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Brendon NelsonNov 12, 2026

Nelson expects the 49ers to release Brandon Aiyuk soon, and argues the Seahawks should sign them; they predict the Rams are the most likely landing spot if Seattle stays out.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

Waiting2 calls, none settled yet
—Average accuracynothing settled yet
—A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
0 of 2Settled2 still waiting
2Waitingnot graded yet

What Brendon Nelson said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
So before we go any further in this conversation, keep in mind that if the Seahawks don’t get involved, there’s a good chance the Rams get him.
Brendon Nelson, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
Why The Seahawks Should Pursue Former All-Pro Wide Receiver
The original
Read the original
  1. 1Brandon Aiyuk to move to Los Angeles Rams“At the front of that line will likely be the Los Angeles Rams... if the Seahawks don’t get involved, there’s a good chance the Rams get him.”
  2. 2Brandon Aiyuk to move — “expected to be released by the 49ers soon”“Aiyuk is forcing the 49ers to either pay him or release him, and they’re expected to release him soon.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Brandon Aiyuk to move to Los Angeles Rams1Trade and Signing Calls————
Brandon Aiyuk to move — “expected to be released by the 49ers soon”2Trade and Signing Calls————
2 calls · 2 waiting——

How each call scored

2 checkable claims — 2 trade and signing calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Trade and Signing CallsBrandon AiyukLos Angeles Rams

    Brandon Aiyuk to move to Los Angeles Rams

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. 2Trade and Signing CallsBrandon Aiyuk

    Brandon Aiyuk to move — “expected to be released by the 49ers soon”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More trade and signing calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.