Rich Eisen#38 of 87 NFL pundits · Nov 17, 2025
Eisen endorsed the Eagles' defense carrying them to the NFC championship and the Rams being the NFL's best team, but predicted the NFC North sends only Green Bay and Detroit to the playoffs, that Kansas City wins five of its last seven, that the 49ers make the playoffs, that Baltimore wins the AFC North, and that Tampa Bay wins the NFC South with both the Bucs and Panthers losing their upcoming NFC West road games.
Said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast)Hear the original
What Rich Eisen said
But I think at the end of the day, the West will get three in, the North will get two in, and the Packers and the Lions will be the two.
- Where it was said
- Overreaction Monday (podcast)
- The episode
- NFL Week 11: Lions-Eagles P.I. Controversy, Bears Up, Chiefs Down, and more
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidNov 17, 2025
- GradedAug 13–Oct 7, 2026
Box score, by kind
HitCloseMissWaiting| Group | Hits | Close | Misses | Waiting | Calls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Power Rankings | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Division Winners | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Conference Champions | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Playoff Picks | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Season Win Totals | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Game Outcome Picks | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| All | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
How each call scored
10 checkable claims — 3 playoff picks, 2 division winners, 2 game outcome picks, 1 conference champion, 1 power ranking and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 10 have settled, averaging 47 out of 100, against 40 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Their call against what happened
Their call against what actually happened.
Power Rankings1 close callShow ▸Hide ▾
“And, thus, I agree with you. The Rams are the best team in the NFL. This is not an overreaction”
Ranked #5called #150Close50 − 100 naive = −50 × 1.44 difficulty = −72 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- LAR
- naive:
- finishes where it finished last season (15)
- skill:
- −72
- season:
- 2025
- window:
- top 1
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 100
- settled by:
- final standings: win percentage, then point differential
- actual rank:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- clubs ranked:
- 32
- predicted rank:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 8
- zero at places out:
- 8
Division Winners2 missesShow ▸Hide ▾
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division
“I still believe Tampa has the guys who have been there and done that... and they should win this division.”
0Miss0 − 0 naive = 0 × 1.44 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
- they picked:
- TB
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- TB
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- the naive guess:
- last season's winner of the same division
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 8
- won the division:
- no
Baltimore Ravens to win the division
“But at the end of the day, I think the Ravens are going to win the division”
0Miss0 − 0 naive = 0 × 1.44 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
- they picked:
- BAL
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- BAL
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- the naive guess:
- last season's winner of the same division
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 8
- won the division:
- no
Conference Champions1 missShow ▸Hide ▾
Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl
“Makes sense, and this is not an overreaction. [re: Eagles defense carrying them to the NFC championship]”
NE and SEA wonpicked PHI0Miss0 − 0 naive = 0 × 1.44 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- PHI
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- champions:
- NE, SEA
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- the naive guess:
- last season's conference champions
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 8
- reached the Super Bowl:
- no
- lost the conference final:
- no
Playoff Picks2 hits · 1 missShow ▸Hide ▾
Green Bay Packers to make the playoffs
“the West will get three in, the North will get two in, and the Packers and the Lions will be the two”
Made the playoffs100Hit100 − 100 naive = 0 × 1.44 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- GB
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 8
Detroit Lions to make the playoffs
“the West will get three in, the North will get two in, and the Packers and the Lions will be the two”
Missed the playoffs0Miss0 − 0 naive = 0 × 1.44 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- DET
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- no
- weeks left when called:
- 8
San Francisco 49ers to make the playoffs
“Because, again, the Niners are just too far back to be in a position. I think they do make the playoffs”
Made the playoffs100Hit100 − 0 naive = 100 × 1.44 difficulty = +144 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- SF
- skill:
- 144
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- no
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 8
Season Win Totals1 missShow ▸Hide ▾
Kansas City Chiefs to finish with 10 wins
“They have to win five of those games. Absolutely will. ... Absolutely will.”
6called 1020Miss20 − 0 naive = 20 × 1.44 difficulty = +28.8 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- KC
- naive:
- 11.75
- skill:
- 28.8
- what happened:
- 6
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 20
- baseline:
- 0
- they said:
- 10
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 8
Game Outcome Picks2 hitsShow ▸Hide ▾
San Francisco 49ers to beat Carolina
“Carolina's next game is, by the way, at San Francisco on a Monday night... they both have tough games at NFC West teams. I I I believe they're both gonna lose those games.”
100Hit100 − 100 naive = 0 × 1.44 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- SF
- score:
- 9-20
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- SF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- SF
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 8
Los Angeles Rams to beat Tampa
“And Tampa's next game is here against the Rams... they both have tough games at NFC West teams. I I I believe they're both gonna lose those games.”
100Hit100 − 100 naive = 0 × 1.44 difficulty = 0 skill
Closing line (Nov 23): Rams by 7 · favorite pick, Rams about 3 in 4 (76%).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- LAR
- score:
- 7-34
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- LAR
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- LAR
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 8
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Chris Clark · Trade and Signing Calls · Nikko Remigio · Miss 0
Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return.Gilberto Manzano · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Previewing the trade deadline, he expects Justin Herbert to stay in Los Angeles despite the Chargers' 0–7 start, thinks the Jets will keep Garrett Wilson and pair him with their young weapons, expects a receiver-hungry Kansas City to be aggressive with Josh Downs the likeliest target, and suggests expiring Eagles contracts Moro Ojomo and Riq Woolen could be dealt for mid-round picks.Joshua Poniatowski · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Poniatowski names several trade targets, predicting Malik Willis underperforms this week against New England, that Omarion Hampton could become a viable RB2 if Adam Gase takes over play-calling, that Josh Downs gets traded (ideally to Kansas City, where they'd be a top-24 WR), that Brian Thomas Jr. could be dealt to the Rams or 49ers, and that Travis Kelce remains a consistent weekly TE.Jordan Dajani · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
After reporting that Colts receiver Josh Downs requested a trade, they identify five clubs as plausible landing spots for them: the Rams, Patriots, Falcons, Chiefs and Raiders, and suggests Las Vegas could also give them a long-term extension.
More playoff picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Ross Jackson · Playoff Picks · New Orleans Saints · Miss 0
Jackson projects a big sophomore jump for Saints QB Tyler Shuck, laying out a Drake May-style stat line (17 starts, 72% completions, ~4,601 passing yards, 24 TDs, 9 INTs) or a Bo Nix-style consistency line (over 4,000 yards, over 20 TDs, ~10 INTs), and says either path means a playoff season for New Orleans in 2026.Chris Brockman · Playoff Picks · Pittsburgh Steelers · Hit 100
Brockman argued the road to the Super Bowl in the AFC goes through Foxborough, meaning the Patriots will finish as the No. 1 seed, and called their shot that the Chargers beat Denver in Week 18. They also declared the Bears a team of destiny who will win the NFC, said the Steelers will end their playoff win drought, and that Trevor Lawrence is playing like a top-five quarterback.Chris Brockman · Playoff Picks · Buffalo Bills · Hit 100
Brockman argued the Texans will reach the AFC Championship Game, declared the Chiefs dynasty over, said the road to the Super Bowl in the NFC goes through Lambeau Field, that Josh Allen is still the most dangerous QB and the Bills will win a playoff game (with the AFC East runner-up as the 5 seed winning in Pittsburgh or Baltimore), that Carolina will win the NFC South, that Baltimore finishes under .500 with Lamar no longer a top-five QB, that the Colts should trade for Mac Jones, and that Marcus Freeman will be in the NFL next year.Chris Brockman · Playoff Picks · Houston Texans · Hit 100
Brockman predicted the AFC South will send at least two teams to the playoffs and called the Texans real contenders.Chris Brockman · Playoff Picks · Pittsburgh Steelers · Hit 100
Brockman argued the Eagles' defense is the NFL's best and will drag a mediocre offense to the NFC championship, that the NFC North sends only two teams to the playoffs with the Bears among them, that the Rams are the league's best team, that a healthy Brock Purdy makes the 49ers an NFC threat who will beat the Saints and Falcons, and that the Panthers win the NFC South.