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Jared Dubin· Nov 5, 2026

Dubin predicted scores for the same seven Week 9 games, including a lopsided Jacksonville win, a Bengals victory over Atlanta, and low-scoring wins for Denver, Green Bay, Chicago and Buffalo.

“Jacksonville should roll and win with relative ease.”

published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →

7 checkable claims — 7 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

6 of 7 have settled so far, averaging 89.3 out of 100, against 30.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

The games in this take

7 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Score PredictionsGreen Bay PackersNov 5, 2026

    Green Bay Packers 26 — Patriots 20

    “Prediction: Packers 26, Patriots 20”

    Close · 71Scored 71.43a naive guess scored 7.44+99.82 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    45-27
    skill:
    99.82
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    71.43
    baseline:
    7.44
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.13
    predicted margin:
    6

    Closing line (Nov 8): Patriots by 3, total 44.5 · this 26–20 calls a Packers win (by 6; the line gave the Packers 38%) and more points (46).

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  • Score PredictionsChicago BearsNov 5, 2026

    Chicago Bears 21 — Buccaneers 17

    “I'm still taking Chicago to win this game … Prediction: Bears 21, Buccaneers 17”

    Hit · 98Scored 97.62a naive guess scored 93.16+6.96 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    24-27
    skill:
    6.96
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    97.62
    baseline:
    93.16
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.13
    predicted margin:
    4

    Closing line (Nov 8): Bears by 6.5, total 47.5 · this 21–17 calls a closer game (Bears by 4) and fewer points (38).

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  • Score PredictionsLos Angeles RamsNov 5, 2026

    Los Angeles Rams 24 — Commanders 16

    “Prediction: Rams 24, Commanders 16”

    Hit · 98Scored 97.62a naive guess scored 33.68+99.74 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    20-13
    skill:
    99.74
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    97.62
    baseline:
    33.68
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    7
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.15
    predicted margin:
    8

    Closing line (Nov 8): Rams by 4.5, total 48.5 · this 24–16 calls a bigger Rams win (by 8) and fewer points (40).

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  • Score PredictionsDenver BroncosNov 5, 2026

    Denver Broncos 23 — Panthers 17

    “Prediction: Broncos 23, Panthers 17”

    Hit · 98Scored 97.62a naive guess scored 38.44+92.31 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    26-21
    skill:
    92.31
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    97.62
    baseline:
    38.44
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    5
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.15
    predicted margin:
    6

    Closing line (Nov 8): Broncos by 3, total 44.5 · this 23–17 calls a bigger Broncos win (by 6) and fewer points (40).

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  • Score PredictionsCincinnati BengalsNov 5, 2026

    Cincinnati Bengals 27 — Falcons 20

    “Prediction: Bengals 27, Falcons 20”

    Close · 76Scored 76.19a naive guess scored 10.09+103.12 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    34-17
    skill:
    103.12
    they picked:
    CIN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    76.19
    baseline:
    10.09
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    17
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.24
    predicted margin:
    7

    Closing line (Nov 8): Bengals by 3, total 52.5 · this 27–20 calls a bigger Bengals win (by 7) and fewer points (47).

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  • Score PredictionsJacksonville JaguarsNov 5, 2026

    Jacksonville Jaguars 27 — Ravens 6

    “Prediction: Jaguars 27, Ravens 6”

    Hit · 95Scored 95.24a naive guess scored 0+148.57 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    33-10
    skill:
    148.57
    they picked:
    JAX
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    95.24
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    23
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.38
    predicted margin:
    21

    Closing line (Nov 5): Jaguars by 8.5, total 40.5 · this 27–6 calls a bigger Jaguars win (by 21) and fewer points (33).

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  • Score PredictionsBuffalo BillsNov 5, 2026

    Buffalo Bills 20 — Vikings 14

    “Prediction: Bills 20, Vikings 14”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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