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Mike Florio· Oct 11, 2026

Florio expects Marvin Harrison Jr. to be dealt, saying the only surprising outcome at this point would be if no trade happened, though he stops short of committing to a destination himself.

“Either way, Sunday's action could become a factor in the eventual transaction, with the only surprise at this point being Harrison not being traded.”

published in writing · NBC Sports · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 55 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Marvin Harrison Jr. to stay put

    “with the only surprise at this point being Harrison not being traded.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 55+80.1 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    80.1
    player:
    Marvin Harrison Jr.
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he stays
    was with:
    ARI
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    55
    difficulty:
    1.78
    the naive guess:
    55% of players are with the same club the next season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    ended up with:
    ARI
    weeks left when called:
    14

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