Jared Dubin#60 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 9, 2026

In the Wednesday night season opener, the CBS Sports preview picks the defending champion Seahawks to beat the Patriots at home in a Super Bowl LX rematch, 23-17.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

2 of 2calls landed2 hits · all settled

96.4Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls

100A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

1Games calledeveryone’s picks below

#60Jared Dubin’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Jared Dubin said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

Pick: Seahawks 23, Patriots 17

Jared Dubin, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was published: CBS Sports
The piece: Seahawks vs. Patriots: Super Bowl rematch kicks off 2026 season as Seattle begins defense of title
The original: Read the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidSep 9
PlayedSep 9
GradedSep 11

1Seattle Seahawks 23 — Patriots 17“In the end, we're rolling with the home team to defend its crown and take home the victory in Week 1. Pick: Seahawks 23, Patriots 17”
2Seattle Seahawks to beat Patriots“we're rolling with the home team to defend its crown and take home the victory in Week 1”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
Seattle Seahawks 23 — Patriots 17¹	Score Predictions	Seahawks 13–10	92.86	100	−14.29
Seattle Seahawks to beat Patriots²	Game Outcome Picks	Seahawks 13–10	100	100	0
2 calls · 2 hits · all settled			96.4	100

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 game outcome pick and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

All 2 have settled, averaging 96.4 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

1Score Predictions Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks 23 — Patriots 17
What happenedSeahawks 13–10called Seahawks by 6 · won by 3
92.86Hit · naive 100
92.86this call100a naive guess−7.14worse than naive2difficulty−14.29skill
Closing line (Sep 9): Seahawks by 3, total 44.5 · this 23–17 calls a bigger Seahawks win (by 6) and fewer points (40).
How this was scored
score:
10-13
skill:
−14.29
they picked:
SEA
season:
2026
accuracy:
92.86
baseline:
100
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
18
naive home margin:
3
predicted margin:
6
Think this is wrong?
2Game Outcome Picks Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks to beat Patriots
What happenedSeahawks 13–10Patriots at Seahawks
100Hit · naive 100
100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
Closing line (Sep 9): Seahawks by 3 · favorite pick, Seahawks 60%.
How this was scored
won:
SEA
score:
10-13
skill:
0
they picked:
SEA
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
SEA
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
96.4naive 100