going to win this game. The numbers leading me to this”
  2. 2Power Rankings“The top ten NFL teams according to College number ten, I would put Chicago... I think they're GM's the best personnel guy in the league.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Philadelphia Eagles to beat Niners1Game Outcome Picks—000
“The top ten NFL teams according to College number ten, I would…”2Power Rankings—93.9443.03+50.91
2 calls · 1 hit · 1 miss · all settled4721.5

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 game outcome pick and 1 power ranking — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

All 2 have settled, averaging 47 out of 100, against 21.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksPhiladelphia Eagles

    Philadelphia Eagles to beat Niners

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Jan 11): Eagles by 6 · favorite pick, Eagles 70%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    SF
    score:
    23-19
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Power Rankings

    “The top ten NFL teams according to College number ten, I would put Chicago... I think they're GM's the best personnel guy in the league.”

    VerdictHit
    93.94Hit · naive 43.03
    93.94this call43.03a naive guess50.91better than naive1difficulty+50.91skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    50.91
    method:
    spearman
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    93.94
    baseline:
    43.03
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    teams ranked:
    10
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    47naive 21.5

Others on the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.