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Dan OrlovskySep 21, 2026

Orlovsky said that even without Puka Nacua the Rams would find a way to beat the Giants on Monday night, though they thought the Giants would keep it within a touchdown.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Pat McAfee Show (podcast)Hear the original

100Hit · out of 100
Rams 28–6What happenedGiants at Rams
100A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
0Skillafter difficulty

What Dan Orlovsky said

But I still think the Rams found a way to win the game.
Our reading: Los Angeles Rams to beat Giants
The episode
PMS 2.0 1628 - OVERREACTION MONDAY, NFL Week 2 Recap, MNF Preview/Picks, Michael Irvin, Adam Schefter, Dan Orlovsky, Darius Butler, & AJ Hawk
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidSep 21
  2. PlayedSep 21
  3. GradedSep 22

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles Rams

    Los Angeles Rams to beat Giants

    What happenedRams 28–6Giants at Rams
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.94difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Sep 21): Rams by 6.5 · favorite pick, Rams 72%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.

    How this was scored
    won:
    LAR
    score:
    6-28
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    LAR
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    17
    Think this is wrong?

The game in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

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