Chris Brockman#36 of 87 NFL pundits · Nov 17, 2025
Brockman argued the Eagles' defense is the NFL's best and will drag a mediocre offense to the NFC championship, that the NFC North sends only two teams to the playoffs with the Bears among them, that the Rams are the league's best team, that a healthy Brock Purdy makes the 49ers an NFC threat who will beat the Saints and Falcons, and that the Panthers win the NFC South.
Said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast)Hear the original
5 of 8calls landed5 hits · 1 close call · 2 misses · all settled
68.8Average accuracyout of 100, across 8 calls
37.5A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
8 of 8Settlednone still waiting
What Chris Brockman said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromThey're the best in the NFL. They're gonna carry them to the NFC championship.
- Where it was said
- Overreaction Monday (podcast)
- The episode
- NFL Week 11: Lions-Eagles P.I. Controversy, Bears Up, Chiefs Down, and more
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidNov 17, 2025
- GradedAug 13–Oct 7, 2026
- 1Power Rankings“The Rams are the best team in the NFL.”
- 2Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl“The Eagles' offense is pretty bad. And no matter how bad it is, it's gonna be the defense, Rich. They're the best in the NFL. They're gonna carry them to the NFC championship.”
- 3Carolina Panthers to win the division“The Panthers are gonna win this division.”
- 4Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs“watching either of those teams play, which it feels like they're both gonna make the playoffs depending on how injured Aaron Rodgers is”
- 5San Francisco 49ers to beat Atlanta“And then their home for Atlanta, which has fallen completely apart. So Feels like those are two wins coming up.”
- 6Chicago Bears to make the playoffs“The NFC North is only getting two playoff teams, and one of them is the bears.”
- 7San Francisco 49ers to beat New Orleans“Their next game... is a home for New Orleans. And then their home for Atlanta... Feels like those are two wins coming up.”
- 8Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs“watching either of those teams play, which it feels like they're both gonna make the playoffs depending on how injured Aaron Rodgers is”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| “The Rams are the best team in the NFL.”1 | Power Rankings | Ranked #5 | 50 | 100 | −72 | |
| Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl2 | Conference Champions | NE and SEA won | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Carolina Panthers to win the division3 | Division Winners | — | 100 | 0 | +144 | |
| Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs4 | Playoff Picks | Made the playoffs | 100 | 100 | 0 | |
| San Francisco 49ers to beat Atlanta5 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 100 | 100 | 0 | |
| Chicago Bears to make the playoffs6 | Playoff Picks | Made the playoffs | 100 | 0 | +144 | |
| San Francisco 49ers to beat New Orleans7 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 100 | 0 | +144 | |
| Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs8 | Playoff Picks | Missed the playoffs | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8 calls · 5 hits · 1 close call · 2 misses · all settled | 68.8 | 37.5 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive8 checkable claims — 3 playoff picks, 2 game outcome picks, 1 conference champion, 1 division winner and 1 power ranking — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 8 have settled, averaging 68.8 out of 100, against 37.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Their call against what happened
1They said
5What happened
Their call against what actually happened.
“The Rams are the best team in the NFL.”
What happenedRanked #5called #150Close · naive 10050this call−100a naive guess=−50worse than naive×1.44difficulty=−72skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- LAR
- naive:
- finishes where it finished last season (15)
- skill:
- −72
- season:
- 2025
- window:
- top 1
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 100
- settled by:
- final standings: win percentage, then point differential
- actual rank:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- clubs ranked:
- 32
- predicted rank:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 8
- zero at places out:
- 8
2Conference ChampionsPhiladelphia Eagles
Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl
What happenedNE and SEA wonpicked PHI0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×1.44difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- PHI
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- champions:
- NE, SEA
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- the naive guess:
- last season's conference champions
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 8
- reached the Super Bowl:
- no
- lost the conference final:
- no
3Division WinnersCarolina Panthers
Carolina Panthers to win the division
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1.44difficulty=+144skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 144
- method:
- division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
- they picked:
- CAR
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- TB
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- the naive guess:
- last season's winner of the same division
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 8
- won the division:
- yes
4Playoff PicksPittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs
What happenedMade the playoffs100Hit · naive 100100this call−100a naive guess=0better than naive×1.44difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- PIT
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 8
5Game Outcome PicksSan Francisco 49ers
San Francisco 49ers to beat Atlanta
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 100100this call−100a naive guess=0better than naive×1.44difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- SF
- score:
- 10-20
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- SF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- SF
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 8
Chicago Bears to make the playoffs
What happenedMade the playoffs100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1.44difficulty=+144skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- CHI
- skill:
- 144
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- no
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 8
7Game Outcome PicksSan Francisco 49ers
San Francisco 49ers to beat New Orleans
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1.44difficulty=+144skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- SF
- score:
- 26-21
- skill:
- 144
- they picked:
- SF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- NO
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 8
8Playoff PicksBaltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs
What happenedMissed the playoffs0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×1.44difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- BAL
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- no
- weeks left when called:
- 8
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 8 settled calls, each counted once
68.8naive 37.5
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
John Middlekauff · Draft Bust Calls · Caleb Williams · Miss 0
Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. They are pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying they'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. They also see Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix.Bryan DeArdo · Trade and Signing Calls · Joey Porter Jr. · Miss 0
The piece predicts Joey Porter Jr. most likely stays with the Steelers through 2026, while listing possible trade destinations if they were moved.Bryan DeArdo · Score Predictions · Chicago Bears · Hit 98
DeArdo picks the Bears to beat the Buccaneers on Sunday night in a defensive game, predicting a 20-16 final score.Danny Parkins · Game Outcome Picks · Chicago Bears · Hit 100
Parkins named the seven AFC teams they believe are already set as the playoff field, expects Chicago, Buffalo and Kansas City to win this week, took Green Bay over New England and Atlanta over Cincinnati outright, and kept Bills–Bears as their Super Bowl matchup with the Giants still winning the NFC East.
More playoff picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Ross Jackson · Playoff Picks · New Orleans Saints · Miss 0
Jackson projects a big sophomore jump for Saints QB Tyler Shuck, laying out a Drake May-style stat line (17 starts, 72% completions, ~4,601 passing yards, 24 TDs, 9 INTs) or a Bo Nix-style consistency line (over 4,000 yards, over 20 TDs, ~10 INTs), and says either path means a playoff season for New Orleans in 2026.Rich Eisen · Playoff Picks · Minnesota Vikings · Miss 0
Eisen argues Ohio State will produce multiple top-10 picks — Sonny Styles, Arvell Reese and Caleb Downs — becoming the first school with three defensive players in the top 10, and that Styles will not be available at No. 12 to the Cowboys. He also thinks Fernando Mendoza is worthy of the No. 1 overall pick and expects the Raiders to draft him, and picks Trey Lance over Anthony Richardson to start a game first, Micah Parsons to fetch a bigger trade return than Maxx Crosby, Kirk Cousins as the released QB most likely to reach the playoffs, and J.J. McCarthy as the Vikings' Week 1 starter.Rich Eisen · Playoff Picks · Los Angeles Rams · Hit 100
Eisen forecast the Week 18 results and the entire wild-card field: Buccaneers over Panthers but Carolina still gets in as the 5 seed when Atlanta beats New Orleans, 49ers over Seahawks, Ravens over Steelers, Jaguars beating Tennessee to win the AFC South, and six wild-card matchups (Seahawks-Panthers, Bills-Jaguars, Texans-Ravens, Packers-Bears, Chargers-Patriots, Rams-Eagles), with Houston upsetting Baltimore. They also tabbed Saints rookie Tyler Shough as a possible Offensive Rookie of the Year.Rich Eisen · Playoff Picks · Green Bay Packers · Hit 100
Eisen agreed the Bears are a team of destiny who will win the NFC, insisted the Packers will make the playoffs and won't lose at home to the Ravens, said the Steelers should make the playoffs, and endorsed the view that Trevor Lawrence is playing like a top-five quarterback.