John Breech· Aug 19, 2026

A CBS Sports piece predicts the week each NFL team will suffer its first loss, effectively picking winners in each of those games, and names the Ravens as the league's final undefeated team after a 7-0 start.

“So there you have it, the Ravens will be the final undefeated team, but that's not necessarily a good thing”

published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →

30 checkable claims — 30 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 18 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

24 of 30 have settled so far, averaging 70.8 out of 100, against 58.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

The games in this take

30 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Game Outcome Picks Chicago BearsAug 19, 2026
Chicago Bears to beat Eagles
“Eagles (at Bears). ... Ben Johnson thoroughly outcoached Nick Sirianni in that game and it wouldn't be surprising if we see that happen again here.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
CHI
score:
7-27
skill:
0
they picked:
CHI
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
CHI
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Denver BroncosAug 19, 2026
Denver Broncos to beat Rams
“Rams (at Broncos). ... this feels like the spot where we'll see Sean McVay's team lose its first game.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
DEN
score:
26-30
skill:
0
they picked:
DEN
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
DEN
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Buffalo BillsAug 19, 2026
Buffalo Bills to beat Chargers
“Chargers (at Bills). The Chargers have to fly across the country to face a Bills team that will be coming into this game on 10 days of rest...”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
BUF
score:
16-24
skill:
0
they picked:
BUF
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
BUF
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Baltimore RavensAug 19, 2026
Baltimore Ravens to beat Cowboys
“Cowboys (vs. Ravens in Brazil). ... it's still hard to imagine Dallas slowing down Lamar Jackson and the Ravens' offense.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
won:
BAL
score:
34-31
skill:
200
they picked:
BAL
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
DAL
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Houston TexansAug 19, 2026
Houston Texans to beat Bengals
“Bengals (at Texans). ... if your offense tends to get off to a slow start, the Texans' defense is not the unit you want to be facing.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
CIN
score:
20-6
skill:
0
they picked:
HOU
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
HOU
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Philadelphia EaglesAug 19, 2026
Philadelphia Eagles to beat Titans
“Titans (vs. Eagles). In what comes as a surprise to no one, the Titans run at an undefeated season comes to an end in Week 2.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
won:
PHI
score:
24-20
skill:
200
they picked:
PHI
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
TEN
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks New England PatriotsAug 19, 2026
New England Patriots to beat Steelers
“Steelers (at Patriots). ... this feels like a game New England should win.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
NE
score:
3-20
skill:
0
they picked:
NE
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
NE
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Los Angeles ChargersAug 19, 2026
Los Angeles Chargers to beat Raiders
“Raiders (at Chargers). This is a divisional game on the road, which isn't a good combination for a Raiders team...”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
LV
score:
26-14
skill:
0
they picked:
LAC
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
LAC
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Buffalo BillsAug 19, 2026
Buffalo Bills to beat Lions
“Lions (at Bills). ... it's almost impossible to see the Bills losing the first game at their new stadium.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
BUF
score:
31-41
skill:
0
they picked:
BUF
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
BUF
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Kansas City ChiefsAug 19, 2026
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Broncos
“Broncos (at Chiefs). ... it's hard to pick against a Chiefs team that will be opening the season at home in primetime.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
KC
score:
10-31
skill:
0
they picked:
KC
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
KC
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Philadelphia EaglesAug 19, 2026
Philadelphia Eagles to beat Commanders
“Commanders (at Eagles). ... he always has his team ready to play in the opener and this year should be no exception.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
PHI
score:
22-24
skill:
0
they picked:
PHI
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
PHI
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Dallas CowboysAug 19, 2026
Dallas Cowboys to beat Giants
“Giants (vs. Cowboys). ... The Cowboys are returning every starter on their offense and that should put them in a spot to steal this one in a shootout.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
won:
NYG
score:
20-28
skill:
-200
they picked:
DAL
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
NYG
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Los Angeles ChargersAug 19, 2026
Los Angeles Chargers to beat Cardinals
“Cardinals (at Chargers). Jim Harbaugh has NEVER lost an NFL opener in his career ... and I don't see that streak ending here.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
ARI
score:
26-14
skill:
0
they picked:
LAC
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
LAC
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Cincinnati BengalsAug 19, 2026
Cincinnati Bengals to beat Buccaneers
“Buccaneers (at Bengals). ... That's not a good combination for the Bucs, who will be facing a desperate Bengals team that's going into a make-or-break season.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
CIN
score:
27-33
skill:
0
they picked:
CIN
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
CIN
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Baltimore RavensAug 19, 2026
Baltimore Ravens to beat Colts
“Colts (vs. Ravens). ... it's hard to imagine the Colts pulling this off if they're not at 100%.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
won:
BAL
score:
41-23
skill:
200
they picked:
BAL
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
IND
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Las Vegas RaidersAug 19, 2026
Las Vegas Raiders to beat Dolphins
“Dolphins (at Raiders). ... it's hard to field a competitive team when more than half of your salary cap is being eaten up by players who aren't even on the team.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
LV
score:
13-27
skill:
0
they picked:
LV
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
LV
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Detroit LionsAug 19, 2026
Detroit Lions to beat Saints
“Saints (at Lions). ... it's hard to see the Saints keeping up.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
DET
score:
30-31
skill:
0
they picked:
DET
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
DET
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Pittsburgh SteelersAug 19, 2026
Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Falcons
“Falcons (at Steelers). ... but that won't be enough to help Atlanta pull off the upset.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
PIT
score:
13-20
skill:
0
they picked:
PIT
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
PIT
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Tennessee TitansAug 19, 2026
Tennessee Titans to beat Jets
“Jets (at Titans). ... then the Titans should be able to pull off the upset.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
NYJ
score:
23-10
skill:
0
they picked:
TEN
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
TEN
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Green Bay PackersAug 19, 2026
Green Bay Packers to beat Vikings
“Vikings (vs. Packers). ... The Vikings new quarterback is trying to learn a new offense ... This will be one of those hiccups.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
won:
MIN
score:
22-39
skill:
-200
they picked:
GB
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
MIN
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Buffalo BillsAug 19, 2026
Buffalo Bills to beat Texans
“Texans (vs. Bills). ... that will be enough to put Buffalo just barely over the top in this AFC showdown.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
won:
BUF
score:
36-31
skill:
200
they picked:
BUF
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
HOU
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Chicago BearsAug 19, 2026
Chicago Bears to beat Panthers
“Panthers (vs. Bears). The Panthers will be missing both of their starting tackles ... it's hard to win games in the NFL when you're missing both of your starting tackles.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
won:
CHI
score:
59-37
skill:
200
they picked:
CHI
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
CAR
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Los Angeles RamsAug 19, 2026
Los Angeles Rams to beat 49ers
“49ers (vs. Rams). ... for that reason alone, I like the Rams. I also like the Rams because I think they have a better roster.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
SF
score:
27-7
skill:
0
they picked:
LAR
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
LAR
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Seattle SeahawksAug 19, 2026
Seattle Seahawks to beat Patriots
“Patriots (at Seahawks). ... This game might turn into an even bigger blowout with the Seahawks playing at home.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
SEA
score:
10-13
skill:
0
they picked:
SEA
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
SEA
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Green Bay PackersAug 19, 2026
Green Bay Packers to beat Bears
“Bears (at Packers). ... There will be no meltdown here and the Packers will get the win at Lambeau.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Seattle SeahawksAug 19, 2026
Seattle Seahawks to beat Chiefs
“Chiefs (at Seahawks). ... they give us a Super Bowl-worthy show here with the Seahawks coming out on top.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Dallas CowboysAug 19, 2026
Dallas Cowboys to beat Packers
“Packers (vs. Cowboys). ... that could open the door for the Dallas offense to have a big night.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Los Angeles RamsAug 19, 2026
Los Angeles Rams to beat Bills
“Bills (at Rams). ... the Rams will be waiting in the wings to end Buffalo's undefeated run.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Denver BroncosAug 19, 2026
Denver Broncos to beat Seahawks
“Seahawks (at Broncos). If the Seahawks are going to slip up early in the season, this feels like the most likely spot.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Buffalo BillsAug 19, 2026
Buffalo Bills to beat Ravens
“Ravens (at Bills). ... they finally face a stiff test in Week 8 when they face the Bills on the road and they come up empty”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100
Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Detroit LionsHit · 100
Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Cincinnati BengalsMiss · 0
Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Las Vegas RaidersHit · 100
Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100
Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Green Bay PackersMiss · 10
Simms picked the Packers to beat the Falcons in the Thursday night game by a low score, expecting a defensive struggle.

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsHit · 100
Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Jacksonville JaguarsHit · 100
Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Jacksonville JaguarsHit · 100
Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
Sam MonsonGame Outcome Picks · Minnesota VikingsHit · 100
Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South.
Matt HarmonGame Outcome Picks · Jacksonville JaguarsMiss · 0
Harmon picked the Bengals to beat the Texans in Week 2, expecting Nico Collins to miss the game with a hamstring injury, and also predicted the Titans would be shut out by the Eagles. He took the Rams over the Giants, the Bears over the Vikings, and the Jaguars at Denver.
Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Jacksonville JaguarsMiss · 0
Tice picked the Bengals over the Texans in a low-scoring game, the Jaguars at Denver, the Bears over the Vikings, the Patriots over the Steelers and the Rams to edge the Giants, and his Hail Mary was the Cowboys scoring 40 on Washington. He also floated Abdul Carter as a possible All-Pro.

Who this take is about

The games in this take

30 checkable claims in this take

What others said about the same people

More game outcome picks

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