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Shannon Sharpe#42 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 10, 2025

Sharpe argued that through five weeks of the 2025 season Baker Mayfield has been the best-playing quarterback in the league, insisting no six quarterbacks are playing the position better than they are and that they belong in the top five if not first.

Said on air or in an interview · Nightcap (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 2calls landed1 hit · 1 miss · all settled
62.5Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
20.8A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 2Settlednone still waiting
#42Shannon Sharpe’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Shannon Sharpe said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
There are not seven six quarterbacks playing the quarterback position better than Baker Mayfield.
Shannon Sharpe, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Nightcap (podcast)
The episode
Nightcap Hour 2: Sports Illustrated TOP 5 NFL QBs: Where's BAKER MAYFIELD? + Shannon Sharpe 4th BEST 7th ROUND PICK?!
The original
Hear the original
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The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidOct 10, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5–6, 2026
  1. 1Baker Mayfield to finish top 1 at his position, by passing yards“I'm not so sure that Baker Mayfield shouldn't be one... There are not six quarterbacks playing better than Baker Mayfield... they said, the first five weeks of this season, Baker Mayfield played better. Than everybody, and he has.”
  2. 2Denver Broncos to beat Jets“have fun While you're over there Washington, Broncos beat up on them Jets.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Baker Mayfield to finish top 1 at his position, by passing yards1Positional FinishesFinished #102541.67−28.67
Denver Broncos to beat Jets2Game Outcome Picks—1000+172
2 calls · 1 hit · 1 miss · all settled62.520.8

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 game outcome pick and 1 positional finish — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 62.5 out of 100, against 20.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

positional finish
1They said
10What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Positional FinishesBaker Mayfield

    Baker Mayfield to finish top 1 at his position, by passing yards

    What happenedFinished #10called #1 · by passing yards
    25Miss · naive 41.67
    25this call41.67a naive guess−16.67worse than naive1.72difficulty−28.67skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    −28.67
    player:
    Baker Mayfield
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    12
    accuracy:
    25
    baseline:
    41.67
    position:
    QB
    ranked by:
    passing yards
    difficulty:
    1.72
    the naive guess:
    where he finished last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    naive finish:
    3
    actual finish:
    10
    weeks left when called:
    13
    predicted finish:
    1
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Game Outcome PicksDenver Broncos

    Denver Broncos to beat Jets

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.72difficulty+172skill

    Closing line (Oct 12): Broncos by 7.5 · favorite pick, Broncos about 3 in 4 (77%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    DEN
    score:
    13-11
    skill:
    172
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    NYJ
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    13
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    62.5naive 20.8

Who this take is about

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