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Colin Cowherd#54 of 87 NFL pundits · Jan 7, 2025

Cowherd leaned the Chargers over the Texans, the Ravens over the Steelers, the Bills over the Broncos, the Eagles over the Packers and the Vikings over the Rams in the wild-card round, and in college they liked Ohio State and Notre Dame. They also projected Kyle McCord as a third-round quarterback and said it wouldn't be crazy if Abdul Carter went No. 1 overall.

Said on air or in an interview · The Colin Cowherd Podcast (podcast)Hear the original

3 of 5calls landed3 hits · 2 misses · all settled
59Average accuracyout of 100, across 5 calls
80A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
5 of 5Settlednone still waiting
#54Colin Cowherd’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Colin Cowherd said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I like the Ravens to just I think if they played ten times the Ravens this current makeup of both teams, I would take the Ravens to win eight of them.
Colin Cowherd, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Colin Cowherd Podcast - Wild Card Predictions, NFL Coaching Openings, Sean Payton Was RIGHT, Notre Dame’s Advantage, College Football Playoff Semifinals
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidJan 7, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5–18, 2026
  1. 1Kyle McCord to be picked “third round quarterback” (picks 65–102)“but Riley Leonard McCord out of Syracuse I think will end up being I think he'll end up being like a third round quarterback that sticks in the league for a long time. Kyle McCord is”
  2. 2Minnesota Vikings to beat Rams“I think the Vikings bounce back. I think their receiving core is a real problem for the Rams. Secondary.”
  3. 3Philadelphia Eagles to beat Green Bay“my favorite bet of the weekend is the Eagles minus four and a half against Green Bay... And I like Philadelphia kind of rolling Green Bay.”
  4. 4Abdul Carter to be picked at number 1“But I will say about Penn State Abduall Carter that rush end. If he's healthy, John, if he got drafted number one. I don't think it's crazy. I think he's so good.”
  5. 5Buffalo Bills to beat Broncos“But I do think the Bills win by about ten points. I could see twenty eight, twenty thirty, twenty.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Kyle McCord to be picked “third round quarterback” (picks 65–102)1Mock Draft PicksWent 1813.2650—
Minnesota Vikings to beat Rams2Game Outcome Picks—0100−100
Philadelphia Eagles to beat Green Bay3Game Outcome Picks—1001000
Abdul Carter to be picked at number 14Mock Draft PicksWent 391.750—
Buffalo Bills to beat Broncos5Game Outcome Picks—1001000
5 calls · 3 hits · 2 misses · all settled5980

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

5 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks and 2 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 5 have settled, averaging 59 out of 100, against 80 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
third round quarterback (picks 65–102)They said
181What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksKyle McCord

    Kyle McCord to be picked “third round quarterback” (picks 65–102)

    What happenedWent 181
    3.26Miss · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Kyle McCord
    season:
    2024
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    3.26
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    181
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    3.26
    predicted pick:
    third round quarterback (picks 65–102)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Game Outcome PicksMinnesota Vikings

    Minnesota Vikings to beat Rams

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1difficulty−100skill

    Closing line (Jan 13): Vikings by 2.5 · favorite pick, Vikings 56%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    LAR
    score:
    9-27
    skill:
    −100
    they picked:
    MIN
    season:
    2024
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    LAR
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Game Outcome PicksPhiladelphia Eagles

    Philadelphia Eagles to beat Green Bay

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Jan 12): Eagles by 5.5 · favorite pick, Eagles about 2 in 3 (69%). Graded on who won, not on the spread.

    How this was scored
    won:
    PHI
    score:
    10-22
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2024
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  4. 4Mock Draft PicksAbdul Carter

    Abdul Carter to be picked at number 1

    What happenedWent 3mocked at 1
    91.7Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Abdul Carter
    season:
    2024
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    3
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  5. 5Game Outcome PicksBuffalo Bills

    Buffalo Bills to beat Broncos

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Jan 12): Bills by 7.5 · favorite pick, Bills 78%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    BUF
    score:
    7-31
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2024
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    BUF
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  6. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 5 settled calls, each counted once

    59naive 80

Others on the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.