Nick Wright#49 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 11, 2026
Wright picked Tampa Bay to beat Cincinnati outright, Philadelphia to beat Washington, Dallas to beat the Giants, and said they were one of the few nationally to pick the Chiefs to win it all.
Said on air, transcribed by us · First Things First (podcast)Hear the original
What Nick Wright said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromSo I just to be clear, I do expect Dallas to win this game.
- Where it was said
- First Things First (podcast)
- The episode
- 49ers beat Rams, Bills vs. Texans preview, Matt Leinart joins, Upset Alert & Nick’s Picks for Week 1
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidSep 11
- PlayedSep 13
- GradedSep 15
- 1Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Cincinnati“I think the Bucks are better than Cincinnati... again, I don't need outright winners even though I do think Bucks going outright.”
- 2Dallas Cowboys to beat Giants“So I just to be clear, I do expect Dallas to win this game.”
- 3Philadelphia Eagles to beat Washington“I think their d line is such a mismatch against the commander's offensive line that I think Philadelphia could dominate this game.”
- 4Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl“They have the fifth best odds to win the Super Bowl... And I think me and Barnwell are the only people... in the national media to pick them to win.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Cincinnati1 | Game Outcome Picks | Bengals 33–27 | 0 | 100 | −200 | |
| Dallas Cowboys to beat Giants2 | Game Outcome Picks | Giants 28–20 | 0 | 100 | −200 | |
| Philadelphia Eagles to beat Washington3 | Game Outcome Picks | Eagles 24–22 | 100 | 100 | 0 | |
| Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl4 | Super Bowl Picks | — | — | — | — | |
| 4 calls · 1 hit · 2 misses · 1 waiting | 33.3 | 100 | ||||
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive4 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
3 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 33.3 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Game Outcome PicksTampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Cincinnati
What happenedBengals 33–27Buccaneers at Bengals0Miss · naive 1000this call−100a naive guess=−100worse than naive×2difficulty=−200skillClosing line (Sep 13): Bengals by 3.5 · underdog pick, Buccaneers about 1 in 3 (36%).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- CIN
- score:
- 27-33
- skill:
- −200
- they picked:
- TB
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- CIN
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
2Game Outcome PicksDallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys to beat Giants
What happenedGiants 28–20Cowboys at Giants0Miss · naive 1000this call−100a naive guess=−100worse than naive×2difficulty=−200skillClosing line (Sep 13): Cowboys by 3 · favorite pick, Cowboys 60%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- NYG
- score:
- 20-28
- skill:
- −200
- they picked:
- DAL
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- NYG
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
3Game Outcome PicksPhiladelphia Eagles
Philadelphia Eagles to beat Washington
What happenedEagles 24–22Commanders at Eagles100Hit · naive 100100this call−100a naive guess=0better than naive×2difficulty=0skillClosing line (Sep 13): Eagles by 6 · favorite pick, Eagles about 2 in 3 (68%).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- PHI
- score:
- 22-24
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- PHI
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- PHI
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
4Super Bowl PicksKansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once
33.3naive 100
The games in this take
every pundit’s pick on eachWho this take is about
Others on the same people
Chris Clark · Trade and Signing Calls · Nikko Remigio · Miss 0
Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return.Gilberto Manzano · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Previewing the trade deadline, he expects Justin Herbert to stay in Los Angeles despite the Chargers' 0–7 start, thinks the Jets will keep Garrett Wilson and pair him with their young weapons, expects a receiver-hungry Kansas City to be aggressive with Josh Downs the likeliest target, and suggests expiring Eagles contracts Moro Ojomo and Riq Woolen could be dealt for mid-round picks.Joshua Poniatowski · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Poniatowski names several trade targets, predicting Malik Willis underperforms this week against New England, that Omarion Hampton could become a viable RB2 if Adam Gase takes over play-calling, that Josh Downs gets traded (ideally to Kansas City, where they'd be a top-24 WR), that Brian Thomas Jr. could be dealt to the Rams or 49ers, and that Travis Kelce remains a consistent weekly TE.Jordan Dajani · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
After reporting that Colts receiver Josh Downs requested a trade, they identify five clubs as plausible landing spots for them: the Rams, Patriots, Falcons, Chiefs and Raiders, and suggests Las Vegas could also give them a long-term extension.Mike Kadlick · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Kadlick names the Chiefs, Patriots and 49ers as the three best trade landing spots for Colts wide receiver Josh Downs ahead of the Nov. 10 deadline.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.Eva Geitheim · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Conor Orr · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Orr picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10.Albert Breer · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Breer picked all 14 Week 10 games straight up, favoring the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens.Mitch Goldich · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Goldich picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Matt Verderame · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Verderame picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.