Skip to main content
MissedTakes
Menu

Jordan Dajani#23 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 11, 2026

Dajani picked the Texans to upset the Bills at home and the Vikings to beat the Packers by a touchdown.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

1 of 2calls landed1 hit · 1 close call · all settled
71.4Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
68.4A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2Games calledeveryone’s picks below
#23Jordan Dajani’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Jordan Dajani said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Dajani: Texans 23, Bills 21
Jordan Dajani, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
49ers stun sluggish Rams for NFL's first game in Australia; college football Week 2 preview
The original
Read the original
Read it wrong?
Tell us and we will look
  1. SaidSep 11
  2. PlayedSep 13
  3. GradedSep 15
  1. 1Houston Texans 23 — Bills 21“Dajani: Texans 23, Bills 21”
  2. 2Minnesota Vikings to beat Packers“Dajani foresees the Vikings beating the Packers by a touchdown.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Houston Texans 23 — Bills 211Score PredictionsBills 36–3142.8636.83+12.06
Minnesota Vikings to beat Packers2Game Outcome PicksVikings 39–221001000
2 calls · 1 hit · 1 close call · all settled71.468.4

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 game outcome pick and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 71.4 out of 100, against 68.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Score PredictionsHouston Texans

    Houston Texans 23 — Bills 21

    What happenedBills 36–31called Texans by 2 · lost by 5
    42.86Close · naive 36.83
    42.86this call36.83a naive guess6.03better than naive2difficulty+12.06skill

    Closing line (Sep 13): Bills by 1.5, total 44.5 · this 23–21 calls a Texans win (by 2; the line gave the Texans 50%) and fewer points (44).

    How this was scored
    score:
    36-31
    skill:
    12.06
    they picked:
    HOU
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    42.86
    baseline:
    36.83
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    5
    weeks left when called:
    18
    naive home margin:
    −0.53
    predicted margin:
    2
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Game Outcome PicksMinnesota Vikings

    Minnesota Vikings to beat Packers

    What happenedVikings 39–22Packers at Vikings
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Sep 13): Vikings by 1.5 · a toss-up, Packers 47%, Vikings 53%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    MIN
    score:
    22-39
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    MIN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    MIN
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    71.4naive 68.4

The games in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Who this take is about

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these