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John Breech#34 of 87 NFL pundits · Aug 19, 2026

A CBS Sports piece predicts the week each NFL team will suffer its first loss, effectively picking winners in each of those games, and names the Ravens as the league's final undefeated team after a 7-0 start.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

21 of 30calls landed21 hits · 9 misses · all settled
70Average accuracyout of 100, across 30 calls
63.3A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
30Games calledeveryone’s picks below
#34John Breech’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What John Breech said

So there you have it, the Ravens will be the final undefeated team, but that's not necessarily a good thing
John Breech, the lead quote
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
Who will be the NFL's final undefeated team in 2026? Predicting who will flirt with perfection the longest
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidAug 19
  2. PlayedSep 9–Nov 1
  3. GradedSep 11–Nov 1

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting
GroupHitsCloseMissesWaitingCalls
Game Outcome Picks21090
All21090

How each call scored

30 checkable claims — 30 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 18 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 30 have settled, averaging 70 out of 100, against 63.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game Outcome Picks21 hits · 9 missesShow ▸
  1. Buffalo Bills to beat Ravens

    “Ravens (at Bills). ... they finally face a stiff test in Week 8 when they face the Bills on the road and they come up empty”

    Buffalo Bills

    Bills 36–10Ravens at Bills
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    BUF
    score:
    10-36
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    BUF
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Seattle Seahawks to beat Chiefs

    “Chiefs (at Seahawks). ... they give us a Super Bowl-worthy show here with the Seahawks coming out on top.”

    Seattle Seahawks

    Seahawks 20–3Chiefs at Seahawks
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    SEA
    score:
    3-20
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    SEA
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. Dallas Cowboys to beat Packers

    “Packers (vs. Cowboys). ... that could open the door for the Dallas offense to have a big night.”

    Dallas Cowboys

    Packers 23–13Cowboys at Packers
    0Miss

    0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    GB
    score:
    13-23
    skill:
    −200
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    GB
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  4. Denver Broncos to beat Seahawks

    “Seahawks (at Broncos). If the Seahawks are going to slip up early in the season, this feels like the most likely spot.”

    Denver Broncos

    Broncos 17–14Seahawks at Broncos
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    DEN
    score:
    14-17
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    DEN
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  5. Los Angeles Rams to beat Bills

    “Bills (at Rams). ... the Rams will be waiting in the wings to end Buffalo's undefeated run.”

    Los Angeles Rams

    Bills 37–34Bills at Rams
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    BUF
    score:
    37-34
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    LAR
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  6. Green Bay Packers to beat Bears

    “Bears (at Packers). ... There will be no meltdown here and the Packers will get the win at Lambeau.”

    Green Bay Packers

    Packers 31–7Bears at Packers
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    GB
    score:
    7-31
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    GB
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  7. Chicago Bears to beat Eagles

    “Eagles (at Bears). ... Ben Johnson thoroughly outcoached Nick Sirianni in that game and it wouldn't be surprising if we see that happen again here.”

    Chicago Bears

    Bears 27–7Eagles at Bears
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    CHI
    score:
    7-27
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    CHI
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  8. Denver Broncos to beat Rams

    “Rams (at Broncos). ... this feels like the spot where we'll see Sean McVay's team lose its first game.”

    Denver Broncos

    Broncos 30–26Rams at Broncos
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    DEN
    score:
    26-30
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    DEN
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  9. Buffalo Bills to beat Chargers

    “Chargers (at Bills). The Chargers have to fly across the country to face a Bills team that will be coming into this game on 10 days of rest...”

    Buffalo Bills

    Bills 24–16Chargers at Bills
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    BUF
    score:
    16-24
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    BUF
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  10. Baltimore Ravens to beat Cowboys

    “Cowboys (vs. Ravens in Brazil). ... it's still hard to imagine Dallas slowing down Lamar Jackson and the Ravens' offense.”

    Baltimore Ravens

    Ravens 34–31Ravens at Cowboys
    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    BAL
    score:
    34-31
    skill:
    200
    they picked:
    BAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    DAL
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  11. Houston Texans to beat Bengals

    “Bengals (at Texans). ... if your offense tends to get off to a slow start, the Texans' defense is not the unit you want to be facing.”

    Houston Texans

    Bengals 20–6Bengals at Texans
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    CIN
    score:
    20-6
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    HOU
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    HOU
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  12. Philadelphia Eagles to beat Titans

    “Titans (vs. Eagles). In what comes as a surprise to no one, the Titans run at an undefeated season comes to an end in Week 2.”

    Philadelphia Eagles

    Eagles 24–20Eagles at Titans
    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    PHI
    score:
    24-20
    skill:
    200
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    TEN
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  13. New England Patriots to beat Steelers

    “Steelers (at Patriots). ... this feels like a game New England should win.”

    New England Patriots

    Patriots 20–3Steelers at Patriots
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    NE
    score:
    3-20
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    NE
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    NE
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  14. Los Angeles Chargers to beat Raiders

    “Raiders (at Chargers). This is a divisional game on the road, which isn't a good combination for a Raiders team...”

    Los Angeles Chargers

    Raiders 26–14Raiders at Chargers
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    LV
    score:
    26-14
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    LAC
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    LAC
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  15. Buffalo Bills to beat Lions

    “Lions (at Bills). ... it's almost impossible to see the Bills losing the first game at their new stadium.”

    Buffalo Bills

    Bills 41–31Lions at Bills
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    BUF
    score:
    31-41
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    BUF
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  16. Kansas City Chiefs to beat Broncos

    “Broncos (at Chiefs). ... it's hard to pick against a Chiefs team that will be opening the season at home in primetime.”

    Kansas City Chiefs

    Chiefs 31–10Broncos at Chiefs
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    KC
    score:
    10-31
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    KC
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  17. Philadelphia Eagles to beat Commanders

    “Commanders (at Eagles). ... he always has his team ready to play in the opener and this year should be no exception.”

    Philadelphia Eagles

    Eagles 24–22Commanders at Eagles
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    PHI
    score:
    22-24
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  18. Dallas Cowboys to beat Giants

    “Giants (vs. Cowboys). ... The Cowboys are returning every starter on their offense and that should put them in a spot to steal this one in a shootout.”

    Dallas Cowboys

    Giants 28–20Cowboys at Giants
    0Miss

    0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    NYG
    score:
    20-28
    skill:
    −200
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    NYG
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  19. Los Angeles Chargers to beat Cardinals

    “Cardinals (at Chargers). Jim Harbaugh has NEVER lost an NFL opener in his career ... and I don't see that streak ending here.”

    Los Angeles Chargers

    Cardinals 26–14Cardinals at Chargers
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    ARI
    score:
    26-14
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    LAC
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    LAC
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  20. Cincinnati Bengals to beat Buccaneers

    “Buccaneers (at Bengals). ... That's not a good combination for the Bucs, who will be facing a desperate Bengals team that's going into a make-or-break season.”

    Cincinnati Bengals

    Bengals 33–27Buccaneers at Bengals
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    CIN
    score:
    27-33
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    CIN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    CIN
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  21. Baltimore Ravens to beat Colts

    “Colts (vs. Ravens). ... it's hard to imagine the Colts pulling this off if they're not at 100%.”

    Baltimore Ravens

    Ravens 41–23Ravens at Colts
    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    BAL
    score:
    41-23
    skill:
    200
    they picked:
    BAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    IND
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  22. Las Vegas Raiders to beat Dolphins

    “Dolphins (at Raiders). ... it's hard to field a competitive team when more than half of your salary cap is being eaten up by players who aren't even on the team.”

    Las Vegas Raiders

    Raiders 27–13Dolphins at Raiders
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    LV
    score:
    13-27
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    LV
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    LV
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  23. Detroit Lions to beat Saints

    “Saints (at Lions). ... it's hard to see the Saints keeping up.”

    Detroit Lions

    Lions 31–30Saints at Lions
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    DET
    score:
    30-31
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DET
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    DET
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  24. Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Falcons

    “Falcons (at Steelers). ... but that won't be enough to help Atlanta pull off the upset.”

    Pittsburgh Steelers

    Steelers 20–13Falcons at Steelers
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    PIT
    score:
    13-20
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    PIT
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    PIT
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  25. Tennessee Titans to beat Jets

    “Jets (at Titans). ... then the Titans should be able to pull off the upset.”

    Tennessee Titans

    Jets 23–10Jets at Titans
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    NYJ
    score:
    23-10
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    TEN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    TEN
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  26. Green Bay Packers to beat Vikings

    “Vikings (vs. Packers). ... The Vikings new quarterback is trying to learn a new offense ... This will be one of those hiccups.”

    Green Bay Packers

    Vikings 39–22Packers at Vikings
    0Miss

    0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    MIN
    score:
    22-39
    skill:
    −200
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    MIN
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  27. Buffalo Bills to beat Texans

    “Texans (vs. Bills). ... that will be enough to put Buffalo just barely over the top in this AFC showdown.”

    Buffalo Bills

    Bills 36–31Bills at Texans
    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    BUF
    score:
    36-31
    skill:
    200
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    HOU
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  28. Chicago Bears to beat Panthers

    “Panthers (vs. Bears). The Panthers will be missing both of their starting tackles ... it's hard to win games in the NFL when you're missing both of your starting tackles.”

    Chicago Bears

    Bears 59–37Bears at Panthers
    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    CHI
    score:
    59-37
    skill:
    200
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    CAR
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  29. Los Angeles Rams to beat 49ers

    “49ers (vs. Rams). ... for that reason alone, I like the Rams. I also like the Rams because I think they have a better roster.”

    Los Angeles Rams

    49ers 27–749ers at Rams
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    SF
    score:
    27-7
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    LAR
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  30. Seattle Seahawks to beat Patriots

    “Patriots (at Seahawks). ... This game might turn into an even bigger blowout with the Seahawks playing at home.”

    Seattle Seahawks

    Seahawks 13–10Patriots at Seahawks
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    SEA
    score:
    10-13
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    SEA
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

The games in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Others on the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.