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Jamie Erdahl#31 of 87 NFL pundits · Jan 7, 2025

Erdahl said their AFC and NFC wild card rankings matched Peter Schrager's — Chargers, Broncos, Steelers in the AFC — and went along with the Vikings as the NFC pick.

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

100Hit · out of 100
Power RankingsThe callsettled
0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
#31Jamie Erdahl’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Jamie Erdahl said

my ranking was the same as Peter
Jamie Erdahl’s words, quoted for attribution
Where it was said
Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode
GMFB Tuesday Hour 1: Playoff underdogs! Reviewing Preseason Predictions
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidJan 7, 2025
  2. GradedAug 7, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. Power Rankings

    “Just at my ranking was the same as Peter”

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1difficulty+100skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    100
    method:
    spearman
    season:
    2024
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    teams ranked:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    0
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More power rankings

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.