Jordan VanekNov 9, 2023

Vanek ranks the NFL's top 24 wide receivers at the 2023 midseason, with Tyreek Hill first, and adds that Ja'Marr Chase will eventually become the league's best receiver and that Tee Higgins is one of the best No. 2 receivers in football.

Published in writing · The 33rd TeamRead the original

2 of 4calls landed2 hits · 1 close call · 1 miss · all settled

65.8Average accuracyout of 100, across 4 calls

75A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

4 of 4Settlednone still waiting

0Waitingnot graded yet

What Jordan Vanek said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

Chase is close to surpassing Jefferson and will eventually be the best wide receiver in the NFL.

Jordan Vanek, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was published: The 33rd Team
The piece: 2023 NFL Midseason Top 24 Wide Receiver Rankings | The 33rd Team
The original: The copy as archived Apr 24, 2024 · the live page
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidNov 9, 2023
GradedAug 5, 2026

1Tee Higgins to be 2nd on the depth chart“He is one of the best No. 2 receivers in football.”
2DeVonta Smith to be 2nd on the depth chart“DeVonta Smith is the second-best receiver on his team but could be a No. 1 option elsewhere.”
3Top Player Lists“This article attempts to account for all those factors when ranking the league's top 24 wide receivers. NFL's Top 24 Wide Receivers”
4Ja'Marr Chase to finish top 1 at his position, by receiving yards“Chase is close to surpassing Jefferson and will eventually be the best wide receiver in the NFL.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
Tee Higgins to be 2nd on the depth chart¹	Depth Chart Calls	No. 3	91.67	91.67	0
DeVonta Smith to be 2nd on the depth chart²	Depth Chart Calls	No. 2	100	91.67	+12.5
“This article attempts to account for all those factors when…”³	Top Player Lists	—	63.17	50	+19.76
Ja'Marr Chase to finish top 1 at his position, by receiving yards⁴	Positional Finishes	Finished #12	8.33	66.67	−87.5
4 calls · 2 hits · 1 close call · 1 miss · all settled			65.8	75

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

4 checkable claims — 2 depth chart calls, 1 positional finish and 1 top player list — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 65.8 out of 100, against 75 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

2They said

3What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

1Depth Chart Calls Tee Higgins Cincinnati Bengals
Tee Higgins to be 2nd on the depth chart
What happenedNo. 3called No. 2 · by receptions
91.67Hit · naive 91.67
91.67this call91.67a naive guess0better than naive1.5difficulty0skill
How this was scored
club:
CIN
skill:
0
player:
Tee Higgins
season:
2023
accuracy:
91.67
baseline:
91.67
position:
WR
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
3
difficulty:
1.5
measured by:
receptions
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
2
weeks left when called:
9
Think this is wrong?
2Depth Chart Calls DeVonta Smith Philadelphia Eagles
DeVonta Smith to be 2nd on the depth chart
What happenedNo. 2called No. 2 · by receptions
100Hit · naive 91.67
100this call91.67a naive guess8.33better than naive1.5difficulty+12.5skill
How this was scored
club:
PHI
skill:
12.5
player:
DeVonta Smith
season:
2023
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.67
position:
WR
naive slot:
1
actual slot:
2
difficulty:
1.5
measured by:
receptions
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
2
weeks left when called:
9
Think this is wrong?
3Top Player Lists
“This article attempts to account for all those factors when ranking the league's top 24 wide receivers. NFL's Top 24 Wide Receivers”
VerdictClose
63.17Close · naive 50
63.17this call50a naive guess13.17better than naive1.5difficulty+19.76skill
How this was scored
naive:
a coin-flip ordering scores 50
skill:
19.76
placed:
24
season:
2023
players:
24
accuracy:
63.17
baseline:
50
by position:
WR 24: 63.17
difficulty:
1.5
weeks in the season:
18
could not place:
0
weeks left when called:
9
Think this is wrong?
4Positional Finishes Ja'Marr Chase Cincinnati Bengals
Ja'Marr Chase to finish top 1 at his position, by receiving yards
What happenedFinished #12called #1 · by receiving yards
8.33Miss · naive 66.67
8.33this call66.67a naive guess−58.34worse than naive1.5difficulty−87.5skill
How this was scored
skill:
−87.5
player:
Ja'Marr Chase
season:
2023
zero credit this far off:
12
accuracy:
8.33
baseline:
66.67
position:
WR
ranked by:
receiving yards
difficulty:
1.5
the naive guess:
where he finished last season
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
16
actual finish:
12
weeks left when called:
9
predicted finish:
1
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once
65.8naive 75

Who this take is about

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

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