Nick Wright#49 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 31, 2025
The host's five Week 9 NFL picks: Detroit over Minnesota, Pittsburgh +3 vs. Indianapolis, San Francisco over the Giants, Kansas City over Buffalo at Buffalo, and Seattle over Washington. They also call the Chiefs the best team in the league and Jonathan Taylor the NFL's best running back this year.
Said on air or in an interview · What's Wright? with Nick Wright (podcast)Hear the original
What Nick Wright said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromListen, I just think the Chiefs are the best team in the league, and I'm laying less than a field goal.
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- What's Wright? with Nick Wright (podcast)
- The episode
- What's Wright - NFL Week 9 Predictions: Chiefs-Bills, Colts-Steelers, Broncos-Texans, Vikings-Lions | Nick Wright
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The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidOct 31, 2025
- GradedAug 5–Oct 7, 2026
- 1Power Rankings“Listen, I just think the Chiefs are the best team in the league”
- 2Jonathan Taylor to finish top 1 at his position, by rushing yards“And Atlanta does have the best running back in the NFL other than Jonathan Taylor this year.”
- 3Seattle Seahawks to beat Washington“I think Seattle's really good. I think Washington is bad and injured. I'll take Seattle minus three.”
- 4Kansas City Chiefs to beat Buffalo“I think the Chiefs win by at least a field goal. I'll lay the point and a half.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| “Listen, I just think the Chiefs are the best team in the league”1 | Power Rankings | Ranked #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Jonathan Taylor to finish top 1 at his position, by rushing yards2 | Positional Finishes | Finished #3 | 83.33 | 91.67 | −13 | |
| Seattle Seahawks to beat Washington3 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 100 | 0 | +156 | |
| Kansas City Chiefs to beat Buffalo4 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 0 | 100 | −156 | |
| 4 calls · 2 hits · 2 misses · all settled | 45.8 | 47.9 | ||||
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive4 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks, 1 positional finish and 1 power ranking — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 4 have settled, averaging 45.8 out of 100, against 47.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Their call against what happened
Their call against what actually happened.
“Listen, I just think the Chiefs are the best team in the league”
What happenedRanked #23called #10Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×1.56difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- KC
- naive:
- finishes where it finished last season (2)
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- window:
- top 1
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- settled by:
- final standings: win percentage, then point differential
- actual rank:
- 23
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- clubs ranked:
- 32
- predicted rank:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- zero at places out:
- 8
2Positional FinishesJonathan Taylor
Jonathan Taylor to finish top 1 at his position, by rushing yards
What happenedFinished #3called #1 · by rushing yards83.33Hit · naive 91.6783.33this call−91.67a naive guess=−8.34worse than naive×1.56difficulty=−13skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- −13
- player:
- Jonathan Taylor
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 83.33
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- RB
- ranked by:
- rushing yards
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 4
- actual finish:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- predicted finish:
- 1
3Game Outcome PicksSeattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks to beat Washington
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1.56difficulty=+156skillClosing line (Nov 2): Seahawks by 2.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks 57%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- SEA
- score:
- 38-14
- skill:
- 156
- they picked:
- SEA
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- WAS
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 10
4Game Outcome PicksKansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Buffalo
VerdictMiss0Miss · naive 1000this call−100a naive guess=−100worse than naive×1.56difficulty=−156skillClosing line (Nov 2): Chiefs by 2.5 · favorite pick, Chiefs 55%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- BUF
- score:
- 21-28
- skill:
- −156
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- BUF
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once
45.8naive 47.9
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Chris Clark · Trade and Signing Calls · Nikko Remigio · Miss 0
Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return.Gilberto Manzano · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Previewing the trade deadline, he expects Justin Herbert to stay in Los Angeles despite the Chargers' 0–7 start, thinks the Jets will keep Garrett Wilson and pair him with their young weapons, expects a receiver-hungry Kansas City to be aggressive with Josh Downs the likeliest target, and suggests expiring Eagles contracts Moro Ojomo and Riq Woolen could be dealt for mid-round picks.Joshua Poniatowski · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Poniatowski names several trade targets, predicting Malik Willis underperforms this week against New England, that Omarion Hampton could become a viable RB2 if Adam Gase takes over play-calling, that Josh Downs gets traded (ideally to Kansas City, where they'd be a top-24 WR), that Brian Thomas Jr. could be dealt to the Rams or 49ers, and that Travis Kelce remains a consistent weekly TE.Jordan Dajani · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
After reporting that Colts receiver Josh Downs requested a trade, they identify five clubs as plausible landing spots for them: the Rams, Patriots, Falcons, Chiefs and Raiders, and suggests Las Vegas could also give them a long-term extension.Mike Kadlick · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Kadlick names the Chiefs, Patriots and 49ers as the three best trade landing spots for Colts wide receiver Josh Downs ahead of the Nov. 10 deadline.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.Eva Geitheim · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Conor Orr · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Orr picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10.Albert Breer · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Breer picked all 14 Week 10 games straight up, favoring the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens.Mitch Goldich · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Goldich picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Matt Verderame · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Verderame picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.